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Old January 8th 04, 08:33 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default 12Z Model Summary - Thursday 08th January 2004

Charts analysed are for T+96 hours - 12Z Monday 12th January 2004
unless stated.

UKMetO:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rukm961.html
Low pressure (970mb) lies over Iceland, with a secondary low (970mb)
developing to the west of Ireland in the Atlantic. High pressure
(1030mb) lies over the Azores. Winds across the country are mostly
moderate to fresh to south/southwesterlies, with gales later in the
southwest. Most areas will see showers giving way to rain from the
west later. Temperatures will be close to or just above normal in most
parts. Beyond this conditions remain very unsettled with further rain
or showers at times, and gradually turning colder.

GFS:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rtavn961.html
850hPa Temperatures: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rtavn962.html
2m Temperatures: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rtavn965.html
Low pressure (965mb) lies to the southeast of Iceland, with another
low (970mb) developing to the west of the UK in the Atlantic. High
pressure (1030mb) lies over the Azores. Winds across the country are
mostly fresh westerlies, backing south/southwesterly later. Most parts
will see showers at times, with rain moving into the west later.
850hpa temperatures are close to -1C in many areas. Forecast 2m
temperatures range from between +8C in the northeast to +10C in the
far southwest. Beyond this the very unsettled conditions prevail, and
there are continuing signs that it may turn colder later next week.

DWD:
SLP: http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...081200_096.gif
A deep low pressure (960mb) lies close to the northwest of Ireland.
High pressure (1025mb) lies close to the Azores and Spain. Winds
across the country are mostly strong to gale or even severe gale force
west/southwesterlies. Many areas will be wet and stormy. Temperatures
will be close to normal. Beyond this conditions are very unsettled,
with spells of wet and very windy weather and perhaps turning colder
later.

NOGAPS:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rngp961.html
850hPa Temperatu http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rngp962.html
Low pressure (965mb) lies to the east/southeast of Iceland, with a
secondary low (965mb) developing out in the Atlantic to the west of
the UK. High pressure (1030mb) lies over the Azores. Winds across the
country are mostly moderate to fresh westerlies. Showers are likely in
all parts. 850hPa temperatures are close to -1C in many parts.
Temperatures will be close to normal. Beyond this conditions remain
very unsettled with further wind and rain, and then perhaps turning
colder from the northwest.

JMA:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rjma961.html
850hPa Temperatures: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rjma962.html
Low pressure (970mb) lies just to the southeast of Iceland, with a
secondary low (985mb) developing close to Ireland. High pressure
(1030mb) lies over the Azores. Winds across the country are mostly
moderate to fresh south/southwesterlies, possible gales in the
Channel. Spells of rain or showers are likely in all parts. 850hPa
temperatures range from -1C in the northeast to +5C in the far
southwest. Temperatures will be close to or just above normal. Beyond
this conditions remain very unsettled with further spells of rain and
very windy at times, and turning somewhat colder from the northwest.

Canadian – T+72 hours for SUNDAY:
All charts: http://weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/data/m...ast/478_50.gif
Low pressure (968mb) lies close to Northern Scotland, with a secondary
centre (972mb) in the Atlantic. High pressure (1029mb) lies to the
west of Portugal in the Atlantic. Winds across the country are fresh
to strong west/southwesterlies. Many parts will see rain or showers at
times, whilst temperatures will be close to or just above normal.

Summary:
Once again a very unsettled outlook from the models tonight, with
spells of wet and potentially very windy weather for all parts at
times. The models continue to hint at colder weather for the second
half of next week, but this is still a very long way off.

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