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Old December 23rd 03, 09:20 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default 12Z Model Summary - Tuesday 23rd December 2003

Charts analysed are for T+96 hours - 12Z Saturday 27th December 2003
unless stated.

UKMetO:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rukm961.html
Low pressure (975mb) lies over Northern Scotland and across to Norway.
High pressure (1025mb) lies in the mid Atlantic. Winds across the
country are mostly moderate southwesterlies, veering northwesterly in
the west Most areas will see rain or showers, perhaps wintry on
northern hills later. Temperatures will be close to normal in most
parts. Beyond this conditions remain on the unsettled side with
further rain or showers at times.

GFS:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rtavn961.html
850hPa Temperatures: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rtavn962.html
2m Temperatures: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rtavn965.html
Low pressure (two centres of 975mb) lies over Scotland and close to
Norway. High pressure (1030mb) lies in the Atlantic. Winds across the
country are mostly light to moderate west/southwesterlies, veering
north/northeasterly in the northwest. Most parts will see rain or
showers at times, wintry in the north later. 850hpa temperatures range
from -5C in the northwest to -1C in the southeast. Forecast 2m
temperatures range from between +4C in Central Scotland and +9C in the
south. Beyond this showery conditions prevail, and it turns colder
with a chance of wintry showers in many places for a time.

DWD:
SLP: http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...231200_096.gif
Low pressure (975mb) lies over Scandinavia. High pressure (1025mb)
lies in the Atlantic. Winds across the country are mostly light
west/northwesterlies. Many areas will see a mix of sunshine and
showers, wintry in the north. Temperatures will be close to normal.
Beyond this conditions are mostly unsettled, and turn milder again as
winds come off the Atlantic.

NOGAPS:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rngp1201.html
850hPa Temperatu http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rngp1202.html
T+96 charts unavailable, so T+120 charts analysed.
Low pressure (980mb) lies over Scandinavia. High pressure (1025mb)
lies in the Atlantic to the west of Spain. Winds are mainly light to
moderate north/northwesterlies. Many areas will see a mix of sunshine
and showers, perhaps wintry in the north. 850hPa temperatures range
from -5C in the north to -1C in the south. Temperatures will be near
to normal. Beyond this conditions remain rather cold and showery.

JMA:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rjma961.html
850hPa Temperatures: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rjma962.html
Low pressure (980mb) lies over Southern Norway. High pressure (1025mb)
lies in the mid Atlantic. Winds across the country are mostly light
northwesterlies. A mixture of sunshine and showers is likely, wintry
on northern hills. 850hPa temperatures range from -5C in the northwest
to -1C in the southeast. Temperatures will be close to normal. Beyond
this conditions are rather cold with showers for a time before turning
milder and unsettled from off the Atlantic.

Canadian – T+72 hours for FRIDAY - BOXING DAY:
All charts: http://weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/data/m...ast/478_50.gif
Low pressure lies close to the northeast of Britain over Scandinavia.
High pressure (1029mb) lies out in the Atlantic. Winds across the UK
are mostly moderate to fresh west/southwesterlies. Rain will slowly
move southeast followed by brighter and showery weather in the north.
Temperatures will be close to normal in many areas, but rather mild in
the south.

Summary:
As we head into the weekend, cooler conditions look set to move down
across the country, with some wintry showers in the north. Beyond this
things become very uncertain, with a range of solutions giving,
ranging from turning milder again to staying on the cold side.

***This is my last model summary of 2003 as I am away over the
Christmas period. The summaries will resume on January 3rd 2004. A
very Merry Christmas to everyone and all the best for 2004.***

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