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Old December 12th 14, 12:43 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Sudden stratwarm coming on cue with Sir Piers prediction

Early-Mid Dec issue forecast updates - coming soon - will include SSW FORECASTS for Jan and Feb (seperate forecast pdf) with implications on Jet Stream behavior and likely effects on BI+Eu and USA snowstorms risk.

The SSW +Jet stream action forecast Jan+Feb will go in the next few days into:-

= BI-Whole-Winter-Now forecast (and BI 75d, 100d subs access)

= USA and Eu 6m and 12m subs access.




WeatherAction 97days ahead of the rest.



Sir Piers says:

The general development*** has been going well so far this month in Europe (with cold+snow developing in NW and mild in S/SE) and Britain & Ireland where cold often snowy blasts have come to Britain & Ireland in line with what WeatherAction warned 100days ahead and UK Met Office and Irish Met Office got round to thinking mostly only 3days ahead.

Snow has not yet come to south England or south Ireland but as shown in the WEATHER ACTION PUBLIC TOP RED WARNING below and the related graph in the full forecast the high confidence period for most extensive and deepest snow this month in Britian & Ireland so far always was not until ~12-16th(+/-1d). Met Office forecast maps on a daily bais have been moving towards WeatherAction and we expect that trend will continue - ie snow will come to the south and be very substantial in parts of Britain and Ireland


***Note THAT is ALL our long range forecasts are designed for, they give a possible likely scenario (+/-1d) and are NOT substitutes for short range detail.
 
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