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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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Yesterdays max of 1.7°C here in Warlingham, Surrey, 556 ft, looks today to
have been slightly freakish, and it was not well forecast. The night was frosty (min -2.5°C) but today the fresh ENE'ly has resumed and the temperature is nearly up to 7°C. No low cloud but 8 oktas of thick Ci. On a synoptic scale, very little appears to have changed. Possibly a slight backing of the surface wind? Today is also warmer in Belgium and Holland. Yesterday I said to myself "this is a proper easterly, nasty as ever" but today we seem to back to an improper one. Any ideas? Tudor Hughes. |
#2
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No ideas,really, other than modification by warm North Sea, Tudor. But I was
thinking who'd be a forecaster?! Yesterday had max of 2.8 C with forecast of 7C. Today forecast was dropped to 5-6C probably after yesterday and we got 8.5C! To think the amateurs on TWO forum are trying to get it right for next week. Fun maybe, but no chance! Dave "TudorHgh" wrote in message ... Yesterdays max of 1.7°C here in Warlingham, Surrey, 556 ft, looks today to have been slightly freakish, and it was not well forecast. The night was frosty (min -2.5°C) but today the fresh ENE'ly has resumed and the temperature is nearly up to 7°C. No low cloud but 8 oktas of thick Ci. On a synoptic scale, very little appears to have changed. Possibly a slight backing of the surface wind? Today is also warmer in Belgium and Holland. Yesterday I said to myself "this is a proper easterly, nasty as ever" but today we seem to back to an improper one. Any ideas? Tudor Hughes. |
#3
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![]() "TudorHgh" wrote Yesterday I said to myself "this is a proper easterly, nasty as ever" but today we seem to back to an improper one. Any ideas? One antonym of "proper" is "rude". It could indeed be called a rude easterly in my garden where I am trying to work. I keep having to retire to the computer screen to warm up. Jack |
#4
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"TudorHgh" wrote in message
Yesterdays max of 1.7°C here in Warlingham, Surrey, 556 ft, looks today to have been slightly freakish, and it was not well forecast. The night was frosty (min -2.5°C) but today the fresh ENE'ly has resumed and the temperature is nearly up to 7°C. No low cloud but 8 oktas of thick Ci. On a synoptic scale, very little appears to have changed. Possibly a slight backing of the surface wind? Today is also warmer in Belgium and Holland. Yesterday I said to myself "this is a proper easterly, nasty as ever" but today we seem to back to an improper one. Any ideas? Tudor Hughes. The air was inherently colder yesterday, Tudor. Eg, Herstmonceux at 1100Z yesterday had a 1000/500mb TT of 530.1Dam, 1000/850mb TT of 128.0 and a web bulb freezing level of 238FT. Today values are 541.4Dam, 132.4Dam and 2853FT respectively. Jon. -- Posted via Mailgate.ORG Server - http://www.Mailgate.ORG |
#5
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"Jon O Rourke" wrote in message
news:28eb87634ff21b38130610ef02a0db3b.62236@mygate .mailgate.org The cold pool now located to the SW of Ireland GFS 06Z T+6 :- http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn063.gif Jon. -- Posted via Mailgate.ORG Server - http://www.Mailgate.ORG |
#6
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![]() "TudorHgh" wrote in message ... Yesterdays max of 1.7°C here in Warlingham, Surrey, 556 ft, looks today to have been slightly freakish, and it was not well forecast. The night was frosty (min -2.5°C) but today the fresh ENE'ly has resumed and the temperature is nearly up to 7°C. No low cloud but 8 oktas of thick Ci. On a synoptic scale, very little appears to have changed. Possibly a slight backing of the surface wind? Today is also warmer in Belgium and Holland. Yesterday I said to myself "this is a proper easterly, nasty as ever" but today we seem to back to an improper one. Any ideas? Tudor Hughes. Maximum today 5.7°C in St Albans on a much brighter day than yesterday although there was a lot of Cirrus here as in Warlingham. Alan |
#7
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On a synoptic scale, very little appears to have changed. Possibly a
slight backing of the surface wind? Today is also warmer in Belgium and Holland. Yesterdays 12Z GFS streamlines and Theta E are still available- http://weather.ou.edu/~oscarvdv/maps...hetae_eur0.png Cf the T+24 http://weather.ou.edu/~oscarvdv/maps...etae_eur24.png and new run when its available- http://www.lightningwizard.com/maps/ Warm air is being advected out of Africa,the low system on the continent,at the head of the plume, looks pretty spectular in satellite imagery, -- regards, david (add 17 to waghorne to reply) |
#8
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![]() "Jack Harrison" wrote in message ... "TudorHgh" wrote Yesterday I said to myself "this is a proper easterly, nasty as ever" but today we seem to back to an improper one. Any ideas? One antonym of "proper" is "rude". It could indeed be called a rude easterly in my garden where I am trying to work. I keep having to retire to the computer screen to warm up. Jack It was a lazy Easterly is East Anlglia... " It doon't blew round yer, it blew roight threw yer" Rich |
#9
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"TudorHgh" wrote in message
... Further to earlier, this graphic shows the transition and subsequent warming of the cold pool over the last 24 hours. (yesterday in yellow, today in white) http://www.metbrief.com/TTanalysis.gif Jon. |
#10
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TudorHgh wrote:
Yesterdays max of 1.7°C here in Warlingham, Surrey, 556 ft, looks today to have been slightly freakish, and it was not well forecast. The night was frosty (min -2.5°C) but today the fresh ENE'ly has resumed and the temperature is nearly up to 7°C. No low cloud but 8 oktas of thick Ci. On a synoptic scale, very little appears to have changed. Possibly a slight backing of the surface wind? Today is also warmer in Belgium and Holland. Yesterday I said to myself "this is a proper easterly, nasty as ever" but today we seem to back to an improper one. Any ideas? Tudor Hughes. Hey - at least it's mild ![]() -- Chris Swaffham, Norfolk www.ivy-house.net |
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