uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged.

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1   Report Post  
Old October 19th 03, 08:55 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Oct 2003
Posts: 104
Default 12Z Model Summary - Sunday 19th October 2003

Charts analysed are for T+96 hours - 12Z Thursday 23rd October 2003
unless stated.

UKMetO:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rukm961.html
High pressure (1030mb) lies to the west of the UK in the Atlantic and
ridges northeastwards towards Greenland and Iceland. Low pressure
(995mb) lies over Central and Eastern Europe. Winds across the UK are
light to moderate northeasterlies. Showers or spells of rain are
likely in many parts, wintry in the north and over the hills. The
driest and brightest weather will be in the northwest. Temperatures
will be close to or below normal in many parts, with night frosts.
Beyond this there is little change with further showers, wintry at
times over the hills and staying rather chilly.

GFS:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rtavn961.html
850hPa Temperatures: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rtavn962.html
2m Temperatures: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rtavn965.html
High pressure (1030mb) lies to the west of the UK in the Atlantic and
ridges northeastwards towards Greenland. Low pressure (995mb) lies
over Central and Eastern Europe, with a secondary centre (1000mb) over
France. Winds across the UK are mostly moderate northeasterlies. Many
parts will be see rain or showers, wintry over the hills and in the
north. The driest weather will be to the northwest. 850hPa
temperatures range from -7C in the north to -4C in the southwest of
England. Forecast 2m temperatures range from +6C in the north to +9C
in the far southwest, with night frosts. Beyond this conditions stay
rather cool and showery, although it may turn milder towards the west
next weekend.

DWD:
SLP: http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...191200_096.gif
High pressure (two centres of 1035mb) lies to the south of Greenland
in the Atlantic. Low pressure (995mb) lies close to the Bay of Biscay,
with a secondary centre (1010mb) over Central Europe. Winds across the
UK are mostly moderate easterlies. Many northern and eastern parts
will be see showers, these wintry over the hills and in the north,
with the risk of more persistant rain in the south. Temperatures will
be close to or just below normal, with night frosts. Beyond this a
very deep low close to the southwest brings the risk of heavy rain and
gale force easterly winds.

NOGAPS:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rngp961.html
850hPa Temperatu http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rngp962.html
High pressure (1035mb) lies to the south of Greenland in the Atlantic,
with a secondary centre (1030mb) over Greenland itself. Low pressure
(995mb) lies Central and Eastern Europe, with another low (1000mb)
close to the Bay of Biscay. Winds across the UK are mainly moderate
northeasterlies. Showers are likely to affect most windward coasts,
these showers wintry in the north and over the hills. 850hPa
temperatures range from -5C in the northeast to -2C in the southwest.
Temperatures will be close to or below normal in many parts, with
night frosts. Beyond this the northeasterly winds continue, bringing
further showers and remaining rather cold.

JMA:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rjma961.html
850hPa Temperatures: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rjma962.html
High pressure (1035mb) lies to the west of the UK in the Atlantic, and
ridges towards Greenland. Low pressure (1000mb) lies over Southern
Britain. Winds across the UK are mainly strong northeasterlies, but
cyclonic in the south. Showers are likely in the north, with more
persistant rain likely in the south. 850hPa temperatures range from
-5C in the far north to -2C in the far south. Temperatures will be
close to or below normal in many parts, with night frosts. Beyond this
there is little change, with the brisk northeasterly winds bringing
further showers and remaining rather cold.

Canadian – T+72 hours for WEDNESDAY:
All charts: http://weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/data/m...ast/478_50.gif
High pressure (1032mb) lies to the northwest of the UK close to
Iceland. Low pressure (1007mb) lies close to the southeast of the
country. The UK lies under moderate winds, mostly from a northerly
direction in the south; easterlies in the north. Most areas will see
sunshine and showers, wintry over the northern hills, with more
persistant rain in the southeast. Daytime temperatures will be close
to or just below normal in most areas - with night frosts.

Summary:
A rather chilly outlook and remaining rather unsettled with rain or
showers. These showers wintry over northern hills. Once again, there
are lots of variations with regards to exact details, so Darren's
phrase comes into use: "As ever, more runs are needed!"

Reply
Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules

Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
12Z Model Summary - Wednesday 19th November 2003 Paul B uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 0 November 19th 03 08:01 PM
12Z Model Summary - Sunday 16th November 2003 Paul B uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 0 November 16th 03 07:43 PM
12Z Model Summary - Sunday 09th November 2003 Paul B uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 0 November 9th 03 07:35 PM
12Z Model Summary - Sunday 02nd November 2003 Paul B uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 0 November 2nd 03 08:20 PM
12Z Model Summary - Sunday 12th October 2003 Paul B uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 0 October 12th 03 08:29 PM


All times are GMT. The time now is 06:47 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright ©2004-2025 Weather Banter.
The comments are property of their posters.
 

About Us

"It's about Weather"

 

Copyright © 2017