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Old February 18th 04, 07:12 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default jma run is abit ott

Nice to look at though


http://129.13.102.67/wz/pics/Rjma1921.gif

http://129.13.102.67/wz/pics/Rjma1681.gif

http://129.13.102.67/wz/pics/Rjma1441.gif




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Old February 18th 04, 07:49 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Col Col is offline
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Default jma run is abit ott


"nguk.." wrote in message
...
Nice to look at though


http://129.13.102.67/wz/pics/Rjma1921.gif

http://129.13.102.67/wz/pics/Rjma1681.gif

http://129.13.102.67/wz/pics/Rjma1441.gif


You know as well as I do that by the time those showers get down
to you, they'll just be of sleet

Col
--
Bolton, Lancashire.
160m asl.
http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co.uk


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Old February 18th 04, 07:53 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default jma run is abit ott


You know as well as I do that by the time those showers get down
to you, they'll just be of sleet

Col
--
Bolton, Lancashire.
160m asl.
http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co.uk



Im in north kent not se coast


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Old February 18th 04, 08:12 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default jma run is abit ott


"nguk.." wrote in message
...

You know as well as I do that by the time those showers get down
to you, they'll just be of sleet


Im in north kent not se coast


Whitstable, yes I know!

Well bearing in mind that this is 8 days away and probably won't
happen anyway, there will always be some excuse, the wind
direction wasn't *quite* right, the SST's were too high, the strong
late Feb sunshine melted all the snow..........



Col
--
Bolton, Lancashire.
160m asl.
http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co.uk


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Old February 18th 04, 08:22 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default jma run is abit ott


Well bearing in mind that this is 8 days away and probably won't
happen anyway, there will always be some excuse, the wind
direction wasn't *quite* right, the SST's were too high, the strong
late Feb sunshine melted all the snow..........



Col
--
Bolton, Lancashire.
160m asl.
http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co.uk



I can turn that around

Well bearing in mind that this is nearly here and might
happen, there will always be something good , the wind direction
was right , the sst's look to be low and the strong late feb
sunshine had no effect






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Old February 19th 04, 01:07 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default jma run is abit ott

"Col" wrote Well bearing in mind that this is 8 days away and probably
won't
happen anyway, there will always be some excuse, the wind
direction wasn't *quite* right, the SST's were too high, the strong
late Feb sunshine melted all the snow..........


Funny how it always turns out to be *warmer* than was forecast, never the
other way round.

Is there any reason for this? From my scant knowledge of statistics, I
would have thought that there would have been a proportion of the early
runs that should go the other way. Or am I missing something obvious?

- Tom.


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Old February 19th 04, 06:07 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Col Col is offline
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Default jma run is abit ott


"Tom Bennett" wrote in message
...
"Col" wrote Well bearing in mind that this is 8 days away and probably
won't
happen anyway, there will always be some excuse, the wind
direction wasn't *quite* right, the SST's were too high, the strong
late Feb sunshine melted all the snow..........


Funny how it always turns out to be *warmer* than was forecast, never the
other way round.

Is there any reason for this? From my scant knowledge of statistics, I
would have thought that there would have been a proportion of the early
runs that should go the other way. Or am I missing something obvious?


The fact that the media continually over-hype the forecasts?

ducks

Col
--
Bolton, Lancashire.
160m asl.
http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co.uk


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Old February 19th 04, 08:12 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default jma run is abit ott

I remember when I was younger, late 70's and early 80's (too young early
70's) it always seemed to me it ended up colder than forecast, now a days it
does seem to be the other way round.

Stan

"Col" wrote in message
...

"Tom Bennett" wrote in message
...
"Col" wrote Well bearing in mind that this is 8 days away and probably
won't
happen anyway, there will always be some excuse, the wind
direction wasn't *quite* right, the SST's were too high, the strong
late Feb sunshine melted all the snow..........


Funny how it always turns out to be *warmer* than was forecast, never

the
other way round.

Is there any reason for this? From my scant knowledge of statistics, I
would have thought that there would have been a proportion of the early
runs that should go the other way. Or am I missing something obvious?


The fact that the media continually over-hype the forecasts?

ducks

Col
--
Bolton, Lancashire.
160m asl.
http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co.uk






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