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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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Graham Easterling wrote:
For the time of my awareness and monitoring NOAA NWW3 wave model outputs I don't remember seeing it push anything more than 4m sig wave heights into the Eng channel beyond the Brest-Newlyn line. You've missed quite a bit then! I would say 6m occurs every winter at some time off the Lizard (which is east of Newlyn) 11m has a return period of 5 years just off Lands End at Sevenstones, so I should think the 5 year return period in open sea to the south of Mount's Bay (off Newlyn) is around 10m. Norman is the expert on return periods. The once in 50-years Hsig in the open sea south of Mount's Bay is 13-14m so I reckon you estimate of 10m for the 5-year return probably isn't too far from the mark. Even up at Channel Light Vessel the 50-year return Hsig is of the order of 10-11m so I would think they'll get up to 6m in most winters. -- Norman Lynagh Tideswell, Derbyshire 303m a.s.l. https://peakdistrictweather.org twitter: @TideswellWeathr |
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