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This forecast summary is my *PERSONAL OPINION* of how the weather may unfold
next week. I will take no responsibility whatsoever for any actions arising from
its use. It is provided freely in the spirit of freedom and the great love for
meteorology that I personally enjoy and wish to share freely with others.

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Summary valid for Sunday 05/09/04 to Saturday 11/09/04
TOI (time of issue) Thursday 03/09/04 2100 UK local time This summary is based
on a quick appraisal of the GFS, JMA, ECMWF, UKMO, FAX, and ENS (NCEP ensemble)
labelled charts available from the superb http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten

High confidence that next week will turn out to be fine, dry and warm in most
places with fog patches at night as an anticyclone builds over the British
Isles.

Big uncertainties on the orientation of the axis of high pressure so cloud
distribution is very difficult to predict. Eastern areas likely to see most
cloud and there is a very good chance of a stiff easterly wind developing in
southern areas, possibly giving easterly gales over the moors of SW England (30%
risk).

Scotland may see a return to rain in the second half of the week if low pressure
over Iceland develops and tracks southeastwards (20% risk of this).

Also 20% risk of a thundery breakdown in the south after thursday, but in this
scenario Scotland will stay dry.

Generally odds on favourite though for a lot of dry and fine weather in all
areas.

As always this and previous forecasts are available at
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/weeklydiscussions.htm

This forecast was brought to you from the now world famous meteorological office
at Haytor on Dartmoor where old fashioned values of service are alive and
thriving in the beautiful Devon countryside.

Will
Chief Forecaster USW
--

" A cup is most useful when empty "
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A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

"Will" wrote in message


Summary valid for Sunday 05/09/04 to Saturday 11/09/04
TOI (time of issue) Thursday 03/09/04 2100 UK local time This summary is based
on a quick appraisal of the GFS, JMA, ECMWF, UKMO, FAX, and ENS (NCEP ensemble)
labelled charts available from the superb http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten

High confidence that next week will turn out to be fine, dry and warm in most
places with fog patches at night as an anticyclone builds over the British
Isles.

risk).

Scotland may see a return to rain in the second half of the week if low pressure
over Iceland develops and tracks southeastwards (20% risk of this).

Generally odds on favourite though for a lot of dry and fine weather in all
areas.

As always this and previous forecasts are available at
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/weeklydiscussions.htm

How much account is taken of these super
typhoon_hurricane_Tropical/subtropical cyclones, when the models for
weather over here are set up?


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