uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged.

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1   Report Post  
Old August 8th 04, 11:45 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2004
Posts: 21
Default 1800 MetO analysis and forecast thoughts

South East - Sandy soils. Seen it all before.
Like a desert here these days .. until the wet season.
Seriously, usually takes 2 or 3 'goes' after a dry spell before we see any
rain here.
----------------------------------------------------------
"Bernard Burton" wrote in message
...
Ian, Wokingham temps currently (2128Z), Dry 24.6, DP 17.6, RH 65 %.
There is an interesting looking thunderstorm working its way across the
Channel from Cherbourg at the moment.


--
Bernard Burton
Wokingham, Berkshire, UK.

Satellite images at:
www.btinternet.com/~wokingham.weather/wwp.html







"Ian Waddell" wrote in message
...
Will,

I was going to say the same thing, but just looking at the BBC Radar.

All
the rain seems to be "stopping" halfway across the UK, which is strange
given the forecasts.

Is this due to the High not budging as easily as first thought or some

other
reason?

I'm guessing that this throws the forecast for the rest of the week a

little
awry.

Wokingham still muggy - 28C indoors, very mild but with a slight breeze
outdoors (no temp reading).

Cheers,

Ian
"Will" wrote in message
...

================================================== ==================
This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author.
Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do.
================================================== ==================

Looking at the 1800 sea level pressure analysis from the MetO at

wetterzentrale
it shows a frontal system with triple point over SW England but with

hardly any
pressure gradient round it as the parent low is now well out to the

west.
Rainfall radar at 2100 shows narrow bands of rain in the south which
surprisingly are not moving very far.

I'm beginning to wonder whether eastern England including the SE will

see
any
frontal rain at all ? It's also possible that there won't be much to

kick
off
showers either until Wednesday. In the SW nearer the parent low,

troughs
swinging round could trigger heavy showers earlier. I think what I'm

trying to
say is that for this severe weather event to come off something rather

subtle
and not obvious from the available charts on the net has to happen.

The
*potential* is still there of course, very warm and extremely moist

air
near the
surface just waiting for a trigger. A very tricky situation to

forecast.

Personally I had low confidence last thursday and I still have low

confidence in
any prediction. Forecasting in summer can be a real swine sometimes.

Will.
--

" A cup is most useful when empty "



--------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----
A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www:
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.



--------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----









Reply
Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules

Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
MetO Analysis Charts Phil Layton uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 1 June 3rd 12 02:09 PM
GFS: 1800 optimistic, 0000 pessimistic [email protected] uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 0 June 26th 07 10:16 AM
Thunderstorm over Easter europe 1800 UTC 26072004 ? Sjakalen uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 0 July 26th 04 07:47 PM
[WR] Wirral 1800 BST 18th June Thunder! Alan Duckers uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 0 June 18th 04 05:09 PM
[WR] Wirral 13th December 1800 GMT Alan Duckers uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) 1 December 13th 03 09:16 PM


All times are GMT. The time now is 08:41 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright ©2004-2025 Weather Banter.
The comments are property of their posters.
 

About Us

"It's about Weather"

 

Copyright © 2017