"MichaelJP" wrote in message
...
Why is the current mild spell breaking temperature records? It's quite
common to have a series of depressions moving across the UK at this time
of
year and SW winds, but why is the air so mild?

Are the Atlantic sea temperatures breaking records also?

- Michael



Good question Michael. This has happened before. What is making this one
so exceptional is the speed of the wind combined with of course its source.
The wind at present is blowing up from the Canaries region, which by its
nature is warm at any time of the year. The speed of the wind is limiting
its cooling by the time it arrives here.
In 1998 we had this except I believe the source of air was even further
south. As it was slightly later in February temperatures were higher than
what is being recorded now. The later in the month this occurs, the higher
the temperatures will be.
What I find interesting is what is the highest maximum temperature
possible in February. I would hazard a guess at possibly 22C. It would have
to occur in the last week of the month of course. These days I would say
that it is a distinct possibility.

Regards, Gavin.

--
************************************************** **************************
************************************************** *
Gavin Staples.

website updated regularly
www.gavinstaples.com

For the latest lecture in the Darwin Lecture Series in Cambridge, please
click on my site, and then click on the Darwin Lecture series link.

Statistics are like a bikini: what they reveal is suggestive, but what they
conceal is vital. ~ Anon


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According to the Met Office site the warmest day in February was on the 13th
Feb 1998 in Central London.

Maximum temperature on this day was 19.7C.

Tom
Danbury, Essex (107m)



"Gavin Staples" wrote in message
...

"MichaelJP" wrote in message
...
Why is the current mild spell breaking temperature records? It's quite
common to have a series of depressions moving across the UK at this time
of
year and SW winds, but why is the air so mild?

Are the Atlantic sea temperatures breaking records also?

- Michael



Good question Michael. This has happened before. What is making this
one
so exceptional is the speed of the wind combined with of course its
source.
The wind at present is blowing up from the Canaries region, which by
its
nature is warm at any time of the year. The speed of the wind is limiting
its cooling by the time it arrives here.
In 1998 we had this except I believe the source of air was even
further
south. As it was slightly later in February temperatures were higher than
what is being recorded now. The later in the month this occurs, the
higher
the temperatures will be.
What I find interesting is what is the highest maximum temperature
possible in February. I would hazard a guess at possibly 22C. It would
have
to occur in the last week of the month of course. These days I would say
that it is a distinct possibility.

Regards, Gavin.

--

************************************************** **************************
************************************************** *
Gavin Staples.

website updated regularly
www.gavinstaples.com

For the latest lecture in the Darwin Lecture Series in Cambridge, please
click on my site, and then click on the Darwin Lecture series link.

Statistics are like a bikini: what they reveal is suggestive, but what
they
conceal is vital. ~ Anon


All outgoing emails are checked for viruses by Norton Internet Security
Professional 2004.


************************************************** **************************
************************************************** **

"Tom" wrote in message
...
According to the Met Office site the warmest day in February was on
the 13th
Feb 1998 in Central London.

Maximum temperature on this day was 19.7C.

Tom
Danbury, Essex (107m)

It is interesting that 1998 is getting mentioned. That was the hottest
year ever recorded. I wonder if this year will seize that record.

Cheers, Alastair.

The only problem with a strong south westerly airstream is that if you live
in the South west of the country (I'm in SW Wales) this gives monsoon
conditions - I don't think it has stopped raining for the last 5 days.

David


"Alastair McDonald" wrote in message
...

"Tom" wrote in message
...
According to the Met Office site the warmest day in February was on
the 13th
Feb 1998 in Central London.

Maximum temperature on this day was 19.7C.

Tom
Danbury, Essex (107m)

It is interesting that 1998 is getting mentioned. That was the hottest
year ever recorded. I wonder if this year will seize that record.

Cheers, Alastair.

"Tom" wrote in message
...
According to the Met Office site the warmest day in February was on the
13th
Feb 1998 in Central London.

Maximum temperature on this day was 19.7C.

Tom
Danbury, Essex (107m)



"Gavin Staples" wrote in message
...

"MichaelJP" wrote in message
...
Why is the current mild spell breaking temperature records? It's quite
common to have a series of depressions moving across the UK at this
time
of
year and SW winds, but why is the air so mild?

Are the Atlantic sea temperatures breaking records also?

- Michael



Good question Michael. This has happened before. What is making this
one
so exceptional is the speed of the wind combined with of course its
source.
The wind at present is blowing up from the Canaries region, which by
its
nature is warm at any time of the year. The speed of the wind is
limiting
its cooling by the time it arrives here.
In 1998 we had this except I believe the source of air was even
further
south. As it was slightly later in February temperatures were higher
than
what is being recorded now. The later in the month this occurs, the
higher
the temperatures will be.
What I find interesting is what is the highest maximum temperature
possible in February. I would hazard a guess at possibly 22C. It would
have
to occur in the last week of the month of course. These days I would say
that it is a distinct possibility.

Regards, Gavin.

--


************************************************** **************************
************************************************** *
Gavin Staples.

website updated regularly
www.gavinstaples.com

For the latest lecture in the Darwin Lecture Series in Cambridge, please
click on my site, and then click on the Darwin Lecture series link.

Statistics are like a bikini: what they reveal is suggestive, but what
they
conceal is vital. ~ Anon


All outgoing emails are checked for viruses by Norton Internet Security
Professional 2004.



************************************************** **************************
************************************************** **



This is the one I mean. I think you'll find the synoptic pattern was
nothing like this week. i.e. dry.




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"Alastair McDonald" wrote in message
...

It is interesting that 1998 is getting mentioned. That was the hottest
year ever recorded. I wonder if this year will seize that record.


But it was a lousy summer, at least up here.

Col
--
Bolton, Lancashire.
160m asl.
http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co.uk

"Col" wrote in message
...

"Alastair McDonald" wrote in
message
...

It is interesting that 1998 is getting mentioned. That was the
hottest
year ever recorded. I wonder if this year will seize that record.


But it was a lousy summer, at least up here.

Col
--
Bolton, Lancashire.
160m asl.
http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co.uk


Sorry I should have said 1998 was globally the hottest year ever
recorded except in Bolton :-)

Cheers, Alastair.

"Col" wrote in message
...

"Alastair McDonald" wrote in
message
...

It is interesting that 1998 is getting mentioned. That was the hottest
year ever recorded. I wonder if this year will seize that record.

But it was a lousy summer, at least up here.

Col
--
Bolton, Lancashire.
160m asl.

That's the problem though isn't it - a hot year means mild winter weather
like this coupled with high winds and heavy rain sweeping across the
country.

Give us an anticyclone for a bit!

- Michael

"Gavin Staples" wrote in message


The wind at present is blowing up from the Canaries region, which by its
nature is warm at any time of the year. The speed of the wind is limiting
its cooling by the time it arrives here.

In 1998 we had this except I believe the source of air was even further
south. As it was slightly later in February temperatures were higher than
what is being recorded now. The later in the month this occurs, the higher
the temperatures will be.

I am the last person in the world to ask for an explanation of a weather
map but I just looked at:
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten/tkfaxbraar.htm for 13th Feb 1998.
It looks to me like your explanation is shot down by it.


--
Posted via Mailgate.ORG Server - http://www.Mailgate.ORG

"Michael McNeil" wrote in message
news:134f6d57c23fd26e7434b6180d4f7e62.45219@mygate .mailgate.org...
"Gavin Staples" wrote in message


In 1998 we had this except I believe the source of air was even further
south. As it was slightly later in February temperatures were higher than
what is being recorded now. The later in the month this occurs, the higher
the temperatures will be.

I am the last person in the world to ask for an explanation of a weather
map but I just looked at:
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten/tkfaxbraar.htm for 13th Feb 1998.
It looks to me like your explanation is shot down by it.

You know I must admit I recall that day as being far more of a
southerly than that chart would suggest.
More of a slack high in the North Sea kind of scenario giving
hazy/cirrus skies in the east, rather like a summer hot weather situation.

Col
--
Bolton, Lancashire.
160m asl.
http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co.uk