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#1
August 2nd 04, 05:35 PM
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Not the long range forecast for August 2004
Using analogue selection for 30-day periods and pattern
sequences for 5-day periods during June/July, then using best-fit years, gives us the following: Mean sea-level pressure over the British Isles: W-ly or WSW-ly Mean pressure anomaly pattern over the Br.Is: weakly cyclonic/SW-ly CET +0.6 degC E&W RR 122% E&W sss 82% Verification for July's Not The Long-Range Forecast: Sea-level pressure pattern: Actual: westerly Forecast: weakly WNW-ly Anomaly pattern: Actual: almost uniform Forecast: almost uniform CET: Forecast +0.2 degC Actual -0.7 degC Rainfall: Forecast 85% Actual 130% Sunshine Forecast 92% Actual 90% Philip Eden (More detail on www.climate-uk.com in due course) |
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