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Old October 27th 04, 07:08 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (27/10/04)

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon (GMT) on Sunday. Issued
0607z, 27/10/04.

Once again the models are mixed. There are large differences with the
development of a high near the UK over the weekend and beginning of next
week. All that can be said is that it's looking relatively settled for most
areas for the beginning of next week, although as ever more runs are needed.

ECMWF: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Recm1201.gif
The chart for T+120 is unavailable. High pressure over Scandinavia brings
easterlies for the UK at T+144, followed by light SE'lies, easterlies and
NE'lies at T+168 as it builds and sinks SE'wards.

MetO: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.html
NW Scotland lies under SW'lies, while southern England is affected by
ENE'lies, all due to a high over the UK. The high builds and moves eastwards
at T+144, leaving a ridge over the UK; this leads to SW'lies for Scotland
and easterlies for England and Wales.

GFS: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Rtavn1201.gif
A ridge covers the UK, with light winds for most. 850hPa temperatures vary
from +2C over East Anglia to +4C over northern Scotland and SW England.
SW'lies affect the UK at T+144 due to a trough west of Scotland, followed by
variable winds as a new high builds to the west. The high moves over Ireland
on day 8, bringing westerlies to Scotland and ENE'lies or NE'lies for
England and Wales. Easterlies and SSW'lies affect the UK on day 9 as the
high builds over the North Sea. Day 10 sees the high over Germany, leaving
Scotland and Northern Ireland under SW'lies.

NOGAPS: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/ng...20.europeg.gif
High pressure is centred to the east of Scotland with a ridge over the UK.
Winds are light for most, although moderate ENE'lies cover much of central
and southern England.

GEM: http://www.meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
The Canadian run shows NE'lies over the UK due to a ridge atop Scotland. A
col covers the UK at T+144, bringing light winds.

JMA: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rjma1201.html
Unavailable today.

KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif
A ridge extends southwards from Greenland to Iceland and beyond, leading to
northerlies and NNE'lies for the UK.

DWD: http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...270000_120.gif
A ridge covers the UK, with light winds for all.

GM CPTEC: http://www.cptec.inpe.br/prevnum/Global126_sx6_Gl.shtml
Unavailable today.

MM5: http://rain.mmm.ucar.edu/mm5/plots/n...6hrn.hr120.gif
The mesoscale output westerlies for much of the UK, with high pressure to
the SW.

MM5 Snow forecast:
http://rain.mmm.ucar.edu/mm5/plots/n...snoc.hr120.gif
No snow is expected to lie across the UK at T+120.




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