Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Monday. Issued 0607z,
15/07/04.

Today's runs show high pressure dominating the UK for the middle of next
week, with increasingly warm and settled weather especially for England and
Wales.

ECMWF: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Recm1201.gif
A ridge covers England and Wales, with SW'lies elsewhere. By T+144 the ridge
becomes a high over Denmark, leading to light winds for England and Wales.
Elsewhere winds are SSW'lies and SW'lies and much the same is true at T+168.

MetO: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.html
The Met Office run shows the sandwiched between a high to the east and a low
to the west, resulting in light southerlies. By T+144 high pressure builds
over all areas except Ireland, which lies under southerlies.

GFS: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Rtavn1201.gif
The UK lies under SW'lies, due to a low to the WNW and a ridge over England.
850 hPa temperatures range from +3C over northern Scotland to +5C over SE
England. The winds become southerlies for all at T+144 as the low fills to
the west, followed by lighter SSE'lies and southerlies at T+168. By day 8
the remnants of the low lie to the west of Scotland, with WSW'lies for most.
The low deepens again to the north on day 9, with high pressure moving
northwards over England and Wales. Winds are westerlies as a result,
followed by variable winds for many on day 10 as the high builds across the
UK.

GEM: http://www.meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
The Canadian run shows a high to the SW bringing WNW'lies and westerlies
over the UK. 850hPa temperatures vary from +1C over northern Scotland to +6C
over SE England. The high builds to the south of Ireland at T+144, with
westerlies and northerlies for the UK.

JMA: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rjma1201.html
Westerlies cover the UK, with high pressure over southern England. 850hPa
temperatures range from +1C over northern Scotland to +5C over southern
England. The winds become easterlies and SE'lies at T+144 as the high builds
to the ENE, followed by more of the same on day 7. By then the high lies to
the NE of Scotland and it continues moving NE'wards on day 8. The UK still
lies under SE'lies and easterlies, with a trough slowly moving NE'wards
towards the UK.

In uk.sci.weather on Thu, 15 Jul 2004 at 06:09:01, Darren Prescott wrote
:
Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Monday. Issued 0607z,
15/07/04.

Today's runs show high pressure dominating the UK for the middle of next
week, with increasingly warm and settled weather especially for England and
Wales.

What, no more runs needed - is this definitive then?
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham