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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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Could someone please explain to me why we are breaking records this
November?? surely we have had strong southerlies in Nov from the exact same location as they are blowing from now? so can anybody just explain why its proving to be warmer this year than in any past events Thanks in advance for any replies. Dave Jordan. |
#2
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Dave.
I feel that we are more concious about global warming than the experts think. There is no doubt in my mind that things are warming to a greater extent than the so called experts predicted. However we must not be fooled into thinking this is how things will always be, as any cold spell will feel to be exceptionally cold, and warmer spells will feel warmer. About a month ago I was in Crete, and to me it was swelteringly hot, but to the locals it was cool to the extreme. Also I believe that the SSTs have a lot of influence over our climate and as we all know they are above average this year, especially around our southern and western coasts, so this could account for some of the records being broken. However it is November and whatever the temperature it is still autumn and it still gets darker earlier every day and taking that into account nothing has really changed. Enjoy while it lasts. Very best regards. Len. "david jordan" wrote in message ... Could someone please explain to me why we are breaking records this November?? surely we have had strong southerlies in Nov from the exact same location as they are blowing from now? so can anybody just explain why its proving to be warmer this year than in any past events Thanks in advance for any replies. Dave Jordan. |
#3
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![]() "david jordan" wrote in message ... Could someone please explain to me why we are breaking records this November?? surely we have had strong southerlies in Nov from the exact same location as they are blowing from now? so can anybody just explain why its proving to be warmer this year than in any past events But we're not. Not if you take a long view. Sure, some short period records have gone, but that's bound to happen on a regular basis. Yesterday's highest in the UK to hand was 18.8ºC at Northolt. In the last 100 years 18ºC has been reached in 49 Novembers somewhere in the UK, 19ºC in 19 Novembers, and 20ºC in four, and 21ºC in two. Even the heavily quoted Heathrow record yesterday was not really unusual ... 18.4ºC beat the record of 18.3ºC set in Nov.1984, there was an 18.2ºC in 1994, and 18.1ºC in 1996 and an 18.0ºC in 1982. And the London Weather Centre had 19.2ºC on 3rd November 1994. Philip Eden |
#4
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On Fri, 7 Nov 2003 12:26:53 -0000, "Philip Eden" philipATweatherHYPHENukDOTcom
wrote: "david jordan" wrote in message ... Could someone please explain to me why we are breaking records this November?? surely we have had strong southerlies in Nov from the exact same location as they are blowing from now? so can anybody just explain why its proving to be warmer this year than in any past events But we're not. Not if you take a long view. Sure, some short period records have gone, but that's bound to happen on a regular basis. Yesterday's highest in the UK to hand was 18.8ºC at Northolt. In the last 100 years 18ºC has been reached in 49 Novembers somewhere in the UK, 19ºC in 19 Novembers, and 20ºC in four, and 21ºC in two. Even the heavily quoted Heathrow record yesterday was not really unusual ... 18.4ºC beat the record of 18.3ºC set in Nov.1984, there was an 18.2ºC in 1994, and 18.1ºC in 1996 and an 18.0ºC in 1982. And the London Weather Centre had 19.2ºC on 3rd November 1994. There is a fairly obvious journalistic "spin" put on weather records as they help to fill column inches when journos run out of Royal Family/sport type stories. Thank goodness we haven't yet picked up on the slightly ludicrous American habit of having records for a specific date. JPG Philip Eden |
#5
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![]() "JPG" wrote in message ... On Fri, 7 Nov 2003 12:26:53 -0000, "Philip Eden" philipATweatherHYPHENukDOTcom wrote: Yesterday's highest in the UK to hand was 18.8ºC at Northolt. In the last 100 years 18ºC has been reached in 49 Novembers somewhere in the UK, 19ºC in 19 Novembers, and 20ºC in four, and 21ºC in two. Even the heavily quoted Heathrow record yesterday was not really unusual ... 18.4ºC beat the record of 18.3ºC set in Nov.1984, there was an 18.2ºC in 1994, and 18.1ºC in 1996 and an 18.0ºC in 1982. And the London Weather Centre had 19.2ºC on 3rd November 1994. There is a fairly obvious journalistic "spin" put on weather records as they help to fill column inches when journos run out of Royal Family/sport type stories. Thank goodness we haven't yet picked up on the slightly ludicrous American habit of having records for a specific date. Oh, J.Peasemold, you must have known as you pressed the "send" key ... From Whitaker's Almanack 2003, page 1254: "At Colwyn Bay and Hawarden the maximum temperature of 16.9ºC on the 30th [Nov 2001] broke the record for the last day of the month." Source of data: UKMO Philip Eden (Very occasionally guilty of the offence too) |
#6
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![]() Thank goodness we haven't yet picked up on the slightly ludicrous American habit of having records for a specific date. JPG You mean these http://www.torro.org.uk/severeweathe...htempsyear.htm ? (a bit out of date mind) |
#7
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On Fri, 7 Nov 2003 13:16:15 -0000, "Philip Eden" philipATweatherHYPHENukDOTcom
wrote: "JPG" wrote in message .. . On Fri, 7 Nov 2003 12:26:53 -0000, "Philip Eden" philipATweatherHYPHENukDOTcom wrote: Yesterday's highest in the UK to hand was 18.8ºC at Northolt. In the last 100 years 18ºC has been reached in 49 Novembers somewhere in the UK, 19ºC in 19 Novembers, and 20ºC in four, and 21ºC in two. Even the heavily quoted Heathrow record yesterday was not really unusual ... 18.4ºC beat the record of 18.3ºC set in Nov.1984, there was an 18.2ºC in 1994, and 18.1ºC in 1996 and an 18.0ºC in 1982. And the London Weather Centre had 19.2ºC on 3rd November 1994. There is a fairly obvious journalistic "spin" put on weather records as they help to fill column inches when journos run out of Royal Family/sport type stories. Thank goodness we haven't yet picked up on the slightly ludicrous American habit of having records for a specific date. Oh, J.Peasemold, you must have known as you pressed the "send" key ... From Whitaker's Almanack 2003, page 1254: "At Colwyn Bay and Hawarden the maximum temperature of 16.9ºC on the 30th [Nov 2001] broke the record for the last day of the month." Source of data: UKMO I stand corrected. I must say I have not been a great almanac reader (except Wisden's) since my grandmother used to leave "Old Moore's" lying around with all its astrological weather forecasts. JPG Philip Eden (Very occasionally guilty of the offence too) |
#8
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In uk.sci.weather on Fri, 7 Nov 2003 at 12:42:50, JPG wrote :
Thank goodness we haven't yet picked up on the slightly ludicrous American habit of having records for a specific date. That's a pity then - that's something I have Excel do for my own records! ![]() -- Paul Hyett, Cheltenham Email to pahyett[AT]activist[DOT]demon[DOT]co[DOT]uk |
#9
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![]() "Joe" wrote in message ... You mean these http://www.torro.org.uk/severeweathe...htempsyear.htm ? (a bit out of date mind) Very interesting, I've never seen anything like that before. I'm surprised at the variation in the temps from day to day though, given the length of the record. Looks like the coldest day, statistically is Jan 25th. Only a few months out of date though, there are entries for Jan 2003. However there are a few somewhat notable entries missing from August though ![]() Col -- Bolton, Lancashire. 160m asl. http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co.uk |
#10
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"david jordan" wrote in
: Could someone please explain to me why we are breaking records this November?? surely we have had strong southerlies in Nov from the exact same location as they are blowing from now? so can anybody just explain why its proving to be warmer this year than in any past events Interesting to see all these local warmest November records going in the UK - only 2 weeks ago (if I recall correctly from what was posted on the newsgroup) Munich had its coldest October night (or was it day?). Global warming or global cooling?! Cheers Richard |
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