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Old November 4th 04, 06:15 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (4/11/04)

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Monday. Issued 0613z,
4/11/04.

High pressure to the west looks like dominating our weather for the first
half of next week (at least). The UK will lie under mild air that's
travelled up and over the high, so thicknesses will be high; however patchy
frost can't be ruled out if skies are clear by night.

ECMWF: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Recm1201.gif
A large high lies to the SW of the UK with a ridge over the British Isles.
This leads to light NNW'lies, followed by NW'lies and northerlies as the
high merges with another further west on day 6. The high builds to the west
on day 7, resulting in westerlies for Scotland and ENE'lies over much of
England and Wales.

MetO: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.html
The MetO run also shows a large high, this time to the WSW of the UK.
Scotland and Northern Ireland lie under NW'lies as a result, with NNW'lies
elsewhere. The winds become northerlies for many at T+144 as the high builds
to the west of Ireland.

GFS: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Rtavn1201.gif
Unavailable.

GEM: http://www.meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
The Canadian run a ridge toppling over the UK, bringing northerlies and
NNE'lies. 850hPa temperatures vary from +3C over SE England to +9C over
Northern Ireland. The ridge sinks southwards at T+144, allowing NW'lies and
WNW'lies to affect the UK.

GME/DWD:
http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...040000_120.gif
The UK lies under NW'lies, with high pressure to the west.

JMA: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rjma1201.html
The Japanese run brings a NNW'ly flow over the UK as the result of a high to
the SW. The high moves NE'wards over Scandinavia at T+144, introducing a
NE'ly flow over England and Wales. Day 7 sees NNE'lies for all as a new high
moves eastwards, followed by more of the same for most on day 8.

NOGAPS: http://129.13.102.67/wz/pics/ngp10.prp.120.europeg.gif
A ridge is toppling over the UK, bringing westerlies, NW'lies and
northerlies (along with 552dam air for most).

GM CPTEC: http://www.cptec.inpe.br/prevnum/Global126_sx6_Gl.shtml
Unavailable today.

KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif
Northerlies cover the UK due to a high to the NNW of Ireland.

MM5: http://rain.mmm.ucar.edu/mm5/plots/n...6hrn.hr120.gif
The UK lies under NW'lies, with a ridge to the west.

MM5 Snow forecast:
http://rain.mmm.ucar.edu/mm5/plots/n...snoc.hr120.gif
No snow is expected to lie over the UK at T+120.




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