After 12 days, my mean temperature is 8.4C, and the outlook appears to
be staying extremely mild.
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham

Email to pahyett[AT]activist[DOT]demon[DOT]co[DOT]uk

"Paul Hyett" wrote in message
...
After 12 days, my mean temperature is 8.4C, and the outlook appears to
be staying extremely mild.
--

.... here in Bracknell, based on an estimated climatology for 1971-2000,
I reckon as of this (Friday) morning we are some 4.5degC above average.
Remarked to my wife when I went out around 0745 that it seemed like a
'spring' morning more akin to late March - the birds (Chaffinch and
Sparrows) were in full ' dawn-chorus ' mode in the trees: quite
remarkable - cut the lawn a couple of days ago.

If the GFS were to be right
(see
http://www.wetterzentrale.com/wz/pics/Rtavn1923.gif

then some remarkable temperature possible (given sunshine &/or
appropriate topography) ... but as Will has pointed out elsewhere, the
GFS hasn't performed as well as some others in recent days, so not to be
taken too literally.

Martin.

--
Martin Rowley: data via -
http://homepage.ntlworld.com/booty.weather/metindex.htm
Bracknell (Wooden Hill/Tawfield), Berkshire
NGR: SU 854 667
Lat: 51DEG23MIN30SEC(N): Long: 00DEG46MIN28SEC(W)

"Martin Rowley" wrote in message
...


If the GFS were to be right
(see
http://www.wetterzentrale.com/wz/pics/Rtavn1923.gif

then some remarkable temperature possible (given sunshine &/or
appropriate topography) ... but as Will has pointed out elsewhere, the
GFS hasn't performed as well as some others in recent days, so not to be
taken too literally.

Martin.


Hi Martin,

It's this warm advection forecast by GFS that causes an upper ridge to form
over Scandanavia, something which has been progged now for some time, as
noted by Will as low confidence. Anyway, there's far more interesting things
on our doorstep with this upper vortex and associated trough, something we'd
pine for in an E wind in February !

ATB, Joe

"Martin Rowley" wrote in message
...

"Paul Hyett" wrote in message
...
After 12 days, my mean temperature is 8.4C, and the outlook appears to
be staying extremely mild.
--

... here in Bracknell, based on an estimated climatology for 1971-2000,
I reckon as of this (Friday) morning we are some 4.5degC above average.

.....currently running 4.6°C above 1971-2000 average here (and it shows).
Looking at recent years, 4 out of last 7 February mean temperatures have
been 2°C warmer than LTA.

All the best
--
George in Epping, West Essex (107m asl)
www.eppingweather.co.uk
www.winter1947.co.uk

In uk.sci.weather on Fri, 13 Feb 2004 at 07:20:39, Paul Hyett wrote :

After 12 days, my mean temperature is 8.4C, and the outlook appears to
be staying extremely mild.

Down to 7.6C now, after 18 days.
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham

Email to pahyett[AT]activist[DOT]demon[DOT]co[DOT]uk