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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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Hello there
I thought that this would be the best place to ask a question about barometric pressure - it's a subject that I know nothing about so please bear with me! The question is this: Taking the stormy weather that is apparently going to hit southern England later on today as an example, does barometric pressure drop some time in advance of the weather changing? And if so, how far in advance can this happen? Or is it that the weather changes as the barometric pressure drops? This is probably a bit of a daft question but if anyone can answer this for me I'd be grateful ![]() All the best Ruth |
#2
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![]() wrote in message ... snip The question is this: Taking the stormy weather that is apparently going to hit southern England later on today as an example, does barometric pressure drop some time in advance of the weather changing? And if so, how far in advance can this happen? .... there are no hard and fast rules for this (in terms of how far in advance etc.), because it depends to a large extent upon the type of system (low pressure) producing the change. However, I think we could say to answer your first question that the pressure will fall 'some time' in advance of the rain/high winds etc., without fear of criticism (*) ... the problem is the second part of your question: [(*): but falling pressure does NOT _automatically_ mean bad weather - but that's another question for another day.] For example, lets say the weather has been 'stable' in an anticyclonic sense (fine, dry weather - usually plenty of sunshine) during the summer / early autumn. Day to day the pressure will vary slightly, but generally not by much. Then a 'major' change in the overall (or 'broadscale') pattern is expected - the famous 'jetstream' changes position, or the strength of same changes, or whatever, and the high starts of drift away and decline. At your *particular* location, the pressure will start to fall steadily, BUT, it may be 2 or 3 days before all the ingredients are in place to produce rain, wind etc. Now, think of an already 'disturbed' spell in autumn / winter, when we've perhaps had several depressions crossing the country, and the next one is a real hum-dinger! The pressure will/may recover (rise) behind the last low (but only for a short time), but then fall (at an increasing rate) ahead of the next one: however, the 'warning' from the fall of pressure may be a matter of hours, not days - for a small (but potentially vicious) low, perhaps 9 to 12hr, for a larger 'classic' depression, up to 24hr. For small disturbances like troughs, then it could be as short as 2 or 3 hours. Hope that helps ... not a nice 'clean' answer, but it does demonstrate how 'rules' based upon pressure change alone can collapse. You need to factor in wind direction, change in speed, character of sky etc., as well. Used to be called 'Single Observer Forecasting', and with practice, you can get quite good at it. ATB Martin. |
#3
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My barograph in Dorset started to fall from 1024 millibars at midnight
Tueday slowly down to 1010 at the moment - 14:20 BST Wednesday, where it has flattened, curiously. Windy, temperature falling from a high of 23 Deg this morning down to 18. Rain just starting as I type. |
#4
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"Martin Rowley" wrote in message
... wrote in message ... snip The question is this: Taking the stormy weather that is apparently going to hit southern England later on today as an example, does barometric pressure drop some time in advance of the weather changing? And if so, how far in advance can this happen? ... there are no hard and fast rules for this (in terms of how far in advance etc.), because it depends to a large extent upon the type of system (low pressure) producing the change. However, I think we could say to answer your first question that the pressure will fall 'some time' in advance of the rain/high winds etc., without fear of criticism (*) ... the problem is the second part of your question: [(*): but falling pressure does NOT _automatically_ mean bad weather - but that's another question for another day.] For example, lets say the weather has been 'stable' in an anticyclonic sense (fine, dry weather - usually plenty of sunshine) during the summer / early autumn. Day to day the pressure will vary slightly, but generally not by much. Then a 'major' change in the overall (or 'broadscale') pattern is expected - the famous 'jetstream' changes position, or the strength of same changes, or whatever, and the high starts of drift away and decline. At your *particular* location, the pressure will start to fall steadily, BUT, it may be 2 or 3 days before all the ingredients are in place to produce rain, wind etc. Now, think of an already 'disturbed' spell in autumn / winter, when we've perhaps had several depressions crossing the country, and the next one is a real hum-dinger! The pressure will/may recover (rise) behind the last low (but only for a short time), but then fall (at an increasing rate) ahead of the next one: however, the 'warning' from the fall of pressure may be a matter of hours, not days - for a small (but potentially vicious) low, perhaps 9 to 12hr, for a larger 'classic' depression, up to 24hr. For small disturbances like troughs, then it could be as short as 2 or 3 hours. Hope that helps ... not a nice 'clean' answer, but it does demonstrate how 'rules' based upon pressure change alone can collapse. You need to factor in wind direction, change in speed, character of sky etc., as well. Used to be called 'Single Observer Forecasting', and with practice, you can get quite good at it. Just in case Ruth does really know nothing about barometers I will put my twopennies worth in. Ruth, On the barometer you will find a second pointer which you can move by hand. After you have read the barometer, move the pointer so that it is covering the black one. When you come to read the barometer again, then the moveable pointer will show you what the pressure was last time you read it. You will then be able to judge how fast the pressure is rising or falling. This will then tell you how soon the rain will arrive or disperse. Using the indicated pressure alone is not a lot of help in weather forecasting, because when it points to rain it is usually raining! For forecasting what you want to know is the direction of the change (better or worse) and the speed of change (sooner or later.) Hope this helps, Cheers, Alastair. ATB Martin. |
#5
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"Alastair McDonald" k
wrote in message Is there a copy of Admiral FitzRoy's work on the barometer anywhere online? -- Posted via Mailgate.ORG Server - http://www.Mailgate.ORG |
#6
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![]() Hi Martin In article , "Martin Rowley" wrote: wrote in message ... snip The question is this: Taking the stormy weather that is apparently going to hit southern England later on today as an example, does barometric pressure drop some time in advance of the weather changing? And if so, how far in advance can this happen? ... there are no hard and fast rules for this (in terms of how far in advance etc.), because it depends to a large extent upon the type of system (low pressure) producing the change. However, I think we could say to answer your first question that the pressure will fall 'some time' in advance of the rain/high winds etc., without fear of criticism (*) ... the problem is the second part of your question: [(*): but falling pressure does NOT _automatically_ mean bad weather - but that's another question for another day.] He, he - yes,I suspected that there might be rather more to it ![]() For example, lets say the weather has been 'stable' in an anticyclonic sense (fine, dry weather - usually plenty of sunshine) during the summer / early autumn. Day to day the pressure will vary slightly, but generally not by much. Then a 'major' change in the overall (or 'broadscale') pattern is expected - the famous 'jetstream' changes position, or the strength of same changes, or whatever, and the high starts of drift away and decline. At your *particular* location, the pressure will start to fall steadily, BUT, it may be 2 or 3 days before all the ingredients are in place to produce rain, wind etc. Aha, OK - that makes sense.... Now, think of an already 'disturbed' spell in autumn / winter, when we've perhaps had several depressions crossing the country, and the next one is a real hum-dinger! The pressure will/may recover (rise) behind the last low (but only for a short time), but then fall (at an increasing rate) ahead of the next one: however, the 'warning' from the fall of pressure may be a matter of hours, not days - for a small (but potentially vicious) low, perhaps 9 to 12hr, for a larger 'classic' depression, up to 24hr. Yes, I understand.... For small disturbances like troughs, then it could be as short as 2 or 3 hours. OK... Hope that helps ... not a nice 'clean' answer, but it does demonstrate how 'rules' based upon pressure change alone can collapse. You need to factor in wind direction, change in speed, character of sky etc., as well. Used to be called 'Single Observer Forecasting', and with practice, you can get quite good at it. That helps a lot - thanks very much indeed for the nice clear explanation. I imagined that the answers could get quite complex but that answers my questions nicely ![]() All the best Ruth |
#7
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Hi Alastair
In article , "Alastair McDonald" k wrote: Just in case Ruth does really know nothing about barometers I will put my twopennies worth in. Excellent - the more info the merrier! Ruth, On the barometer you will find a second pointer which you can move by hand. After you have read the barometer, move the pointer so that it is covering the black one. When you come to read the barometer again, then the moveable pointer will show you what the pressure was last time you read it. You will then be able to judge how fast the pressure is rising or falling. This will then tell you how soon the rain will arrive or disperse. OK.... Using the indicated pressure alone is not a lot of help in weather forecasting, because when it points to rain it is usually raining! For forecasting what you want to know is the direction of the change (better or worse) and the speed of change (sooner or later.) Hope this helps, Yes thank you - very helpful indeed - that makes perfect sense! Kind regards Ruth |
#8
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Martin Rowley wrote:
... the whole subject of how to interpret barometer readings, "sky signs", etc., is one that is close to my heart! We have 'lost' touch with a lot of accumulated wisdom of same, and sometime I'd like to have a go at writing some of it up (but don't expect rapid results). I have some simple 'rules' which couple the rise or fall of barometer reading with season and wind-direction. They are not my original work - having been cribbed from somewhere about 30-odd years ago, and as others will point out, such 'rules' abounded in the pre-computer age. It may be worthwhile having something like this in the FAQ. -- Howard Neil |
#9
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.... the whole subject of how to interpret barometer readings, "sky
signs", etc., is one that is close to my heart! We have 'lost' touch with a lot of accumulated wisdom of same, and sometime I'd like to have a go at writing some of it up (but don't expect rapid results). I have some simple 'rules' which couple the rise or fall of barometer reading with season and wind-direction. They are not my original work - having been cribbed from somewhere about 30-odd years ago, and as others will point out, such 'rules' abounded in the pre-computer age. If you want me to send them along, let me know via e-mail (change the anti-spam parts). Martin. -- FAQ & Glossary for uk.sci.weather at:- http://homepage.ntlworld.com/booty.weather/uswfaqfr.htm |
#10
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![]() "Howard Neil" wrote in message ... Martin Rowley wrote: snip I have some simple 'rules' which couple the rise or fall of barometer reading with season and wind-direction. They are not my original work - having been cribbed from somewhere about 30-odd years ago, and as others will point out, such 'rules' abounded in the pre-computer age. It may be worthwhile having something like this in the FAQ. .... indeed, it might: but (done properly) it will need a separate structure etc. As I wrote, I'll get around to it one day ... but needs a lot of research etc., to avoid just wholesale copying of existing texts. It is something I intend to do though. There are lots of 'rules' based on single readings relating to such as whether or not frost is expected at night (based, for example, on afternoon temperature and relative humidity or wet bulb), and the one I posted recently relating to build-up of Cu during the day. Many of these could be useful. Martin. -- FAQ & Glossary for uk.sci.weather at:- http://homepage.ntlworld.com/booty.weather/uswfaqfr.htm |
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