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Old January 22nd 04, 07:45 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default 12Z Model Summary - Thursday 22nd January 2004

Charts analysed are for T+96 hours - 12Z Monday 26th January 2004
unless stated.

UKMetO:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rukm961.html
Low pressure (990mb) lies well to the north of Scotland. Another low
(990mb) lies in the English Channel. High pressure (1025mb) lies
towards the Azores, with another high (1035mb) over Greenland which
ridges south into the Atlantic to the west of Britain. Yet another
high (1025mb) is settled over Western Russia. Winds across the country
are moderate to fresh north/northeasterlies, strong in the south.
Northern areas will see snow showers, whilst the south is very cold
with rain, sleet or snow. Temperatures will be below normal in most
parts. Beyond this pressure remains high to the west/northwest of the
country, with bitterly cold north/northeasterly winds in many parts,
along with some potentially significant snowfall in places.

GFS:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rtavn961.html
850hPa Temperatures: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rtavn962.html
2m Temperatures: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rtavn965.html
Low pressure (980mb) lies well to the north of Britain, with another
low (two centres of 1000mb) lying close to the south of Britain. High
pressure (1020mb) lies over the Azores, with another high (1030mb)
close to Iceland and Greenland. Pressure is also high (1020mb) over
Western Russia. Winds across the country are mostly light easterlies
in the south, freshening north/northeasterlies in the northwest. Most
northern parts will see a mixture of sunshine and snow showers, with
more persistant rain, sleet or snow in the south. 850hpa temperatures
range from -10 in the north to -2C in the far southwest. Forecast 2m
temperatures range from -1C in the north to +5C in the far south.
Beyond this pressure remains high to the west/northwest of the UK,
bringing bitterly cold winds and increasing risk of snowfall in many
parts, especially in the north and east.

DWD:
SLP: http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...221200_096.gif
Low pressure (990mb) lies to the northwest of Scandinavia. High
pressure (1025mb) lies over the Azores, with another high (1030mb)
developing over Greenland, which ridges south into the Atlantic. Winds
across the country are mostly light northerlies. Many areas will be
bright with coastal wintry showers at times. Temperatures will be
close to or just below normal in may areas. Beyond this most parts are
cold with wintry showers for a brief time before turning milder from
the southwest.

NOGAPS:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rngp961.html
850hPa Temperatu http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rngp962.html
Low pressure (990mb) lies well to the north of Britain, with another
low (995mb) lying over Southern Ireland. High pressure (1025mb) lies
over the Azores, with another high (1055mb) over Greenland. Pressure
is also high (1020mb) over Russia. Winds across the country are mostly
light to moderate southerlies in the south; easterlies in the
northwest. Many parts will be at risk of seeing rain, sleet or snow at
times. 850hpa temperatures range from -7C in the north to +1C in the
far southwest. Temperatures will be close to or below normal. Beyond
this conditions are very cold and potentially snowy for a time in the
north before turning milder from the southwest later.

JMA:
SLP: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rjma961.html
850hPa Temperatures: http://www.wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rjma962.html
Not available tonight.

Canadian – T+72 hours for SUNDAY:
All charts: http://weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/data/m...ast/478_50.gif
Low pressure (992mb) lies well to the north of the UK. High pressure
(1027mb) lies to the southwest of Spain and Portugal. Another high
(1036mb) lies over Greenland and ridges south into the Atlantic. Winds
across the country are mainly moderate to fresh west/northwesterlies.
Many areas will see a mix of sunshine and showers, the showers turning
wintry in the north. Temperatures will be close to or just below
normal.

Summary:
Once again a potentially very wintry theme from the models tonight for
the early part of next week, although the DWD and NOGAPS models are
relunctant to turn the south cold for long with milder air soon
returning. However the UKMO and GFS models keep the cold spell going
towards the end of next week.

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