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| uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#71
January 31st 16, 07:05 PM
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Very slightly interesting developments at T+240
And a northerly hits the charts at the end of the first week in Feb. This has sneaked in under my 10-day radar, developing over the last couple of days, but it could be interesting for the coldies. With luck, it won't last long and it doesn't appear as if it will, but it has potential for snow at lower levels again.
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#72
February 1st 16, 07:41 PM
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Very slightly interesting developments at T+240
And almost gone on the 12z charts.
Anyone wish to do some forecasting to T+240? Looks pretty zonal and not particularly cold now to the end of the first third of Feb, but I wouldn't stake my mortgage on it this evening! |
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#73
February 1st 16, 09:22 PM
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Hahahaha. Hahahaha. Hahahaha. Hahahaha.
Hahahaha. Hahahaha. Hahahaha. Hahahaha. Hahahaha. Hahahaha. Hahahaha.
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#74
February 2nd 16, 10:08 PM
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Very slightly interesting developments at T+240
Nothing clear, nothing possible to forecast at 10 days.
Those who feel that forecasting at 10 days is impossible will presently be absolutely correct. If you don't agree with that, have a go at forecasting. Then try *any* forecasts at 10 days and see how you do. 👻👻 |
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#75
February 3rd 16, 09:00 AM
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Very slightly interesting developments at T+240
Looking colder at 10 days this morning. Still not anything like full agreement, however.
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#76
February 4th 16, 08:41 AM
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Very slightly interesting developments at T+240
ECM still showing colder, the other models have changed to zonal. Milder would suit me, but there's this almost mythical SSW event to still cope with, I suppose. The coldies' last stand of the 2015-16 winter, perhaps? All seems to have gone quiet on that front..........😀
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#77
February 5th 16, 10:05 PM
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Very slightly interesting developments at T+240
ECM just will not come into line with the gfs and GEM and still shows colder, with some mid-Atlantic ridging, producing a northerly flow at 10 days. Hmmmmmmm.
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#78
February 6th 16, 08:49 AM
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Very slightly interesting developments at T+240
Looks like the ECM has fallen into line with mild zonal weather mid-month. If the charts still agree this evening, I'll be forecasting that. Not enough consistency yet.
Just 2 weeks after that for the SSW to take effect this winter and plunge us into late-winter easterlies 😀 |
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#79
February 8th 16, 10:10 PM
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Very slightly interesting developments at T+240
And a stunning lack of agreement on tonight's operationals. Anyone wish to try a forecast at 10 days on that output? Nope? Didn't think so. It's an easy game though, really, isn't it?
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#80
February 10th 16, 09:31 PM
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Very slightly interesting developments at T+240
Hints of blocking to our east, on a couple of operationals this evening, at T+240, as the SSW event reaches its peak, but not all-model agreement. Still, you never know what tomorrow may bring! 😀😀
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