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Old October 15th 04, 02:59 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default October CET records


Looking at this table

http://www.climate-uk.com/graphs/200410.htm

This is interesting. The current October is almost on normal track now. The
CET range for October is from 13.3C which was 2001 to just 5.3C which was in
1740.

That record low of 5.3C, does anyone have any idea from historical records
of course what that must have been like? 5.3 is a normal winter month not a
mid autumn one.
I must also point out that the winter that year in 1740 was a real bone
shatterer. It was colder than 1963 and it seems most of that year was very
cold indeed. I still cannot imagine a CET of just over 5 in October.


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Old October 15th 04, 03:38 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default October CET records

1740 has the coldest May in CET records as well, just 8.6C, and by the late
spring there were hardly any common birds such as the Blackbird for they had
found the prolonged winter very tough to survive. Incidentally on October
1st 1740 there were widespread snow showers. The cold weather could be said
to have begun in the early spring of 1739 with penetrating cold north east
winds which `scorched' much spring flowering. However it had been very mild
in winter for much of the 1730s though 1731 sent the mercury down to minus
18C in the London area and there were heavy falls of snow.

Ian Currie-Coulsdon



"Gavin Staples" wrote in message
...

Looking at this table

http://www.climate-uk.com/graphs/200410.htm

This is interesting. The current October is almost on normal track now.

The
CET range for October is from 13.3C which was 2001 to just 5.3C which was

in
1740.

That record low of 5.3C, does anyone have any idea from historical records
of course what that must have been like? 5.3 is a normal winter month not

a
mid autumn one.
I must also point out that the winter that year in 1740 was a real

bone
shatterer. It was colder than 1963 and it seems most of that year was very
cold indeed. I still cannot imagine a CET of just over 5 in October.


--

************************************************** **************************
********************************************
Gavin Staples.

Cambridge, UK.

www.gavinstaples.com
site regularly updated


"Inventories can be managed, but people must be led". H. Ross Perot. ~

US
Naval Commander and author.

All outgoing emails are checked for viruses by Norton Internet Security
Professional 2004.


************************************************** **************************
************************************************** **



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Old October 15th 04, 04:08 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default October CET records

Incredible. I hadn't noticed that May 1740 was also a CET for cold, until I
looked it up following your reply.
Thanks for your comments Ian and I look forward to seeing what the
others on this ng say about this. It is an interesting artcile for
disccussion:-)

Thanks again.

Gavin.



"Ian Currie" wrote in message
. uk...
1740 has the coldest May in CET records as well, just 8.6C, and by the

late
spring there were hardly any common birds such as the Blackbird for they

had
found the prolonged winter very tough to survive. Incidentally on October
1st 1740 there were widespread snow showers. The cold weather could be

said
to have begun in the early spring of 1739 with penetrating cold north east
winds which `scorched' much spring flowering. However it had been very

mild
in winter for much of the 1730s though 1731 sent the mercury down to minus
18C in the London area and there were heavy falls of snow.

Ian Currie-Coulsdon



"Gavin Staples" wrote in message
...

Looking at this table

http://www.climate-uk.com/graphs/200410.htm

This is interesting. The current October is almost on normal track now.

The
CET range for October is from 13.3C which was 2001 to just 5.3C which

was
in
1740.

That record low of 5.3C, does anyone have any idea from historical

records
of course what that must have been like? 5.3 is a normal winter month

not
a
mid autumn one.
I must also point out that the winter that year in 1740 was a real

bone
shatterer. It was colder than 1963 and it seems most of that year was

very
cold indeed. I still cannot imagine a CET of just over 5 in October.


--


************************************************** **************************
********************************************
Gavin Staples.

Cambridge, UK.

www.gavinstaples.com
site regularly updated


"Inventories can be managed, but people must be led". H. Ross Perot. ~

US
Naval Commander and author.

All outgoing emails are checked for viruses by Norton Internet Security
Professional 2004.



************************************************** **************************
************************************************** **





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Old October 15th 04, 06:34 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default October CET records

In message , Gavin
Staples writes
Incredible. I hadn't noticed that May 1740 was also a CET for cold, until I
looked it up following your reply.
Thanks for your comments Ian and I look forward to seeing what the
others on this ng say about this. It is an interesting artcile for
disccussion:-)


Remember, this was in the midst of the "Little Ice Age", an
interstadial, so not exactly comparable with the 21st century in the
middle of an interglacial, but still no where near the climatic optimism
of the Atlantic period.
--
Steve Jackson,
Bablake Weather Station,
Coventry, UK
http://www.netlink.co.uk/users/bws
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Old October 15th 04, 06:35 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default October CET records

In article ,
Gavin Staples writes:

Looking at this table

http://www.climate-uk.com/graphs/200410.htm

This is interesting. The current October is almost on normal track now.


If I'm interpreting the graphs correctly, then since you'd expect the
second half of the month to be colder than the first half we could well
finish below average.

The
CET range for October is from 13.3C which was 2001 to just 5.3C which was in
1740.

That record low of 5.3C, does anyone have any idea from historical records
of course what that must have been like? 5.3 is a normal winter month not a
mid autumn one.
I must also point out that the winter that year in 1740 was a real bone
shatterer. It was colder than 1963


IIRC the overall CET for Dec-Jan-Feb is almost the same for the two
years (with correction made from the HJulian to the Gregorian calendar
for 1740).

and it seems most of that year was very
cold indeed. I still cannot imagine a CET of just over 5 in October.


ISTR that 1740 has the lowest CET in the series for a calendar year.
--
John Hall
"It is a very sad thing that nowadays there is so little useless
information."
Oscar Wilde (1854-1900)


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Old October 15th 04, 07:08 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Posts: 100
Default October CET records

In message , Steve Jackson
writes
Remember, this was in the midst of the "Little Ice Age", an
interstadial, so not exactly comparable with the 21st century in the
middle of an interglacial, but still no where near the climatic
optimism of the Atlantic period.


That should have been climatic optimum of course:-)
--
Steve Jackson
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Old October 16th 04, 01:15 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Posts: 2,309
Default October CET records


.... as Ian pointed out, the winters leading up to the 1739/40 bitter
event (and the notably cold year of 1740) were definitely on the 'mild'
side. Three of them 1733/34, 1736/37 and 1738/39 were notably mild with
average CET (Dec/Jan/Feb) values of 6.1, 5.6 and 5.6 respectively ...
around or a bit more than 2C above the all-series average. A quick look
at the whole series (only where given to nearest tenth, since 1699)
shows that using 5.6 as a threshold, there were only 25 such events.

If there had been a newsgroup at the end of the winter of 1738/39, no
doubt there would have been a clutch of posts along the lines of ..... "
we won't see cold winters in our lifetime " ;-)

Martin.


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