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Old October 21st 04, 05:45 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default British Isles Outlook - 21st to 30th November 2004

Disclaimer: The forecaster is not responsiblefor losses or damage
incurred by the forecast-user. The forecast-user is responsible for his
own actions at all times.
---------------------------------------------------------
COOL NORTH-WESTERLY WINDS BRING SHOWERS TO THE NORTH-WEST AND HEAVY
SHOWERS TO THE SOUTH-EAST AND EAST OF THE COUNTRY. BRIGHTEST WEATHER
TO THE WEST AND SOUTH-WEST. GENERALLY UNSETTLED.

The single map for the period 21st to 30th November, shows a depression
to NW and N of Scotland. A belt of HP from W/E runs across the
southern half of England. A small HP cell is visible to the W of
Ireland. Some small disturbances can be seen in the HP belt over the
Channel area. Winds are generally NW in the north-west of the country,
turning W over the rest of the country. Winds generally lighter in
the south, but stronger in the W of Scotland. 500mb top. shows a
trough down the centre of Britain having upper winds from the NW over
the west of the country, and SW winds over the east of the country.
Showers generally over most areas except perhaps the SW and W of
England. Heavy rain expected near the upper trough, especially over
E and SE England.

A cool airstream covers Britain on 21st. On 22nd and 23rd, the cool
air collects over central and south-eastern districts, as milder air
comes into SW districts and drifts along the Channel coasts. Cool air
forms once again over NW Scotland on 24 and 25th, and drifts SE'wards
to cover E England. Milder air comes into the SW of England on 25th and
drifts eastwards on 26th. On 27th, cooler air comes into the NW and W
of the country, but milder air spreads into the Channel on 28th. On
29th cooler air over the NW of Scotland spreads southwards down the
west coast building a trough towards SW England and S Ireland.

The run of weather starts on Sun. 21st with LP to the W of Scotland
having a trough to SW Norway. Some disturbances to the SW of Britain
move in the direction of SW Ireland. HP lies to the S and SE of the
country. Winds are mainly W, strongest to the west of Scotland.
Rain showers in the N and NW of the country, and rain showers in the
Channel.
On Mon. 22nd, LP to the NW of the country has a trough to a small
depression over SW England. Winds are S along the North Sea coast
and cool W or NW in the west of the country. Winds are strongest to
the W of Scotland. Showers expected over most places but heaviest in
SE England.
On Tues. 23rd, LP has moved to the N or NE of Scotland HP is
coming into the SW of England and pushing a small disturbance ahead of
it along the Channel. Winds are cool NW in the west of the country,
turning W in the east of the country. Strongest winds in the E and W of
Scotland and in paarts of the Channel. Showers are expected in most
places except the extreme W of the country. Heavy rain is expected
over the eastern Channel.
On Wed. 24th, LP to the N of Scotland. A weak belt of HP
stretching W/E over central areas, and a small disturbance in the
Channel expected to move NE'wards across England. Winds are W in the
north, light over central areas and light E in the south of
England. Winds are strongest in the SW of the country. Heavy rain
expected over Scotland, showers elsewhere, but dryest over the extreme
SW of England.
On Thurs. 25th, LP has moved to NE Scotland. A belt of HP runs
along the Channel and an area of HP to the west of Ireland moves into
the SW of England. Winds are mainly W to NW over the country.
Strongest winds to the W of Scotland. Heavy rain expected down the
North Sea coast and rain showers expected elsewhere.
On Fri. 26th, a depression comes into W Scotland with a secondary
LP near S Ireland. HP is just leaving SE England for the continent.
Winds are SW in the east of the country turning W in the south-west and
variable in the west and north-west. NW winds could come into Ireland
later. Strongest winds over the whole of Scotland and also in the W
and SW of the country. Rain showers over most of the country, clearing
in the extreme west.
On Sat. 27th, HP from the Azores comes along the Channel and
covers S, SE and E England and also the SE of Scotland. LP lies to
the W of Scotland drift towards the N of Scotland.. It has a secondary
depression out in the Atlantic. Winds are light in the SE of the
country but are SW elsewhere. Showers over most areas, but dry in the
east at first.
On Sun. 28th, a belt of LP stretches from the Atlantic, across
theN of Ireland to Scotland. HP over the Channel intensifies near
the French coast. Winds are SW, strongest in the SW of the country.
Heaviest rain over east Scotland, rain showers elsewhere. Dryest in
the S and SE.
On Mon. 29th, a LP area to the north and HP to the SW and SE of
Britain. Winds mainly W, but light in the south. Showers in most
areas.
On Tues. 30th, a deep LP comes towards W Scotland. The tail-end
of a HP in the Channel and S North Sea moves eastwards followed by a
small depresssion coming into SW Ireland. Strongest winds over Scotland
and Northern Ireland. Showers over most areas except the extreme NE
of Scotland.

Cheers, Keith.


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