On 06/07/17 13:38, Will Hand wrote:
On Thu, 6 Jul 2017 09:55:03 +0000 (UTC)
d wrote:

On Thu, 6 Jul 2017 10:49:31 +0100
Will Hand wrote:
On Thu, 6 Jul 2017 08:53:06 +0000 (UTC)
d wrote:

Even 12 hours ago the BBC weather was predicting rain and storms over a
substantial part of london and the southwest.

[looks out the window]

Blue sky. And looking at the rainfall radar the nearest rain is in
cambridgshire and calais.

And this isn't the first time. If all their expertise and their very
expensive supercomputer can't even get a forecast right 12 hours ahead then
whats the point of them?


Idiot.

Very erudite. Got anything further to add or is that your contribution for
the day and you need to go lie down now?

FWIW I dragged around a useless umbrella and I suspect some farmers and event
managers are a bit put out too. No one expects them to get the weather dead on
a week ahead, but 12 hours?? A piece of seaweed could have done better.


Clearly you have not understood the Met Office warnings properly. It said most
places will miss the storms altogether and stay dry. They did not go for wall
to wall storms. Even the auto site forecasts were dry (mainly). Now go away and
come back when you understand a bit more about meteorology and the nature of
convection - thank you. Also I am not sure now that BBC weather get their
forecast from the Met Office any more they were meant to be moving over to using
MeteoGroup. Stephen?

I don't know about other models but GFS has been forecasting an area of
rain for SE England for the past week. Initially, it was due mainly
during Friday but gradually backtracked to Thursday. I had a dental
appointment this morning and, going by yesterday's GFS, I was expecting
to be needing my mackintosh (I'm a bit twitchy about using an umbrella
during a thunderstorm).


--
Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks. [Retd meteorologist/programmer]
Web-site: http://www.scarlet-jade.com/
“Like sewage, smartphones, and Donald Trump, some things are just
inevitable.� [The Doctor]