Currently has sustained winds of 185mph, and is expected to maintain this strength while making landfall. I don't think I've ever known a hurricane intensify this much. :-O

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac

On Thu, 22 Oct 2015 23:20:27 -0700 (PDT)
Simon Cheesbiscuit wrote:

Currently has sustained winds of 185mph, and is expected to maintain
this strength while making landfall. I don't think I've ever known a
hurricane intensify this much. :-O

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac

Currently 175kts (200mph). It is the strongest on record in the NHC's
area of responsibility. Central pressure is estimated at 880hPa, also
the lowest for that area.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh...l/230834.shtml

--
Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks. [Retd meteorologist/programmer]
http://www.scarlet-jade.com/
I wear the cheese. It does not wear me.
Posted with Claws: http://www.claws-mail.org/

On Fri, 23 Oct 2015 09:41:40 +0100
Graham P Davis wrote:

On Thu, 22 Oct 2015 23:20:27 -0700 (PDT)
Simon Cheesbiscuit wrote:

Currently has sustained winds of 185mph, and is expected to maintain
this strength while making landfall. I don't think I've ever known a
hurricane intensify this much. :-O

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac

Currently 175kts (200mph). It is the strongest on record in the NHC's
area of responsibility. Central pressure is estimated at 880hPa, also
the lowest for that area.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh...l/230834.shtml


Here's a water vapour loop:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floa...5-wv-long.html

--
Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks. [Retd meteorologist/programmer]
http://www.scarlet-jade.com/
I wear the cheese. It does not wear me.
Posted with Claws: http://www.claws-mail.org/

On Friday, 23 October 2015 20:36:42 UTC+1, Graham P Davis wrote:
On Fri, 23 Oct 2015 09:41:40 +0100
Graham P Davis wrote:

On Thu, 22 Oct 2015 23:20:27 -0700 (PDT)
Simon Cheesbiscuit wrote:

Currently has sustained winds of 185mph, and is expected to maintain
this strength while making landfall. I don't think I've ever known a
hurricane intensify this much. :-O

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac

Currently 175kts (200mph). It is the strongest on record in the NHC's
area of responsibility. Central pressure is estimated at 880hPa, also
the lowest for that area.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh...l/230834.shtml


Here's a water vapour loop:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floa...5-wv-long.html

--
Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks. [Retd meteorologist/programmer]
http://www.scarlet-jade.com/
I wear the cheese. It does not wear me.
Posted with Claws: http://www.claws-mail.org/

It was saying that the water from Patricia would be swept up by a cyclone forming south of Texas, and would result in flooding there. An interesting time ahead.

Additionally, does anyone know how rapidly wind speed falls away with distance from the eye? I thought it was interesting that in the NHC advisory it stated the category 5 winds were confined to a region only 15 miles in diameter.

On Friday, October 23, 2015 at 8:42:21 PM UTC+1, Simon Cheesbiscuit wrote:
On Friday, 23 October 2015 20:36:42 UTC+1, Graham P Davis wrote:
On Fri, 23 Oct 2015 09:41:40 +0100
Graham P Davis wrote:

On Thu, 22 Oct 2015 23:20:27 -0700 (PDT)
Simon Cheesbiscuit wrote:

Currently has sustained winds of 185mph, and is expected to maintain
this strength while making landfall. I don't think I've ever known a
hurricane intensify this much. :-O

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac

Currently 175kts (200mph). It is the strongest on record in the NHC's
area of responsibility. Central pressure is estimated at 880hPa, also
the lowest for that area.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh...l/230834.shtml


Here's a water vapour loop:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floa...5-wv-long.html

--
Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks. [Retd meteorologist/programmer]
http://www.scarlet-jade.com/
I wear the cheese. It does not wear me.
Posted with Claws: http://www.claws-mail.org/

It was saying that the water from Patricia would be swept up by a cyclone forming south of Texas, and would result in flooding there. An interesting time ahead.

Additionally, does anyone know how rapidly wind speed falls away with distance from the eye? I thought it was interesting that in the NHC advisory it stated the category 5 winds were confined to a region only 15 miles in diameter.

Sounds about right, but this really is a biggie. Wind speeds at landfall may be almost unheard of.

Downgraded to category 2 already. Strange how it exploded then imploded just as quickly

On Friday, 23 October 2015 20:42:21 UTC+1, Simon Cheesbiscuit wrote:
On Friday, 23 October 2015 20:36:42 UTC+1, Graham P Davis wrote:
On Fri, 23 Oct 2015 09:41:40 +0100
Graham P Davis wrote:

On Thu, 22 Oct 2015 23:20:27 -0700 (PDT)
Simon Cheesbiscuit wrote:

Currently has sustained winds of 185mph, and is expected to maintain
this strength while making landfall. I don't think I've ever known a
hurricane intensify this much. :-O

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac

Currently 175kts (200mph). It is the strongest on record in the NHC's
area of responsibility. Central pressure is estimated at 880hPa, also
the lowest for that area.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh...l/230834.shtml


Here's a water vapour loop:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floa...5-wv-long.html

--
Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks. [Retd meteorologist/programmer]
http://www.scarlet-jade.com/
I wear the cheese. It does not wear me.
Posted with Claws: http://www.claws-mail.org/

It was saying that the water from Patricia would be swept up by a cyclone forming south of Texas, and would result in flooding there. An interesting time ahead.

Additionally, does anyone know how rapidly wind speed falls away with distance from the eye? I thought it was interesting that in the NHC advisory it stated the category 5 winds were confined to a region only 15 miles in diameter.

Sometimes it is as in the days of Noah and sometimes we wonder what all the fuss was about. One thing alone is certain today's records are not caused by millionths of parts of carbon dioxide.

There is another thing too:
2015/10/23 22:46 -2.12 138.27 4.5M Irian Jaya, Indonesia
2015/10/23 22:42 -2.25 138.31 4.6M Irian Jaya, Indonesia
2015/10/23 22:03 -2.14 138.20 5.7M Irian Jaya,

According to who is doing the calibrating, whether a swarm is a single massive earthquake or not is debatable but you can look forward to reports like the above every time a tropical storm goes ashore.

It's a good job that it occurs on the other side of the ocean. If the American TV companies got hold of it and they could make it believable they would all be hyperventialing in that juvenile way the imbeciles have.

Simon - it depends very much on the storm. In broadest terms, the stronger the hurricane, the narrower they tend to be in terms of distance from the centre of the storm to the strongest winds - on average.

There are exceptions. Hurricane Katrina was a very wide Cat 3 storm at landfall and Hurricane Charley (another Cat 3 from memory, possibly Cat 4) was about 1/10 of the size. Little is know on what governs the size of the hurricane, unless I've missed any new research.

Apparently the hurricane hunter plan dropped about 600m in 30s last night as it did its last survey of Patricia. That would have been an experience.

Richard

in 425135 20151024 091258 wrote:

Apparently the hurricane hunter plan dropped about 600m in 30s last night a=
s it did its last survey of Patricia. That would have been an experience.=

But that's less than 4000 feet per minute - not unusual in an airliner.

On 23/10/15 07:20, Simon Cheesbiscuit wrote:
Currently has sustained winds of 185mph, and is expected to maintain this strength while making landfall. I don't think I've ever known a hurricane intensify this much. :-O

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac


Just before watching the futtie on Alba just now, we saw a report on the
hurricane on Sky News and who should they have to talk to us about it
but none other than PC himself.
First time we've seen him talking about the weather on tv. Made a nice
change, as did winning 7-0 shortly after.

--
AS