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Will Hand · July 6th 17, 07:09 PM posted to uk.sci.weather

On Thu, 6 Jul 2017 18:32:07 +0100
Will Hand wrote:

On Thu, 6 Jul 2017 15:39:11 +0000 (UTC)
d wrote:

On Thu, 6 Jul 2017 13:38:19 +0100
Will Hand wrote:
On Thu, 6 Jul 2017 09:55:03 +0000 (UTC)
wrote:
Very erudite. Got anything further to add or is that your contribution
for the day and you need to go lie down now?

FWIW I dragged around a useless umbrella and I suspect some farmers
and
event
managers are a bit put out too. No one expects them to get the weather
dead
on
a week ahead, but 12 hours?? A piece of seaweed could have done better.

Clearly you have not understood the Met Office warnings properly. It said
most places will miss the storms altogether and stay dry. They did not go
for wall

I don't know what the warnings were, I simply watched a number of forecasts
both broadcast and the online map. They all showed rain and storms over a
significant part of the southeast. The rain graphics arn't a probability
map, they're where they expect rain to fall with a high certainty.

They weren't slightly wrong, they were completely arse about face wrong.

to wall storms. Even the auto site forecasts were dry (mainly). Now go away
and come back when you understand a bit more about meteorology and the
nature of convection - thank you. Also I am not sure now that BBC weather
get their

Spare me your feable attempts at being patronising, there are far better
practioners than you at it on usenet. And as for the "nature of
convection", yes, it might be chaotic and I wouldn't expect them to be bang
on the money but to predict a large swathe of storms over an area 80 miles
wide and then we get *none at all* leads me to believe theres a problem
with either their models or measurements.

Mr Hindsight the best forecaster in the world. Now go and pick some spuds.

Will
--

Apologies for being flippant.

I'm wondering if part of the issue is the presentation. The media broadcasters
should have been aware that many places were to remain dry and present the
story as such. As this is what the models were saying. It is very unfair to
blame the models, that is what upset me with Spud's original post.

Will
--

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