...was issued yesterday and updated this morning, don't think its been
mentioned.

http://www.metoffice.com/weather/eur.../warnings.html

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/severewarning.shtml

Jon

I am surprised at the lack of discussion on this as it looks to give some
interesting thunderstorms. Not to mention more flash flooding.

Tom

Jon O'Rourke wrote in message ...
..was issued yesterday and updated this morning, don't think its been
mentioned.

http://www.metoffice.com/weather/eur.../warnings.html

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/severewarning.shtml

Jon



1745 local 6/8/04


Thanks Jon.
Still ties in nicely with my forecast issued last thursday :-)

I notice also that the threat of mudslides was not mentioned in the early
warning :-)

Met Office 5 day forecast for Exeter still has light rain on Sunday and Sunday
night and light rain wednesday night.
Tuesday is completely sunny followed by a foggy night !

So no severe weather expected in Exeter according to the official Met Office 5
day web forecast.

Will.
--
" A cup is most useful when empty "
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

"Will" wrote in message
...

snip

Met Office 5 day forecast for Exeter still has light rain on Sunday and
Sunday
night and light rain wednesday night.
Tuesday is completely sunny followed by a foggy night !

So no severe weather expected in Exeter according to the official Met
Office 5
day web forecast.

It could be right :-)

Interesting to note that 3 rain drops under a grey cloud is a tropical
storm..
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/symbol_key.html

Jon.

Jon O'Rourke wrote in message ...
"Will" wrote in message
...

snip

Met Office 5 day forecast for Exeter still has light rain on Sunday and
Sunday
night and light rain wednesday night.
Tuesday is completely sunny followed by a foggy night !

So no severe weather expected in Exeter according to the official Met
Office 5
day web forecast.

It could be right :-)

Interesting to note that 3 rain drops under a grey cloud is a tropical
storm..
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/symbol_key.html

Jon.



ROFL I wonder what 4 would be.

Just had a look at latest 12Z runs.
Exeter Met Office human outputs have a triple point southwest of Exeter at T+24
so I would expect heavy rain from that.

12Z GFS suggests circa 30mm rain at Exeter on Sunday, some of it thundery.

On Tuesday GFS brings in thundery showers to the SW which seems about right.

It must be a nightmare for the *real* human forecasters ATM as it will be
crucial where the front pivots. If it actually stops or even starts to push back
west or wave then yes indeed some places are going to get 60mm or even more.

ATM I'm facing the prospect of a southeasterly gale and heavy driving thundery
rain for most of the day tomorrow, possibly giving 50mm +, and we have guests
arriving too ! I'll be able to tell them, yes on a clear day you can see the
sea - honest :-) They are not very tough people either, so the effect of
Dartmoor weather at its best is going to be interesting.

Will.
--
" A cup is most useful when empty "
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Will wrote:

Jon O'Rourke wrote in message ...


Interesting to note that 3 rain drops under a grey cloud is a tropical
storm..
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/symbol_key.html

Jon.




ROFL I wonder what 4 would be.

I think that a hurricane should be a picture of a fish :-)

--
Howard Neil

"Will" wrote in message
...
Snip
12Z GFS suggests circa 30mm rain at Exeter on Sunday, some of it thundery.

In comparison the 12Z EC EPS Meteogram looks to be somewhere around 20-25mm
on average (upper boundaries much higher though).


On Tuesday GFS brings in thundery showers to the SW which seems about
right.

...which then extend/develop across much of the UK on Wednesday and Thursday
:-
http://imkpc3.physik.uni-karlsruhe.de/pics/brack2.gif
http://imkpc3.physik.uni-karlsruhe.de/pics/brack4.gif


It must be a nightmare for the *real* human forecasters ATM as it will be
crucial where the front pivots. If it actually stops or even starts to
push back
west or wave then yes indeed some places are going to get 60mm or even
more.

Things now appear more progressive (at least for central and southern areas)
but the T+72 still hints at the potential for wave development in the south
:- http://imkpc3.physik.uni-karlsruhe.de/pics/brack2.gif


ATM I'm facing the prospect of a southeasterly gale and heavy driving
thundery
rain for most of the day tomorrow, possibly giving 50mm +, and we have
guests
arriving too !

Sounds like typical Haytor barbecue weather :-)

Jon.

In message , Howard
Neil writes
Will wrote:

Jon O'Rourke wrote in message ...


Interesting to note that 3 rain drops under a grey cloud is a tropical
storm..
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/symbol_key.html

Jon.


ROFL I wonder what 4 would be.

I think that a hurricane should be a picture of a fish :-)

Michael ?
--
Tim

Tim wrote:

In message , Howard
Neil writes

Will wrote:

Jon O'Rourke wrote in message ...


Interesting to note that 3 rain drops under a grey cloud is a tropical
storm..
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/symbol_key.html

Jon.


ROFL I wonder what 4 would be.


I think that a hurricane should be a picture of a fish :-)

Michael ?

That would be the implication but kept subtle.

--
Howard Neil