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Old October 30th 03, 07:35 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Posts: 104
Default 12Z Model Summary - Thursday 30th October 2003

Charts analysed are for T+96 hours - 12Z Monday 03rd November 2003
unless stated.

UKMetO:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rukm961.html
A deep low pressure (985mb) lies to the north of Scotland, with
another deep low (970mb) in the Atlantic. High pressure (1025mb) lies
over Northern Africa. Winds across the UK are fresh to strong
westerlies. Most parts will see a mix of sunshine and blustery
showers. Temperatures will be close to normal in many parts. Beyond
this high pressure moves northwards from Africa and into Europe,
whilst low pressure lies in the Atlantic. Therefore the country lies
under milder south/southwesterlies with the south and east becoming
mosty fine whilst the north and west sees the most of any rain.

GFS:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rtavn961.html
850hPa Temperatures: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rtavn962.html
2m Temperatures: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rtavn965.html
Low pressure (980mb) lies to the north of Scotland, whilst another low
(970mb) lies in the Atlantic. High pressure (1025mb) lies over the
Western Med. Winds across the UK are fresh westerlies. Most parts will
see a mix of sunshine and showers. 850hPa temperatures range from 0C
over Northwestern Scotland to +3C in the southeast. Forecast 2m
temperatures range from +9C in the north to +13C in the south. Beyond
this conditions remain rather unsettled towards the northwest, but
look set to turn much milder and drier to the southeast as high
pressure builds over Europe.

DWD:
SLP: http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...301200_096.gif
Low pressure (985mb) lies to the north of Scotland, with another low
(970mb) lying well to the northwest in the Atlantic. High pressure
(1025mb) lies over Portugal. Winds across the UK are fresh to strong
westerlies. Most parts will see blustery showers at times.
Temperatures will be close to normal in many parts. Beyond this the
northwest continues rather unsettled, whilst the southeast turns drier
and warmer as pressure builds over Europe, drawing in warm
south/southwesterly winds.

NOGAPS:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rngp961.html
850hPa Temperatu http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rngp962.html
Low pressure (985mb) lies to the northeast of Scotland, with another
low (990mb) lying to the west of the UK in the Atlantic. High pressure
(1025mb) lies over the Western Med. Winds across the UK are mainly
moderate to fresh west/northwesterlies. Most parts will see sunshine
and showers. 850hPa temperatures range from 0C in the northwest to +3C
in the south. Temperatures will be close to normal in many parts.
Beyond this the northwest continues on the unsettled side, whilst
pressure builds over Europe, turning the southeast warmer and drier.

JMA:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rjma961.html
850hPa Temperatures: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rjma962.html
Low pressure (980mb) lies to the north of Scotland, with another low
(970mb) lying to the west of the UK in the Atlantic. High pressure
(1025mb) lies over the Med. Winds across the UK are mainly moderate to
fresh westerlies. Most parts will see a mixture of sunshine and
showers. 850hPa temperatures are close to +2C across the UK.
Temperatures will be close to normal in many parts. Beyond this the
northwest continues on the mostly unsettled theme, whilst pressure
builds over Europe, turning the southeast warmer and drier.

Canadian – T+72 hours for SUNDAY:
All charts: http://weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/data/m...ast/478_50.gif
Low pressure (970mb) lies to the west of Scotland. High pressure
(1021mb) lies close to Southwest Spain. The UK lies under light fresh
to strong southwesterly winds, with local gales. A band of rain will
move in from the west, followed by showers. Daytime temperatures will
be close to normal in most areas.

Summary:
A rather cool and showery start to next week for most people, before
high pressure builds over Europe, drawing in milder southwesterly
winds for most parts. The northwest will stay rather unsettled, whilst
the southeast becomes mostly dry and fine, with a late Indian Summer.
 
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