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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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Using analogue selection for 30-day periods and pattern
sequences for 5-day periods during June/July, then using best-fit years, gives us the following: Mean sea-level pressure over the British Isles: anticyclonic Mean pressure anomaly pattern over the Br.Is: anticyclonic/easterly CET +2.0 degC (+2.9 mean max, +1.1 mean min) E&W RR 53% E&W sss 128% Verification for July's Not The Long-Range Forecast: Sea-level pressure pattern: Actual: cyclonic SSW Forecast: weakly NW Anomaly pattern: Actual: cyclonic S to SE Forecast: weakly anticyclonic SE CET: Forecast +0.8 degC Actual +1.1 degC Rainfall: Forecast 103% Actual 106% Sunshine Forecast 97% Actual 98% Philip Eden |
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