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This forecast summary is my *PERSONAL OPINION* of how the weather may unfold
next week. I will take no responsibility whatsoever for any actions arising from
its use. It is provided freely in the spirit of freedom and the great love for
meteorology that I personally enjoy and wish to share freely with others.

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Summary valid for Sunday 01/02/04 to Saturday 07/02/04
TOI (time of issue) Friday 30/01/04 1800 UK local time This summary is based
on a quick appraisal of the GFS, JMA, ECMWF, UKMO, FAX, and ENS (NCEP ensemble)
labelled charts available from the superb http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten

Very high confidence for very mild, very windy and very wet weather for all
parts up till Wednesday as deep lows pass close to the UK near Scotland.
Possibly turning exceptionally mild in SE England on Tuesday with temperatures
perhaps as high as 14 deg C if rain stops and cloud breaks during the day. Rapid
thaw of snow in Scotland combined with heavy rain could cause flooding and there
is a 20% risk of storm force winds at times in the west and north.

After mid-week moderate to high confidence of it turning colder from the NW with
wintry showers returning to northern areas. Still rain at times but probably
less windy.

Trend for the following week beginning 9/2/04 with low to moderate confidence is
for it to become drier in the south with frost and fog at night but staying
changeable further north with more rain at times and temperatures around normal.
Possibility (20%) of a Valentines Day storm in Scotland with risk of blizzards
on high ground.

As always this and previous forecasts are available at
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/weeklydiscussions.htm

This forecast was brought to you from Met. Office Dartmoor.

Will
Chief Forecaster USW
--

" A cup is most useful when empty "
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A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
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