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Old November 1st 03, 09:18 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default 12Z Model Summary - Saturday 01st November 2003

Charts analysed are for T+96 hours - 12Z Wednesday 05th November 2003
unless stated.

UKMetO:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rukm961.html
High pressure (1035mb) lies to the east/southeast of the UK over
Eastern Europe. Another large high (1045mb) lies well to the northeast
towards Siberia. Low pressure (970mb) lies in the Atlantic to the
southwest of the UK, with a secondary low (980mb) to the northeast.
Winds across the UK are mostly light to moderate
south/southwesterlies, fresh in the northwest. Most southern and
eastern areas will be mainly dry and fine whilst the west may see some
rain or showers. Temperatures will be close to or just above normal in
many parts. Beyond this there is little change, but high pressure
shows signs of ridging from Siberia all the way towards Greenland.

GFS:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rtavn961.html
850hPa Temperatures: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rtavn962.html
2m Temperatures: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rtavn965.html
High pressure (1035mb) lies to the east/southeast of the UK over
Central Europe, with another high (1035mb) lying well to the northeast
towards Siberia. Low pressure (970mb) lies to the southwest of the UK
in the Atlantic, with a secondary low (980mb) to the northeast of this
low. Winds across the UK are moderate to fresh southwesterlies. Most
southeastern parts will be mainly fine and dry, but the west may be
cloudier with a little rain. 850hPa temperatures are close to +5C in
most areas. Forecast 2m temperatures range from +12C in the north to
+16C in the south. Beyond this there is little change, although winds
may bac more southeasterly as high pressure ridges from Greenland to
Siberia before developing into a large Scandinavian high.

DWD:
SLP: http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...011200_096.gif
High pressure (1035mb) lies over Germany and Poland, with another high
(1040mb) lying well to the northeast. Low pressure (970mb) lies in the
Atlantic, with other centres to the northeast of this low. Winds
across the UK are moderate to fresh southwesterlies. Most northwestern
parts will see a few showers at times, but it will be drier and
brighter to the southeast. Temperatures will be close to or above
normal in many parts. Beyond this high pressure drifts north to settle
over Scandinavia, and may introduce some cooler easterly winds into
the south.

NOGAPS:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rngp961.html
850hPa Temperatu http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rngp962.html
High pressure (1035mb) lies over Germany and Poland, with another high
(1040mb) centred towards Siberia. Low pressure (970mb) lies in the
Atlantic, with another low (975mb) close to Southwest Iceland. Winds
across the UK are mainly moderate to fresh southwesterlies. Most
southeastern parts will be mainly dry and fine, with showers possible
in the northwest. 850hPa temperatures are range from +5C in the north
to +8C in the southeast. Temperatures will be close to or above normal
in many parts. Beyond this there is little change.

JMA:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rjma961.html
850hPa Temperatures: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rjma962.html
High pressure (1030mb) lies over Central and Eastern Europe, with
another high (1040mb) centred towards Siberia. Low pressure (965mb)
lies in the Atlantic, with other lows to the northeast of this. Winds
across the UK are mainly moderate to fresh south/southwesterlies. Most
southeastern parts will be mainly dry and fine, with showers possible
in the northwest. 850hPa temperatures are range from +5C in the north
to +9C in the south. Temperatures will be above normal in many parts.
Beyond this there is little change with high pressure dominating,
meaning many places are mostly mild, fine and dry.

Canadian – T+72 hours for TUESDAY:
All charts: http://weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/data/m...ast/478_50.gif
Low pressure (980mb) lies to the west of the UK in the Atlantic, with
secondary lows (983mb and 987mb) lying to the northeast of the main
low. High pressure (1023mb) lies over Mainland Europe. The UK lies
under fresh to strong southwesterly winds. Most places will see a
mixture of sunshine and blustery showers, but the south and east will
be mainly dry. Daytime temperatures will be close to or just above
normal in most areas.

Summary:
High pressure looks set to dominate once again for the forseeable
future, bringing a lot of fine and dry weather to most parts. The far
west and northwest may see a little rain at times though thanks to the
Atlantic lows. Temperatures will be mostly above normal, but it may
turn a bit cooler in the south towards the end of the week with more
of an easterly component to the winds developing.

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