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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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Latest AVN forecast is looking very wild for these parts on Thursday night
/ Friday morning; http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn783.gif The positioning of this low seems to be changing markedly with every run however. I'm not sure I want it to remain similar either, that looks extremely severe for whoever gets it..?! -- ----------------------------- Alex Stephens Jr Wishaw, North Lanarkshire, Scotland (20 miles ESE of Glasgow) 55°47'14" -3°55'15" 115m/358ftamsl http://www.alex114.pwp.blueyonder.co.uk ---------------------------- |
#2
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![]() "Alex Stephens Jnr" wrote in message ... Latest AVN forecast is looking very wild for these parts on Thursday night / Friday morning; http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn783.gif The positioning of this low seems to be changing markedly with every run however. I'm not sure I want it to remain similar either, that looks extremely severe for whoever gets it..?! And if it tracks over the Forth/Clyde valley then my area will get it. Last night's BBC forecast was stressing the uncertainty of the low's positioning showing two possible tracks on the forecast charts. Though I don't know whether these were the two most likely outcomes or the two extremes. Col -- Bolton, Lancashire. 160m asl. http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co.uk |
#3
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having had 5 days of ESE and drizzly hill fog I am, and i know its wrong of
me, looking forward to this low like a child looks forward to a tenner falling out of a birthday card Is there a term for the guilt one feels when hoping that bad weather is worse than anticipated? brian aberfeldy 474 mm up to and inc. October "Alex Stephens Jnr" wrote in message ... Latest AVN forecast is looking very wild for these parts on Thursday night / Friday morning; http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn783.gif The positioning of this low seems to be changing markedly with every run however. I'm not sure I want it to remain similar either, that looks extremely severe for whoever gets it..?! -- ----------------------------- Alex Stephens Jr Wishaw, North Lanarkshire, Scotland (20 miles ESE of Glasgow) 55°47'14" -3°55'15" 115m/358ftamsl http://www.alex114.pwp.blueyonder.co.uk ---------------------------- |
#4
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![]() "Alex Stephens Jnr" schreef in bericht ... Latest AVN forecast is looking very wild for these parts on Thursday night / Friday morning; http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn783.gif The positioning of this low seems to be changing markedly with every run however. I'm not sure I want it to remain similar either, that looks extremely severe for whoever gets it..?! snip Alex, think the worst (best :-)) ) moments will be over when we arrive at Edinburgh Airport next Saturdaymorning? Real autumn in Edinburgh though? http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn841.gif Wijke |
#5
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"Col" wrote in message
... "Alex Stephens Jnr" wrote in message ... Latest AVN forecast is looking very wild for these parts on Thursday night / Friday morning; http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn783.gif The positioning of this low seems to be changing markedly with every run however. I'm not sure I want it to remain similar either, that looks extremely severe for whoever gets it..?! And if it tracks over the Forth/Clyde valley then my area will get it. Last night's BBC forecast was stressing the uncertainty of the low's positioning showing two possible tracks on the forecast charts. Though I don't know whether these were the two most likely outcomes or the two extremes. I saw that forecast - it was particularly interesting because it is normally considered that people cannot cope with probabilities in weather forecasts. Nice to see. - Michael |
#6
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![]() I saw that forecast - it was particularly interesting because it is normally considered that people cannot cope with probabilities in weather forecasts. Nice to see. - Michael CYA I expect..... Suggests its going to be a brute. Glad I am not on the hill on Friday. Richard Webb |
#7
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On Tue, 11 Nov 2003 10:43:14 -0000, "MichaelJP"
wrote: I saw that forecast - it was particularly interesting because it is normally considered that people cannot cope with probabilities in weather forecasts. Nice to see. So what exactly does a 70% risk of disruption actually mean? -- Paul |
#8
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![]() "Paul C" wrote in message ... On Tue, 11 Nov 2003 10:43:14 -0000, "MichaelJP" wrote: I saw that forecast - it was particularly interesting because it is normally considered that people cannot cope with probabilities in weather forecasts. Nice to see. So what exactly does a 70% risk of disruption actually mean? Have a look at:- http://homepage.ntlworld.com/booty.w...o/ukwxwngs.htm Martin. |
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