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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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Selecting analogues for 30-day periods, and pattern sequences
for 5-day periods during March and April, then using best-fit years, we get the following for May 2004: Mean sea-level pressure pattern over the British Isles: almost uniform, weakly NE-ly in the south, weakly SW-ly in the north Mean pressure anomaly pattern over the British Isles: easterly CET: +0.4 degC E&W RR: 104% E&W sss: 106% Verification of April's Not The Long Range Forecast Sea-level pressure pattern: Actual: westerly cyclonic Forecast: westerly, weakly cyclonic Anomaly pattern: Actual: W-NW cyclonic Forecast: W-NW, weakly cyclonic CET Forecast +0.2 degC Actual +1.4 degC Rainfall Forecast 100% Actual 137% Sunshine Forecast 90% Actual 93% Philip Eden |
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