Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Friday. Issued 0554z,
9/08/04.

After a possible brief northerly or NE'ly spell, it looks as though low
pressure will once again stall to the SW. There are large differences
between the runs, though, with the MetO bringing unsettled weather across
the UK and the GFS/JMA going for cols instead. As ever, more runs are
needed.

ECMWF: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Recm1201.gif
A trough covers England and Wales, bringing NE'lies and northerlies.
Northern Ireland lies under a col, while Scotland is affected by ENE'lies.
Much of the UK lies under a col at T+144, with the exception of Northern
Ireland - here, there are southerlies from a low to the west. The col
becomes a weak ridge over England and Wales at T+168, bringing southerlies
for Northern Ireland and parts of Scotland. The northern half of Scotland
lies under a small trough, with cyclonic winds.

MetO: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.html
The Met Office run shows a trough over the North Sea and another trough over
Ireland, with light winds for much of the UK. The parent low to the SW moves
closer to Ireland at T+144, bringing SE'lies to Scotland and Northern
Ireland, with SSW'lies elsewhere.

GFS: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Rtavn1201.gif
Scotland lies under NE'lies and a weak ridge, whereas the rest of the UK is
covered by a trough, with easterlies or NE'lies for Northern Ireland and
northern England; elsewhere winds are WNW'lies. 850hPa temperatures vary
from +9C over Wales to +11C over NE Scotland. A ridge builds over Ireland at
T+144, with northerlies and NNW'lies for many. The winds fall light at T+168
as the ridge declines, followed by southerlies and SE'lies on day 8 as a low
deepens to the SW of Ireland. The low deepens further to the west of
Scotland on day 9, with WSW'lies for most, followed by westerlies on day 10
as the low fills over Shetland.

GEM: http://www.meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
The Canadian run shows northerlies for much of the UK, with low pressure
over eastern Europe and the former Russian states; to the SW there's a
smaller low. 850hPa temperatures vary from +9C to +10C over the UK, warmest
over Scotland. Light northerlies continue to cover the UK at T+144.

JMA: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rjma1201.html
Low pressure is centred over Poland, with a trough over England and Wales.
Winds are NE'lies for most, with northerlies for southern England. 850hPa
temperatures vary from +9C over SW England to +12C over northern Scotland. A
col covers the UK at T+144, followed by southerlies and SE'lies at T+168 as
a weak ridge moves over the North Sea. THe chart for day 8 shows no isobars
over pretty much the whole of western Europe, including the UK, so winds
will be light for all.