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Old January 29th 04, 06:48 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (29/01/04)

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Monday. Issued 0643z,
29/01/04.

ECMWF: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1201.html
Low pressure lies to the west of Scotland, with strong SW'lies for all. By
T+144 the low moves NE'wards, with westerlies across the UK. The winds
become southerlies and SW'lies for many at T+168, as another low moves
NE'wards to the west of the UK. Scotland lies under variable winds, due to a
col.

MetO: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.html
The Met Office run shows a deep low to the west, resulting in SW'lies for
all. The winds become westerlies at T+144, with low pressure over southern
Norway.

GFS: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/
The UK lies under SW'lies, due to a deep low west of Ireland. The low moves
NE'wards at T+120, with SW'lies continuing. 850hPa temperatures range from
+3C over NE England to +7C over Kent. There's little change at T+144, T+168
or day 8, although by then there's more of a westerly component to the wind.
Day 9 sees WSW'lies for all, with low pressure north of Scotland, while on
day 10 the winds become WNW'lies, with a weak ridge to the west.

GEM: http://www.meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
The Canadian run shows lows to the NW and WSW, leading to strong SW'lies for
all. 850hPa temperatures range from +1C over northern Scotland to +7C over
southern England. There's not much change at T+144, with SW'lies for all.

JMA: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rjma1201.html
As with the other runs, SW'lies cover the UK, this time due to a low west of
Ireland. 850hPa temperatures vary from freezing over northern Scotland to
+7C over SE England. The SW'lies continue at T+144, with complex low
pressure to the northwest and west of the British Isles. A weak ridge moves
over Ireland at T+168, leading to SW'lies and westerlies, followed by much
of the same on day 8.

In summary, the runs all show a much milder setup for the first half of next
week, with SW'lies the most likely wind direction.



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