On Thursday, 21 April 2016 15:32:01 UTC+1, wrote:
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/04/21/us....html?src=recg

William M. Gray, pioneered hurricane predictions for three decades Saturday in Fort Collins, Colo at 86.

He was emeritus professor of atmospheric science head of Tropical Meteorology.

From 1984 he aggregated measures of atmospheric conditions, water current and temperature to predict the number and intensity of tropical storms asserting their frequency is cyclical and the intensity and the likelihood of their reaching the East Coast depended on six scientific factors, including rainfall in the Sahel and the impact of El Niños

Dr. Gray was skeptical about the causes of climate change, prompting vitriolic exchanges with other scientists the rate of climate change he attributed to natural causes, like the circulation of heat-bearing ocean currents, rather than to the greenhouse effect.

He became a hurricane superstar and darling of the media," Chris Mooney wrote in 2007 in "Storm World: Hurricanes, Politics, and the Battle Over Global Warming." "But he had absolutely no use for the notion of global warming, much less the idea that it might seriously affect the storms he'd spent a lifetime studying. And he had no problem saying so -- loudly and often."

He said, "When I am pushing up daisies, I am very sure that we will find that humans have warmed the globe slightly, but that it's nothing like what they're saying."

The 2016 hurricane prediction, issued two days before Dr. Gray's death by Philip J. Klotzbach, his last graduate student and now lead author of the seasonal forecasts, is for "a near average probability" of major hurricanes making landfall this season in the Caribbean and the coastal United States.

The latest forecast, compiled with "special assistance" from Dr. Gray, projects 12 named storms and five more hurricanes, including two major ones, but cautions: "Coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them."

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/04/21/us....html?src=recg

All I have to add to his work is that the cycles may be impressed by earthquakes but I'm not. They are just there for us to use once we begin to understand creation. We have not started to do that, yet.

I have been thinking about how stupid people are after looking at my antivirus scanning package. If I was using Linux Puppy I would be using a tiny little package smaller than the Avast application I am using now on Windows 7..

Yet the idea of giving such a system away rather than co-operating with huge mega-opolies to defraud really stooopid people into getting Idiotware is too alien for them to comprehend.

Imagine someone telling you that if you get a free bottle of sugared water from a neighbour's cellar it would have magically turned into beer that won't cost you over three pounds per pint.

And you wouldn't listen to them.

Or an ignoramus like Dawlish telling you about Glowballs and you would listen to him.