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This forecast summary is my *PERSONAL OPINION* of how the weather may unfold
next week. I will take no responsibility whatsoever for any actions arising from
its use. It is provided freely in the spirit of freedom and the great love for
meteorology that I personally enjoy and wish to share freely with others.

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Summary valid for Sunday 27/02/05 to Saturday 05/03/05
TOI (time of issue) Friday 25/02/05 2130 UK local time

This summary is based on a quick appraisal of the GFS, JMA, ECMWF, UKMO, FAX,
and ENS (NCEP ensemble) labelled charts available from the superb
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten

Very high confidence (90%) that the cold weather will persist for at least
another week with high pressure persisting to the west of the British Isles with
lows running southeast to the east of Britain establishing an arctic northerly
airstream. Detail of snow is again difficult but most snow is likely to be in
the north and east, especially over hills above 100m or so, but also some
accumulations on lower ground at times. Some disruption to transport and
services is likely from Monday to Wednesday. Moderate prob (40%) of becoming
drier and more settled after thursday, but staying cold.

On Sunday many places look like having a bright and cold day and overnight
frost. One or two wintry showers at first in the south and turning cloudy in
Scotland with rain, sleet and snow spreading south later. Rain more likely in
the west. Winds fresh northeasterly at first in the south then turning light,
but strong northerlies spreading into Scotland later.

On Monday a new low develops over Norway and frontal systems push across the UK
from the north bringing a mixture of rain, sleet and snow. Snow on all hills
above 150m and most rain in the west. Strong northerly winds setting in in the
north late in the day with blizzards likely in eastern scotland and northeast
England over high ground. Southern Britain could stay cold and bright for much
of daylight hours with rain, sleet and snow after dark.

On Tuesday and Wednesday low pressure in the North Sea will bring strong
northerly winds and possible gales to eastern areas of England and Scotland.
Spells of rain, sleet and snow. Most rain near the coast and snow on all high
ground above 100m where heavy falls could occur with drifting and blocked roads
and disruption. Western areas will be drier and brighter, but even here plenty
of wintry showers with snow on hills above 100m in fresh to strong northerly
winds. Sheltered southern areas away from the SW may end up to be driest parts
of the country with just scattered wintry showers. Cold everywhere with frost
and ice at night.

After Wednesday, things become much more uncertain. Most likely scenario is for
sunny spells and wintry showers in a northerly airstream, but a moderate chance
of high pressure pushing across from the west bringing a drier spell of weather
with sunshine by day and frost at night. A little less cold with a general thaw
of any snow on low ground but staying very cold in upland areas of Britain,
especially over snow cover. Lower chance of another deep low bringing yet more
rain, sleet and snow down from the north in strong winds.


Will.

Chief forecaster USW
--

" Visit Haytor meteorological office at
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...met_office.htm "
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A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).


mailto:
www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
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Thanks, Will.

No sign of the missing two January easterlies yet, then?:-o :-(

D.

Thanks, Will.

No sign of the missing two January easterlies yet, then?:-o :-(

D.

Thanks, Will.

No sign of the missing two January easterlies yet, then?:-o :-(

D.

Thanks, Will.

No sign of the missing two January easterlies yet, then?:-o :-(

D.

Thanks Will

Already posted to all at work. It has become a forecast all at work
read with interest. Strangely they have a serious mis-trust of tv
weather forecasts.


Mark Chamberlain
Herne Bay, Kent

Thanks Will

Already posted to all at work. It has become a forecast all at work
read with interest. Strangely they have a serious mis-trust of tv
weather forecasts.


Mark Chamberlain
Herne Bay, Kent

Thanks Will

Already posted to all at work. It has become a forecast all at work
read with interest. Strangely they have a serious mis-trust of tv
weather forecasts.


Mark Chamberlain
Herne Bay, Kent

Thanks Will

Already posted to all at work. It has become a forecast all at work
read with interest. Strangely they have a serious mis-trust of tv
weather forecasts.


Mark Chamberlain
Herne Bay, Kent