Home |
Search |
Today's Posts |
![]() |
|
uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
Reply |
|
LinkBack | Thread Tools | Display Modes |
#1
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Sunday. Issued 0649z,
New Year's Eve. ECMWF: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1201.gif SW'lies cover the UK, with high pressure stretching from east of the Azores to southern Germany. A trough brings westerlies to Ireland and Scotland at T+144, followed by WSW'lies and westerlies as a low deepens to the SW of Iceland. MetO: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.html High pressure covers Iberia and France, resulting in westerlies over the UK. The winds become SW'lies at T+144 as a low deepens to the west of Scotland. GFS: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1081.gif WSW'lies and SW'lies cover the UK, due to a deep low west of Iceland. The winds become NW'lies and westerlies at T+120 as a trough deepens over the North Sea, with 850hPa temperatures ranging from -3C over Scotland to +5C over SE England. A secondary low lies to the SW of Ireland at T+144, with westerlies for most, followed by northerlies and NW'lies at T+168 as the low deepens over the Netherlands. The UK lies under SW'lies on day 8, from a deep low SW of Iceland. The SW'lies become stronger on day 9 as the low deepens and moves NE'wards, followed by westerlies on day 10 as the low fills to the west of Norway. GEM: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rgem1201.gif The Canadian run shows westerlies over the UK, with high pressure over France. 850hPa temperatures vary from -1C over Northern Ireland to +3C over England. The winds become WSW'lies for all at T+144, as the resutl of lows to the north and NW. JMA: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rjma1201.html Low pressure lies to the NW of the UK, leading to westerlies for all. 850hPa temperatures range from -1C over NW Scotland to +5C over East Anglia and Cornwall. The westerlies continue at T+144 and T+168; even by day 8 much of the UK still lies under westerlies, with SW'lies for Scotland. In summary, the models show an unsettled and mobile spell of weather approaching, although as ever in these situations the further NW you are the less settled it is likely to be. |
Reply |
Thread Tools | Search this Thread |
Display Modes | |
|
|
![]() |
||||
Thread | Forum | |||
Today's model interpretation (New Year's Eve 2011) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (New Year's Eve 2010) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (New Year's Eve 2009) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (New Year's Eve) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Today's model interpretation (New Year's Eve 2004) | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) |