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#1
February 2nd 04, 04:14 AM
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Not the long-range forecast for February 2004
Using analogue selection for 30-day periods and pattern
sequences for 5-day periods during Dec/Jan, then using best-fit years, gives us the following for February 2004: Mean sea-level pressure pattern over the British Isles: Westerly Mean pressure anomaly pattern over the Br.Is: Northwesterly CET +0.3 degC E&W RR 92% E&W sss 115% Verification for January's Not The Long Range Forecast Sea-level pressure pattern: Actual: W-ly Forecast: weakly SW to W Anomaly pattern: Actual: NNW-ly Forecast: weakly N-ly/anticylconic CET: Forecast -0.7 degC Actual +1.1 degC Rainfall: Forecast 92% Actual 130% Sunshine Forecast 104% Actual 101% Philip Eden |
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