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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#51
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On Saturday, January 2, 2016 at 2:16:49 AM UTC-5, Dawlish wrote:
Good grief! A grammar correction. Please don't ever make any errors Stephen will you? I see mitchell has decided to continue his obsession. laughing again ========= I think that the point I was trying to make was a little too subtle. Please, see, other, thread. By the way, shouldn't "Mitchell" be capitalized? And Fowler seems to be silent on the grammatical use of greater-than and less-than signs. Stephen. |
#52
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On Saturday, January 2, 2016 at 2:16:49 AM UTC-5, Dawlish wrote:
Good grief! A grammar correction. Please don't ever make any errors Stephen will you? I see mitchell has decided to continue his obsession. laughing again ======== Also should there not be a comma between "errors" and "Stephen" and "Stephen" and "will you"? I merely ask, not insist. Stephen. |
#53
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On Saturday, January 2, 2016 at 5:01:59 PM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Saturday, January 2, 2016 at 1:45:45 PM UTC, David Mitchell wrote: On Saturday, January 2, 2016 at 7:16:49 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote: Good grief! A grammar correction. Please don't ever make any errors Stephen will you? I see mitchell has decided to continue his obsession. laughing again You total hypocrite. You just cannot help yourself responding can you? No mitchell, you can't, can you? The entertainment goes on. Why not flounce off like you did before, crying for sympathy (and getting next to none), then crawling back, hoping no-one will notice as you can't help your obsession? Ah yes, crawling off like you just a few short weeks ago when you showed yourself up for the person you really are. The comments that so many people made about you must have really hurt, because it was weeks before you dared post again. Now go away and find a comment like those you received aimed at me. You'll be a very long time, because there aren't any. By the way, do you think you might issue a 240 hour forecast this year? |
#54
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On Saturday, January 2, 2016 at 7:28:10 PM UTC, Stephen Davenport wrote:
On Saturday, January 2, 2016 at 2:16:49 AM UTC-5, Dawlish wrote: Good grief! A grammar correction. Please don't ever make any errors Stephen will you? I see mitchell has decided to continue his obsession. laughing again ======== Also should there not be a comma between "errors" and "Stephen" and "Stephen" and "will you"? I merely ask, not insist. Stephen. Don't be silly Stephen, this ng is played under Dawlish rules. (Don't tell him, but he really scares me, it's an obsession). |
#55
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On Saturday, January 2, 2016 at 7:33:21 PM UTC, David Mitchell wrote:
On Saturday, January 2, 2016 at 5:01:59 PM UTC, Dawlish wrote: On Saturday, January 2, 2016 at 1:45:45 PM UTC, David Mitchell wrote: On Saturday, January 2, 2016 at 7:16:49 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote: Good grief! A grammar correction. Please don't ever make any errors Stephen will you? I see mitchell has decided to continue his obsession. laughing again You total hypocrite. You just cannot help yourself responding can you? No mitchell, you can't, can you? The entertainment goes on. Why not flounce off like you did before, crying for sympathy (and getting next to none), then crawling back, hoping no-one will notice as you can't help your obsession? Ah yes, crawling off.... Yes. That's exactly what you did. Petitioning the board for support, but getting nothing. Hurt, didn't it? I mean, all those people who completely failed to support you, then ignored you when you slunk back. Please carry on... |
#56
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On Friday, January 1, 2016 at 10:12:49 AM UTC, Dawlish wrote:
On Thursday, December 31, 2015 at 11:09:33 PM UTC, Dave Ludlow wrote: On Thu, 31 Dec 2015 00:36:17 -0800 (PST), Dawlish wrote: Very little chance of this model-proposed cold from the east advancing towards the UK now. I'll perhaps be sure enough to say with 80% certainty this evening. I'm afraid the few who proposed the cold's advancement to the UK in early January are very likely to be mistaken. The difficult part of forecasting with any kind of high level of accuracy at 10 days, is knowing when not to forecast. Most of the time, you'll be guessing and will be wrong. I'm still not certain enough, this morning, to present an opposite forecast to cold at 10 days - there's not quite the consistency I'd like to see and hints are still there - but I may well be confident enough this evening.. NB However, a SSW appears to be in the process of forming, so cold *may* head our way later in January. (Noting that the relationship between the development of SSWs and the establishment of cold from the east, in the UK, is not in any way a certain one). http://acdb-ext.gsfc.nasa.gov/Data_s...rent_merra.pdf I don't think there's been much 'sticking your neck out' in this thread, the most I can find is from me i.e. "Whether or not the real cold actually makes it across the North Sea and Channel seems to be an open question though... but they [the models] all predict that it may do. It will be interesting to see at least a short break in the incessant south westerlies, if it comes off. Lots of ifs buts and maybes there - but the models were correct in that they predicted confidently that the cold outbreak would reach Denmark and the North Sea, and they still do. Would it get further was the big question and they were never unanimous about that. But now, here in the south, the first half of January seems to be heading for a perhaps slightly cooler repeat of December... ![]() -- Dave Fareham (W) Yes, the threat of that cold at 10 days has gone with the charts of the last 24 hours. Looking more mobile again. But what's that coming over the ECM and gfs hill? It's a possible Northerly outbreak at T+240. This one's worth watching. Models had begun to suggest the possibility this morning. |
#57
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On Tuesday, 22 December 2015 14:31:34 UTC, Dawlish wrote:
Actually closer than T+240 on both the gfs and GEM, with both showing a rise in pressure to our East over the Baltic. However, nothing as yet on the ECM, so no agreement. The present zonal train has to end sometime. That proposed pressure rise to our east is the first sign of anything at T+240, or closer, for two weeks. There does seem to be some consensus of less mild NW flow on the T+240 tonight, even to some extent in the ensembles. |
#58
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On 25/12/2015 00:03, Joe Egginton wrote:
On 24/12/2015 21:41, Dawlish wrote: Zonal to the edge of reality on all models this evening. It'll turn much colder in January 2016. --- This email has been checked for viruses by Avast antivirus software. https://www.avast.com/antivirus On Christmas Day I wrote it'll turn much colder this month and it will, just watch! --- This email has been checked for viruses by Avast antivirus software. https://www.avast.com/antivirus |
#59
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On 07/01/2016 20:10, Joe Egginton wrote:
On 25/12/2015 00:03, Joe Egginton wrote: On 24/12/2015 21:41, Dawlish wrote: Zonal to the edge of reality on all models this evening. It'll turn much colder in January 2016. --- This email has been checked for viruses by Avast antivirus software. https://www.avast.com/antivirus On Christmas Day I wrote it'll turn much colder this month and it will, just watch! Big deal. After such an exceptionally mild December, even an average January could be termed 'much colder'. -- Col Bolton, Lancashire 160m asl Snow videos: http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg |
#60
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On Thursday, 7 January 2016 20:20:18 UTC, Col wrote:
On 07/01/2016 20:10, Joe Egginton wrote: On 25/12/2015 00:03, Joe Egginton wrote: On 24/12/2015 21:41, Dawlish wrote: Zonal to the edge of reality on all models this evening. It'll turn much colder in January 2016. --- This email has been checked for viruses by Avast antivirus software. https://www.avast.com/antivirus On Christmas Day I wrote it'll turn much colder this month and it will, just watch! Big deal. After such an exceptionally mild December, even an average January could be termed 'much colder'. -- Col Bolton, Lancashire 160m asl Snow videos: http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg Bloody hell Col, you're just as envious of success as Dullish !!!!! |
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