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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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"Elena" wrote in message
om... I read The Independent Online: "In a startling report, the WMO, which normally produces detailed scientific reports and staid statistics at the year's end, highlighted record extremes in weather and climate occurring all over the world in recent weeks - and linked them to climate change. The unprecedented warning snip from an impeccably respected UN organisation snip. The unstable world of climate change has long been a prediction. Now, the WMO says, it is a reality.snip The whole story: http://news.independent.co.uk/world/...p?story=421166 Opinions ? Hi Elena, I have waited to reply to your post because I wanted to prove that there would be little interest from this group in a very important announcement. One of the reasons little action has been taken to counter global warming is that meteorologists have remained uninterested in the problem, and this gives entirely the wrong message to the general public. One reason we in Britain are not concerned is because until now the effects have not been marked. I suspect that in Finland the weather is extremely warm for the time of year, and that was one reason for your interest in the Independent report. The actual press release from the WMO can be seen at; http://www.wmo.ch/web/Press/Press695.doc I begins; ---------------- ACCORDING TO THE WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION, EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS MIGHT INCREASE Geneva, 2 July 2003 - Record extremes in weather and climate events continue to occur around the world. Recent scientific assessments indicate that, as the global temperatures continue to warm due to climate change, the number and intensity of extreme events might increase, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) states in a press release issued today. In June, record high temperatures were recorded across southern France, with maximum temperatures exceeding 40°C in parts of southwest France. This resulted in June average temperatures of 5 to 7°C above the long-term average. In Switzerland, the month of June was the hottest in at least the past 250 years, according to environmental historians. In Geneva, since 29 May, maximum daytime temperatures did not drop below 25°C, making June the hottest June on record for the city. --------------- The thing to note is that the WMO is based in Geneva. Switzerland had its hottest month for 250 years. It is only when the meteorologist at the WMO suffer from global warming that they take any notice. The reason the world is taking no action is that the east coast of North America, where the centre of political power resides, has not yet suffered these record tempratures, and when they do they will be able to turn up the air conditioning. The problem, as I see it, is that it is now too late to avoid disaster. When the glaciers and ice caps melt, the change in albedo will amplify the warming from the carbon dioxide. Since they are melting now, even if we held CO2 at today's levels the ice would continue to melt. The current high temperatures, flooding, and droughts are only a taster of what is to come, but this realistic view is regarded as nonsense by pundits and public alike! Cheers, Alastair. |
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In article , Alastair McDonald
k writes "Elena" wrote in message . com... I read The Independent Online: "In a startling report, the WMO, which normally produces detailed scientific reports and staid statistics at the year's end, highlighted record extremes in weather and climate occurring all over the world in recent weeks - and linked them to climate change. The unprecedented warning snip from an impeccably respected UN organisation snip. The unstable world of climate change has long been a prediction. Now, the WMO says, it is a reality.snip The whole story: http://news.independent.co.uk/world/...p?story=421166 Opinions ? Hi Elena, I have waited to reply to your post because I wanted to prove that there would be little interest from this group in a very important announcement. One of the reasons little action has been taken to counter global warming is that meteorologists have remained uninterested in the problem, and this gives entirely the wrong message to the general public. One reason we in Britain are not concerned is because until now the effects have not been marked. I suspect that in Finland the weather is extremely warm for the time of year, and that was one reason for your interest in the Independent report. I can't understand why you think meteorologists are not interested in the global warming discussion. It is one of the hot topics in the profession these days and has been for some considerable time. The interest, of course is in the science, not the politics. Perhaps it is the politicians who are uninterested. One point - It's important always to bear in mind that the relevant topic is "global" warming, not unusual warmth in very localised areas. The fact that parts (most?) of the British Isles have had an unusually warm June proves nothing. Similarly, extremely warm conditions in Finland proves nothing. Not so far away, Moscow had its coldest June this year since 1941 but that doesn't prove global cooling ![]() been reported in the past few days in this newsgroup, New Zealand has been experiencing an unusually cold spell. Also, despite the undoubted problems that will inevitably be caused by global warming there are also bound to be benefits in some parts of the world. It is inconceivable that changing climate can be all bad news. Norman -- Norman Lynagh Weather Consultancy Chalfont St. Giles Buckinghamshire |
#3
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![]() " The fact that parts (most?) of the British Isles have had an unusually warm June proves nothing. Similarly, extremely warm conditions in Finland proves nothing. Not so far away, Moscow had its coldest June this year since 1941 but that doesn't prove global cooling ![]() been reported in the past few days in this newsgroup, New Zealand has been experiencing an unusually cold spell. Also, despite the undoubted problems that will i Several things. The reason I mentioned Tuvalu was the fact they were, or still are attempting to sue the USA and Australian goverment. Why you ask? Because they said their small island was at risk of rising sea levels and the USA and Australia were to blame. Of course the case didn't hold water (pun intended) In fact the levels had dropped. As we are living in an increasingly 'blame culture' society. Where the louder a self interest group will shout and spin their apparent plight, the more chattering class outfits like the Guardian,Independent and NYT will report it with hand wringing empathetic frenzy. As a result large sums of international funding find a new home. Neatly on .... At first I thought it was the Independent on Sunday who published an infamous gaff of Mr Meacher. but I was wrong. Now Mr Meacher( recently sacked environment minister ) made a statement in the London Sunday Times and when you consider that this man has been the darhlink of the Independent and Guardian for some time.It kind of devalues the plausability of the arguments This Meacher howler is an old chestnut now but still worth reading. From August 2002 The Sunday Times. I bring you the truth " Britain's Environment Minister Michael Meacher, who likes to berate the U.S. for its backward stance on global warming, made a fool of himself in the August 9 issue of the London Sunday Times. Here's an excerpt from the interview: Meacher: "I mean floods in Britain is one we are having to explain, rising sea levels, but in America quite serious things are happening, certainly stronger hurricanes on the east coast which are to do with, what is the name of that hurricane that comes every 2-3 years?" Interviewer: "They call them different names." Meacher: "No, no, there is a name which is the Spanish word for a young child, what is it called?" Interviewer: El Niño." Meacher: "The El Niño is becoming more frequent and more violent..". There we are an experts view on El Niño . Norman Lynagh sensibly cites the fact that Moscow had it's coldest June since 1941 as an example of not getting too carried away with extremes. But as we should all know by now that with the greenhouse lobby textreme cold or extreme heat is a perfect example of global warming. So you can't win. A more sensible view would IMO be found here. http://www.vision.net.au/~daly/christy.htm |
#4
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![]() "lawrence Jenkins" wrote in message ... " The fact that parts (most?) of the British Isles have had an unusually warm June proves nothing. Similarly, extremely warm conditions in Finland proves nothing. Not so far away, Moscow had its coldest June this year since 1941 but that doesn't prove global cooling ![]() been reported in the past few days in this newsgroup, New Zealand has been experiencing an unusually cold spell. Also, despite the undoubted problems that will i Several things. The reason I mentioned Tuvalu was the fact they were, or still are attempting to sue the USA and Australian goverment. Why you ask? Because they said their small island was at risk of rising sea levels and the USA and Australia were to blame. Of course the case didn't hold water (pun intended) In fact the levels had dropped. As we are living in an increasingly 'blame culture' society. Where the louder a self interest group will shout and spin their apparent plight, the more chattering class outfits like the Guardian,Independent and NYT will report it with hand wringing empathetic frenzy. As a result large sums of international funding find a new home. Neatly on .... At first I thought it was the Independent on Sunday who published an infamous gaff of Mr Meacher. but I was wrong. Now Mr Meacher( recently sacked environment minister ) made a statement in the London Sunday Times and when you consider that this man has been the darhlink of the Independent and Guardian for some time.It kind of devalues the plausability of the arguments This Meacher howler is an old chestnut now but still worth reading. From August 2002 The Sunday Times. I bring you the truth " Britain's Environment Minister Michael Meacher, who likes to berate the U.S. for its backward stance on global warming, made a fool of himself in the August 9 issue of the London Sunday Times. Here's an excerpt from the interview: Meacher: "I mean floods in Britain is one we are having to explain, rising sea levels, but in America quite serious things are happening, certainly stronger hurricanes on the east coast which are to do with, what is the name of that hurricane that comes every 2-3 years?" Interviewer: "They call them different names." Meacher: "No, no, there is a name which is the Spanish word for a young child, what is it called?" Interviewer: El Niño." Meacher: "The El Niño is becoming more frequent and more violent..". There we are an experts view on El Niño . Norman Lynagh sensibly cites the fact that Moscow had it's coldest June since 1941 as an example of not getting too carried away with extremes. But as we should all know by now that with the greenhouse lobby textreme cold or extreme heat is a perfect example of global warming. So you can't win. A more sensible view would IMO be found here. http://www.vision.net.au/~daly/christy.htm Lawrence, for another view of what J. Daly has to say try http://www.trump.net.au/~greenhou/. The word 'demolition' comes to mind. |
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#6
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"Alastair McDonald" k wrote
in message snip One of the reasons little action has been taken to counter global warming is that meteorologists have remained uninterested in the problem snip Hmm, two words, Hadley and Centre... http://www.metoffice.com/research/ha...odeltypes.html http://www.metoffice.com/research/ha...modeldata.html http://www.metoffice.com/research/ha...lks/index.html Jon. |
#7
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#8
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In article , Alastair McDonald
k writes In a way you are making my point for me. The warming is global. So local conditions, such as those in Moscow and New Zealand can not be used to determine the state of play. On the other hand, meteorologist are only people, and it is not until dramatic events affect them that they take the situation seriously. The highest June tempertures ever recorded in Geneva will sound the alarm at the WMO. Highest averages for June in Reading, cause the Met Office to yawn, and remark on an unsual statistic. It is only when a temperature of 40C is recorded in Britain that we will sit up and take notice. The point I am trying to make is that this is not just an interesting psychological observation. It is also pinpoints a danger. If no action regards global warming is taken until it is having a dramatic effect, by that time it will be too late to prevent even worse happenings. It is really the reponsibility of meteorologists to point out to the public that the weather is chaotic. Because of this, in the past they have not been sure whether extreme events were due to GW, but now GW is here to stay and can only get worse. The cold events are only part of natural variability. Hmmmm........You seem to be arguing that the warmest June since 1976 in England is a sign of global warming but the coldest June since 1941 in Moscow is only part of the natural variability. Perhaps I am misunderstanding you. Norman. -- Norman Lynagh Weather Consultancy Chalfont St. Giles Buckinghamshire E-mail: |
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"Norman Lynagh" wrote in message
... Hmmmm........You seem to be arguing that the warmest June since 1976 in England is a sign of global warming but the coldest June since 1941 in Moscow is only part of the natural variability. Perhaps I am misunderstanding you. Yes, I'm not arguing that the warmest June since 1976 in England is a sign of global warming. I think you were the first to bring that up. I said "One reason we in Britain are not concerned is because until now the effects have not been marked." What I and the WMO are saying is that the highest June temperatures in Geneva ever recorded AND many similar happening in other parts of the world are a sign of global warming. I readily agree that the warmest June since 1976 in England and the coldest June since 1941 in Moscow is only part of the natural variability. I do not have an anomally chart of surface air temperaturest but there is this anomally chart of sea surface temperatures. http://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/products/O...sstanomaly.gif I think it is pretty obvious from that map, that although there IS natural variability, the overall impression is of global warming, especially in the northern hemisphere (if you can pardon that Irishism :-.) Cheers, Alastair. Norman. -- Norman Lynagh Weather Consultancy Chalfont St. Giles Buckinghamshire E-mail: |
#10
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"Keith Dancey" wrote in message
... In article , "Alastair McDonald" k writes: "Elena" wrote in message . com... I read The Independent Online: "In a startling report, the WMO, which normally produces detailed scientific reports and staid statistics at the year's end, highlighted record extremes in weather and climate occurring all over the world in recent weeks - and linked them to climate change. I have waited to reply to your post because I wanted to prove that there would be little interest from this group in a very important announcement. One of the reasons little action has been taken to counter global warming is that meteorologists have remained uninterested in the problem, and this gives entirely the wrong message to the general public. Rubbish. This news group does NOT equate to meteorologists, let alone to climate researchers (almost none of whom post here). Who are you to claim that "meteorologists have remained uninterested in the problem"? Just an ordinary punter who can't remember hearing the BBC weather men and women, far less than those from ITV, show much concern about rising global tempertures, or their consequences such as fires in Australia and the USA. ... that huge resources have been ploughed into climate research over the past ten years. That insufficient action has been taken is down to the politicians. You know, the ones which hood-winked everybody over weapons of mass deception. What I am saying is nobody trusts the politicians. Until the weathermen are willing to put their mouths where their money is, then Kyoto has no chance of success! Cheers, Alastair. |
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