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Old January 2nd 04, 06:59 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (2/01/04)

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Tuesday. Issued
0658z, 2/01/04.

ECMWF: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1201.gif
An area of low pressure is centred over the Irish Sea, with cyclonic winds
for the UK. The low moves away to the east at T+144, although southerlies
cover the UK, this time from a low to the west of Ireland. The southerlies
continue at T+168 as another low deepens to the west of Ireland.

MetO: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.html
A WNW'ly flow covers England and Scotland, with southerlies elsewhere, due
to a weak ridge over the British Isles. The ridge merges with a building
high over Scandinavia at T+144, leading to southerlies over the UK.

GFS: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1081.gif
Light westerlies and NW'lies cover the UK, with lows to the west, east and
north. The low to the west deepens at T+120, reaulting in SSW'lies and
southerlies over the UK, with 850hPa temperatures ranging from -2C over NW
Scotland to +4C over Cornwall. The winds become westerlies at T+144 as the
low deepens to the NW and there's little change at T+168. By day 8 the low
lies to the NE of Scotland, with westerlies and WSW'lies over the UK. The
winds become WNW'lies on day 9 due to a weak ridge over the UK, followed by
WSW'lies again on day 10 as a new low moves eastwards to the SW of Iceland.

GEM: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rgem1201.gif
The Canadian run shows a ridge over the North Sea, with SW'lies for much of
the UK. 850hPa temperatures vary from -3C over NE Scotland to +3C over SW
England. By T+144 the winds become southerlies and SSW'lies, with a deep low
well to the west of the UK.

JMA: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rjma1201.html
The UK lies under a ridge, with SSW'lies for Northern Ireland, Wales and SW
England. The rest of the UK lies under WNW'lies, with 850hPa temperatures
ranging from -3C over northern Scotland to +1C over SW England. SW'lies and
southerlies from a low to the SW of Iceland affect the UK at T+144, followed
by westerlies, SW'lies and NW'lies at T+168 as another weak ridge moves
swiftly eastwards. SW'lies cover the UK on day 8, with a deep low to the SW
of Iceland.

In summary, the models persist in showing a generally unsettled theme,
especially for the north and west, for the forseeable future.



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