Just looked throught the GFS model, as of mid day Friday 20th Feb, and
it now shows cold weather throughout the run. Mainly from a northerly
direction, but some very interesting developments embedded into the
pattern. Winter may not be over yet.

This also fits in very well with Roeder's anomaly prediction for
March. it is interesting how well his anomalies have panned out,
especially considering he uses the 1950's as a baseline, I'm led to
beleive.

Keith (Southend)

http://www.southendweather.net

"Keith Southend 2" wrote in message
om...

This also fits in very well with Roeder's anomaly prediction for
March. it is interesting how well his anomalies have panned out,
especially considering he uses the 1950's as a baseline, I'm led to
beleive.

Actually, Keith, the February pattern is going to turn almost
exactly the inverse of his prediction :-)

I don't normally look at his charts unless someone points out
them out (and provides a link), so I don't know how well earlier
months did, but if you or anyone else has them archived, I'll
compare them with what actually happened so you can see if
your gut feeling is right or not. I promise I won't pass comment
on their usefulness though.

Philip Eden

Hi Philip,

Unfortunately, I haven't archived any of them. You are probably right
about February being opposite to the anomaly, although doing a 2 to 3
week shift backwards, thinking of March and it would look more
promisingas March always looked like being a northerly month from his
anomalies.

And here's the link btw.

http://wwwsat.met.fu-berlin.de/~Lutz...Hforecast.html


Keith (Southend)

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COL Station for Southend-on-Sea
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Reply to: kreh'at'southendweather'dot'net
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On Fri, 20 Feb 2004 13:55:46 -0000, "Philip Eden"
philipATweatherHYPHENukDOTcom wrote:


"Keith Southend 2" wrote in message
. com...

This also fits in very well with Roeder's anomaly prediction for
March. it is interesting how well his anomalies have panned out,
especially considering he uses the 1950's as a baseline, I'm led to
beleive.

Actually, Keith, the February pattern is going to turn almost
exactly the inverse of his prediction :-)

I don't normally look at his charts unless someone points out
them out (and provides a link), so I don't know how well earlier
months did, but if you or anyone else has them archived, I'll
compare them with what actually happened so you can see if
your gut feeling is right or not. I promise I won't pass comment
on their usefulness though.

Philip Eden