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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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It seems from this post to another newsgroup that the Pentagon is entering the
climate war too, but on a surprising side. They seem to agree with me! "H. E. Taylor" wrote in message ... [Snip] 2004/02/02: Tom Paine: Climate Change Alert First Paul O'Neill, now Andrew Marshall. Marshall has just blown the lid off another Bush administration can of worms-namely, its unwillingness to acknowledge and address the massive threat posed by global climate change. [Snip ...] http://www.tompaine.com/feature2.cfm/ID/9882 2004/02/02: CDreams: Pentagon Goes Crazy for Massive Climate Change http://www.commondreams.org/views04/0202-02.htm 2004/01/26: Fortune: Climate Collapse - The Pentagon's Weather Nightmare The climate could change radically, and fast. That would be the mother of all national security issues. [...] http://www.fortune.com/fortune/print...582584,00.html -- "It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends upon his not understanding it." -Upton Sinclair Global Warming: http://www.autobahn.mb.ca/~het/globalwarming.html H.E. Taylor http://www.autobahn.mb.ca/~het/ Cheers, Alastair. |
#2
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![]() "Alastair McDonald" k wrote in message ... It seems from this post to another newsgroup that the Pentagon is entering the climate war too, but on a surprising side. They seem to agree with me! "H. E. Taylor" wrote in message ... [Snip] 2004/02/02: Tom Paine: Climate Change Alert First Paul O'Neill, now Andrew Marshall. Marshall has just blown the lid off another Bush administration can of worms-namely, its unwillingness to acknowledge and address the massive threat posed by global climate change. [Snip ...] http://www.tompaine.com/feature2.cfm/ID/9882 2004/02/02: CDreams: Pentagon Goes Crazy for Massive Climate Change http://www.commondreams.org/views04/0202-02.htm 2004/01/26: Fortune: Climate Collapse - The Pentagon's Weather Nightmare The climate could change radically, and fast. That would be the mother of all national security issues. [...] http://www.fortune.com/fortune/print...582584,00.html One interesting point from the Fortune article: "Explore ways to offset abrupt cooling - today it appears easier to warm than to cool the climate via human activities, so there may be "geo-engineering" options available to prevent a catastrophic temperature drop. " Does that mean the western hemisphere might be tempted to increase emissions of greenhouse gases to offset any radical cooling from conveyor effect cut-off? It's certainly ammunition for those who think Kyoto is nonsensical. - Michael |
#3
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![]() "MichaelJP" wrote in message ... "Alastair McDonald" k wrote in message ... It seems from this post to another newsgroup that the Pentagon is entering the climate war too, but on a surprising side. They seem to agree with me! "H. E. Taylor" wrote in message ... [Snip] 2004/02/02: Tom Paine: Climate Change Alert First Paul O'Neill, now Andrew Marshall. Marshall has just blown the lid off another Bush administration can of worms-namely, its unwillingness to acknowledge and address the massive threat posed by global climate change. [Snip ...] http://www.tompaine.com/feature2.cfm/ID/9882 2004/02/02: CDreams: Pentagon Goes Crazy for Massive Climate Change http://www.commondreams.org/views04/0202-02.htm 2004/01/26: Fortune: Climate Collapse - The Pentagon's Weather Nightmare The climate could change radically, and fast. That would be the mother of all national security issues. [...] http://www.fortune.com/fortune/print...582584,00.html One interesting point from the Fortune article: "Explore ways to offset abrupt cooling - today it appears easier to warm than to cool the climate via human activities, so there may be "geo-engineering" options available to prevent a catastrophic temperature drop. " Does that mean the western hemisphere might be tempted to increase emissions of greenhouse gases to offset any radical cooling from conveyor effect cut-off? It's certainly ammunition for those who think Kyoto is nonsensical. - Michael It is all pretty pitiful really. How grown men, far less eminent scientists, can think that a warming world is going to enter another ice age is beyond my comrehension. The biggest and most recent abrupt change was at the end of the Younger Dryas, not at the start. Then tempertures rose globally by a about 10C. That is what will happen next, not a cooling. The whole idea behing this cooling is based on the Gulf Stream/North Atlantic Drift keeping western Europe (and north eastern America!?!) warm. Philip Eden and Mike Tullet have pointed out that this is known to be untrue. But so long as climatology is dominated by oceanographers, and meterologists sit on their hands swamped by detail and unable to see the wood for the trees, then the human (not geological) world will continue on its way to utter devastation. Cheers, Alastair. |
#4
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![]() One interesting point from the Fortune article: "Explore ways to offset abrupt cooling - today it appears easier to warm than to cool the climate via human activities, so there may be "geo-engineering" options available to prevent a catastrophic temperature drop. " Does that mean the western hemisphere might be tempted to increase emissions of greenhouse gases to offset any radical cooling from conveyor effect cut-off? It's certainly ammunition for those who think Kyoto is nonsensical. - Michael It is all pretty pitiful really. How grown men, far less eminent scientists, can think that a warming world is going to enter another ice age is beyond my comrehension. The biggest and most recent abrupt change was at the end of the Younger Dryas, not at the start. Then tempertures rose globally by a about 10C. That is what will happen next, not a cooling. The whole idea behing this cooling is based on the Gulf Stream/North Atlantic Drift keeping western Europe (and north eastern America!?!) warm. Philip Eden and Mike Tullet have pointed out that this is known to be untrue. It does seem to be accepted wisdom though, I must have read countless news articles based on this! But so long as climatology is dominated by oceanographers, and meterologists sit on their hands swamped by detail and unable to see the wood for the trees, then the human (not geological) world will continue on its way to utter devastation. I don't think any drastic preventative action on global warming will be taken until something drastic occurs, like widespread flooding or crop failures, and of course by then it will be too late anyway. - Michael |
#5
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![]() "MichaelJP" wrote in message ... One interesting point from the Fortune article: "Explore ways to offset abrupt cooling - today it appears easier to warm than to cool the climate via human activities, so there may be "geo-engineering" options available to prevent a catastrophic temperature drop. " Does that mean the western hemisphere might be tempted to increase emissions of greenhouse gases to offset any radical cooling from conveyor effect cut-off? It's certainly ammunition for those who think Kyoto is nonsensical. - Michael It is all pretty pitiful really. How grown men, far less eminent scientists, can think that a warming world is going to enter another ice age is beyond my comrehension. The biggest and most recent abrupt change was at the end of the Younger Dryas, not at the start. Then tempertures rose globally by a about 10C. That is what will happen next, not a cooling. The whole idea behing this cooling is based on the Gulf Stream/North Atlantic Drift keeping western Europe (and north eastern America!?!) warm. Philip Eden and Mike Tullet have pointed out that this is known to be untrue. It does seem to be accepted wisdom though, I must have read countless news articles based on this! But so long as climatology is dominated by oceanographers, and meterologists sit on their hands swamped by detail and unable to see the wood for the trees, then the human (not geological) world will continue on its way to utter devastation. I don't think any drastic preventative action on global warming will be taken until something drastic occurs, like widespread flooding or crop failures, and of course by then it will be too late anyway. - Michael Yup! Cheers, Alastair. |
#6
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![]() "Alastair McDonald" k wrote in message ... It seems from this post to another newsgroup that the Pentagon is entering the climate war too, but on a surprising side. They seem to agree with me! Yes even the land of low taxation can see the scam! |
#7
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#8
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![]() "Keith Dancey" wrote in message ... In article , "Alastair McDonald" writes: .....But so long as climatology is dominated by oceanographers, and meteorologists sit on their hands swamped by detail and unable to see the wood for the trees, then the human (not geological) world will continue on its way to utter devastation. Completely untrue. Then why is this myth of new European ice age triggered by ocean currents still such a widespread belief? Presently we are having new temperature records set every day, but I am "Still Waiting" for anyone here to admit that this is caused by global warming and is not part of "natural variation." Cheers, Alastair. |
#10
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![]() "Keith Dancey" wrote in message ... In article , "Alastair McDonald" writes: "Keith Dancey" wrote in message ... In article , "Alastair McDonald" writes: .....But so long as climatology is dominated by oceanographers, and meteorologists sit on their hands swamped by detail and unable to see the wood for the trees, then the human (not geological) world will continue on its way to utter devastation. Completely untrue. Then why is this myth of new European ice age triggered by ocean currents still such a widespread belief? Have you run any models, varied initial conditions and examined the results? Have you tried validating the model runs against ground-truth? When you have extensively researched your theory, published the results and subjected them to peer-review, *then* you may start talking about what is a myth and what isn't, in this regard. There is no need for me to do that research. It has already been done. See; R. SEAGER, D. S. BATTISTI, J. YIN, N. GORDON, N. NAIK, A. C. CLEMENT and M. A. CANE - Is the Gulf Stream responsible for Europe's mild winters? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society Vol. 128 OCTOBER 2002 Part B No. 586 p.2563 http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~david/Gulf.pdf and; Thorpe, R.B., Gregory, J.M., Johns, T.C., Wood, R.A. and Mitchell, J.F.B., 2001: Mechanisms determining the Atlantic thermohaline circulation response to greenhouse gas forcing in a non-flux-adjusted coupled climate model. J. Clim., 14, 3102-3116. As for such things as a "belief" being "widespread", I refer you to god and the media:-) If you are going to resort to religous arguments all I can say is"God help you!" Presently we are having new temperature records set every day, but I am "Still Waiting" for anyone here to admit that this is caused by global warming and is not part of "natural variation." Then you will have to wait an awfull long time, because many contributors to this newsgroup have acknowledged the scientific truth of global warming but you are blind to them. (I am beginning to sence a "martyr complex" on this issue... ) So, to return to your claim that "climatology is dominated by oceanographers" you would need to demonstrate that research grants over, say, the last ten years have favoured oceanography over atmospheric science in regard to climate change, and that the code in, say, the UGAMP model has some sort of unwarranted bias toward oceanography. When I once was involved, the very opposite was the case. The ocean- atmosphere boundary was one of the areas which needed more research. And to support the thesis that "meteorologists" are "sitting on their hands" or "swamped with detail" you might need to demonstate the lack of relevant output from the Universities of Reading, East Anglia, Edinburgh etc etc or the Hadley Centre or the IPCC or... Alistair, this newsgroup is not the world. It is not even the scientific world of "weather" (although I may wish it were). The conclusions you draw from this newsgroup (and some you draw are quite false) do not necessarily extrapolate to the scientific community. No, but the views expressed here do reflect the effect that the scientific community is having on the educated layman who are vastly outnumbered by the uneducated laymen and women. The scientists have failed to get the message across that there is a major catastrophy just around the corner etc etc etc. Now back to writing my paper. Cheers, Alastair. |
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