In both the North Atlantic and the North Pacific the current cold sea surface
temperature anomaly north of 40N is much more marked than it was at this time
last year. Indeed, in the North Pacific there was a warm anomaly last year but a
cold anomaly this year. Last year the N Pacific cold anomaly was between 30N and
40N. I am no expert in these matters but, intuitively, it seems to me to be that
the present setup is conducive to enhanced westerlies in middle latitudes in the
coming months. With cold water anomalies to the west of the British Isles a
cool spring and summer might be on the cards. As I say, though, I am no expert
in this. Ping Graham D...........?

--
Norman Lynagh
Tideswell, Derbyshire
303m a.s.l.
http://peakdistrictweather.org

On Thursday, 18 February 2016 20:38:56 UTC, Norman Lynagh wrote:
In both the North Atlantic and the North Pacific the current cold sea surface
temperature anomaly north of 40N is much more marked than it was at this time
last year. Indeed, in the North Pacific there was a warm anomaly last year but a
cold anomaly this year. Last year the N Pacific cold anomaly was between 30N and
40N. I am no expert in these matters but, intuitively, it seems to me to be that
the present setup is conducive to enhanced westerlies in middle latitudes in the
coming months. With cold water anomalies to the west of the British Isles a
cool spring and summer might be on the cards. As I say, though, I am no expert
in this. Ping Graham D...........?

Spoken like a sock puppet for stooo oh no... Quick, send Lawrence around to tell him. Or do you suppose he already knows and was hoping that nobody would notice.

Or was he just keeping his finger warm?

On Thursday, February 18, 2016 at 8:38:56 PM UTC, Norman Lynagh wrote:
In both the North Atlantic and the North Pacific the current cold sea surface
temperature anomaly north of 40N is much more marked than it was at this time
last year. Indeed, in the North Pacific there was a warm anomaly last year but a
cold anomaly this year. Last year the N Pacific cold anomaly was between 30N and
40N. I am no expert in these matters but, intuitively, it seems to me to be that
the present setup is conducive to enhanced westerlies in middle latitudes in the
coming months. With cold water anomalies to the west of the British Isles a
cool spring and summer might be on the cards. As I say, though, I am no expert
in this. Ping Graham D...........?

--
Norman Lynagh
Tideswell, Derbyshire
303m a.s.l.
http://peakdistrictweather.org

I suspect the other Graham may well agree. Of course, the current anomalies maybe due to the strongly zonal conditions which have been dominant for a very long time. The SST anomaly pattern, at least in the north Atlantic, has just shown variations on a theme for at least a year. A change in weather pattern may change the anomalies.

Being an optimist, I'm rather pinning my hopes on some gentle southerlies coming across the near, or rather above SSTs to the south. At least the SST off Cornwall is still above normal, I just hope it's still the same when I get my wetsuit out in May.

If the SST falls below normal off Cornwall, at least it will help ensure that the summer showers stay inland, and we do relatively well for sunshine.

I'm clearly in an optimistic mood!

Graham
Penzance

It's a maybe, but do ignore W. (I know you will 😂😂😂).