uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged.

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Old November 26th 04, 09:52 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default aha, le'ts wait and see

Prepare for Winter
Added [Thursday November 25 2004 : 5:46:21 PM]

Ok, here's the scenario, Laurel & Hardy plus banana skin... the thing is,
you know what's going to happen, it's just a matter of when.

At the moment the weather is recreating this scene for us perfectly by
setting up a significant blocking pattern to the North. This feature forces
the polar jet stream to dive South, this has two effects. Firstly colder air
floods South, the second is more pronounced and longer living as the
ingredients are there for the development of a blocking Scandinavian high,
with warm air flooding in a lower levels, whilst ice cold air streams in at
upper levels to the Northwest.

The message is clear, although the UK is unlikely to see a major snow event
in the next 10 days, the cool down will be remarkable and next week will be
the week that Winter bites...


Source: Metcheck.

My Comment:
This will be interesting but we all know it is
not certain. Darren's model runs do not show it yet and as Darren has
pointed out the runs are all over the place. However, I think we are in for
some interesting times.

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Cambridge, UK.

www.gavinstaples.com
site regularly updated


"What luck for rulers, that men do not think". ~ Adolph Hitler



All outgoing emails are checked for viruses by Norton Internet Security
Professional 2004.

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Old November 26th 04, 10:40 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default aha, le'ts wait and see


Prepare for Winter
Added [Thursday November 25 2004 : 5:46:21 PM]

Ok, here's the scenario, Laurel & Hardy plus banana skin... the thing is,
you know what's going to happen, it's just a matter of when.

At the moment the weather is recreating this scene for us perfectly by
setting up a significant blocking pattern to the North. This feature
forces
the polar jet stream to dive South, this has two effects. Firstly colder
air
floods South, the second is more pronounced and longer living as the
ingredients are there for the development of a blocking Scandinavian high,
with warm air flooding in a lower levels, whilst ice cold air streams in
at
upper levels to the Northwest.

The message is clear, although the UK is unlikely to see a major snow
event
in the next 10 days, the cool down will be remarkable and next week will
be
the week that Winter bites...


Source: Metcheck.

My Comment:
This will be interesting but we all know it is
not certain. Darren's model runs do not show it yet and as Darren has
pointed out the runs are all over the place. However, I think we are in
for
some interesting times.



I think the Laurel & Hardy analogy is very appropriate. I'm waiting for
the slip-up in these forecasts.
g

Brendan


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Old November 26th 04, 11:46 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default aha, le'ts wait and see

I see you have SLIPPED in another attachment :-(

Cheers, Alastair.

"


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Old November 26th 04, 04:11 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default aha, le'ts wait and see

I can see it now when it does'nt come to pass.
Andrew Bond will say to Matt Ego "That's another fine mess you've got me
into"



"Brendan DJ Murphy" wrote in message
...

Prepare for Winter
Added [Thursday November 25 2004 : 5:46:21 PM]

Ok, here's the scenario, Laurel & Hardy plus banana skin... the thing

is,
you know what's going to happen, it's just a matter of when.

At the moment the weather is recreating this scene for us perfectly by
setting up a significant blocking pattern to the North. This feature
forces
the polar jet stream to dive South, this has two effects. Firstly colder
air
floods South, the second is more pronounced and longer living as the
ingredients are there for the development of a blocking Scandinavian

high,
with warm air flooding in a lower levels, whilst ice cold air streams in
at
upper levels to the Northwest.

The message is clear, although the UK is unlikely to see a major snow
event
in the next 10 days, the cool down will be remarkable and next week will
be
the week that Winter bites...


Source: Metcheck.

My Comment:
This will be interesting but we all know it

is
not certain. Darren's model runs do not show it yet and as Darren has
pointed out the runs are all over the place. However, I think we are in
for
some interesting times.



I think the Laurel & Hardy analogy is very appropriate. I'm waiting for
the slip-up in these forecasts.
g

Brendan




---
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Old November 26th 04, 05:45 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Posts: 148
Default aha, le'ts wait and see

what's with the attachment ??
"Gavin Staples" wrote in message
.. .
Prepare for Winter
Added [Thursday November 25 2004 : 5:46:21 PM]

Ok, here's the scenario, Laurel & Hardy plus banana skin... the thing is,
you know what's going to happen, it's just a matter of when.

At the moment the weather is recreating this scene for us perfectly by
setting up a significant blocking pattern to the North. This feature

forces
the polar jet stream to dive South, this has two effects. Firstly colder

air
floods South, the second is more pronounced and longer living as the
ingredients are there for the development of a blocking Scandinavian high,
with warm air flooding in a lower levels, whilst ice cold air streams in

at
upper levels to the Northwest.

The message is clear, although the UK is unlikely to see a major snow

event
in the next 10 days, the cool down will be remarkable and next week will

be
the week that Winter bites...


Source: Metcheck.

My Comment:
This will be interesting but we all know it is
not certain. Darren's model runs do not show it yet and as Darren has
pointed out the runs are all over the place. However, I think we are in

for
some interesting times.

--

************************************************** **************************
********************************************
Gavin Staples.

Cambridge, UK.

www.gavinstaples.com
site regularly updated


"What luck for rulers, that men do not think". ~ Adolph Hitler



All outgoing emails are checked for viruses by Norton Internet Security
Professional 2004.


************************************************** **************************
************************************************** **







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Old November 26th 04, 06:59 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Nov 2003
Posts: 366
Default aha, le'ts wait and see


"fred" wrote in message ...
what's with the attachment ??



That's a mistake. If that happens again to me on these discussion postings
I'll just pop up the url and then point out the topic that I have in mind.

Gavin.


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Old November 26th 04, 07:42 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Posts: 6,314
Default aha, le'ts wait and see

In article ,
Gavin Staples writes:

"fred" wrote in message ...
what's with the attachment ??



That's a mistake. If that happens again to me on these discussion postings
I'll just pop up the url and then point out the topic that I have in mind.


That might be better, especially as it would avoid any risk of your
getting in trouble for copyright infringement. (Unlikely, since I
imagine the sites whosr articles you quote will welcome the publicity,
but if they haven't explicitly given permission then it could be a
risk.)
--
John Hall
"Think wrongly if you please,
but in all cases think for yourself."
Doris Lessing


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