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Old June 17th 15, 12:45 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Not a 97% consensus, but a 99.9% consensus

New research.

'The scientific "consensus" on climate change has gotten (sic!) stronger, surging past the famous -- and controversial -- figure of 97% to more than 99.9%, according to a new study reviewed by msnbc.

The results include work from nearly the entire population of working climate scientists -- close to 70,000 scientists, often sharing their byline with three or four other authors. They also include a dwindling opposition: Powell could find only four solitary authors who challenged the evidence for human-caused global warming.'

http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/how-clima...-it-very-wrong

Methodology he

http://www.jamespowell.org/methodology/method.html

'2014 Update I

I followed the same procedure, first comparing my original database, which was completed on Nov. 12, 2012, with all the records for 2012, to identify the new records that were not in the original set. There were 347 new ones, which I then added to the 1,911 records for 2013. This gave a total of 2,258 articles answering to "global warming" or "global climate change" from Nov. 12, 2012 through Dec. 31, 2013. Only one article rejected AGW. See here.. Download the Excel database here.

2014 Update II

Finally, in order to test the proposition that articles rejecting AGW might be under other keywords, I decided to search for articles with the keyword phrase "climate change" but neither "global warming" nor "global climate change," since I had already reviewed those. From 1991-2013, there have been 54,785 such articles, too many to deal with. Therefore I restricted the search for articles with keywords "climate change" to 2013. That produced 8,974 articles, which I reviewed. In my judgment, only one rejected AGW. See that article here. Certainly there may be articles published prior to 2013 with the keyword phrase "climate change" that rejected AGW, but I see no reason why the proportion of those articles should be higher.

Summary

Combining the three searches, I have reviewed 13,950+2,258+8,974=25,182 articles. Of those, 26 reject AGW. That is 0.1 percent, or 1 in 1,000. For 2013, there are 1,911articles [search terms global warming and global climate change] + 8,974 [climate change] = 10,885, 2 of which are rejections, about 1 in 5,440.'

Climate deniers really are in the smallest of minorities.
 
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