Latest AVN forecast is looking very wild for these parts on Thursday night
/ Friday morning;
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn783.gif
The positioning of this low seems to be changing markedly with every run
however. I'm not sure I want it to remain similar either, that looks
extremely severe for whoever gets it..?!


--
-----------------------------
Alex Stephens Jr
Wishaw, North Lanarkshire, Scotland
(20 miles ESE of Glasgow)
55°47'14" -3°55'15" 115m/358ftamsl
http://www.alex114.pwp.blueyonder.co.uk
----------------------------

"Alex Stephens Jnr" wrote in message
...
Latest AVN forecast is looking very wild for these parts on Thursday night
/ Friday morning;
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn783.gif
The positioning of this low seems to be changing markedly with every run
however. I'm not sure I want it to remain similar either, that looks
extremely severe for whoever gets it..?!

And if it tracks over the Forth/Clyde valley then my area will get it.

Last night's BBC forecast was stressing the uncertainty of the low's
positioning showing two possible tracks on the forecast charts.
Though I don't know whether these were the two most likely outcomes
or the two extremes.

Col
--
Bolton, Lancashire.
160m asl.
http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co.uk

having had 5 days of ESE and drizzly hill fog I am, and i know its wrong of
me, looking forward to this low like a child looks forward to a tenner
falling out of a birthday card

Is there a term for the guilt one feels when hoping that bad weather is
worse than anticipated?

brian
aberfeldy

474 mm up to and inc. October



"Alex Stephens Jnr" wrote in
message ...
Latest AVN forecast is looking very wild for these parts on Thursday night
/ Friday morning;
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn783.gif
The positioning of this low seems to be changing markedly with every run
however. I'm not sure I want it to remain similar either, that looks
extremely severe for whoever gets it..?!


--
-----------------------------
Alex Stephens Jr
Wishaw, North Lanarkshire, Scotland
(20 miles ESE of Glasgow)
55°47'14" -3°55'15" 115m/358ftamsl
http://www.alex114.pwp.blueyonder.co.uk
----------------------------

"Alex Stephens Jnr" schreef in
bericht ...
Latest AVN forecast is looking very wild for these parts on Thursday night
/ Friday morning;
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn783.gif
The positioning of this low seems to be changing markedly with every run
however. I'm not sure I want it to remain similar either, that looks
extremely severe for whoever gets it..?!


snip
Alex, think the worst (best :-)) ) moments will be over when we arrive at
Edinburgh Airport next Saturdaymorning? Real autumn in Edinburgh though?

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn841.gif


Wijke

"Col" wrote in message
...

"Alex Stephens Jnr" wrote in
message
...
Latest AVN forecast is looking very wild for these parts on Thursday
night
/ Friday morning;
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn783.gif
The positioning of this low seems to be changing markedly with every
run
however. I'm not sure I want it to remain similar either, that looks
extremely severe for whoever gets it..?!

And if it tracks over the Forth/Clyde valley then my area will get it.

Last night's BBC forecast was stressing the uncertainty of the low's
positioning showing two possible tracks on the forecast charts.
Though I don't know whether these were the two most likely outcomes
or the two extremes.

I saw that forecast - it was particularly interesting because it is normally
considered that people cannot cope with probabilities in weather forecasts.
Nice to see.

- Michael

I saw that forecast - it was particularly interesting because it is normally
considered that people cannot cope with probabilities in weather forecasts.
Nice to see.

- Michael


CYA I expect.....

Suggests its going to be a brute. Glad I am not on the hill on Friday.

Richard Webb

On Tue, 11 Nov 2003 10:43:14 -0000, "MichaelJP"
wrote:



I saw that forecast - it was particularly interesting because it is normally
considered that people cannot cope with probabilities in weather forecasts.
Nice to see.

So what exactly does a 70% risk of disruption actually mean?


--
Paul

"Paul C" wrote in message
...
On Tue, 11 Nov 2003 10:43:14 -0000, "MichaelJP"
wrote:



I saw that forecast - it was particularly interesting because it is
normally
considered that people cannot cope with probabilities in weather
forecasts.
Nice to see.

So what exactly does a 70% risk of disruption actually mean?


Have a look at:-

http://homepage.ntlworld.com/booty.w...o/ukwxwngs.htm

Martin.