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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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It has been shown a few times already but for anyone who hasn't seen it
I can recommend the documentary on BBC4 at 10:30 this evening. Norman. (delete "thisbit" twice to e-mail) -- Norman Lynagh Weather Consultancy Chalfont St Giles England |
#2
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Yes Norman ,I hadn't seen it before ,and yes it was very good .
Obviously though it raised some questions , like the arrogance of Helen Young to say the British public don't understand what the JetStream means so therefore she won't let us see it in our forecasts, and ,the statement made by the commentator that 'There has been reduction of blocking Highs across the U.K. thereby allowing the JetStream a freer access to Western Europe' . Is that true ? RonB "Norman Lynagh" wrote in message ... It has been shown a few times already but for anyone who hasn't seen it I can recommend the documentary on BBC4 at 10:30 this evening. Norman. (delete "thisbit" twice to e-mail) -- Norman Lynagh Weather Consultancy Chalfont St Giles England |
#3
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..........the statement
made by the commentator that 'There has been reduction of blocking Highs across the U.K. thereby allowing the JetStream a freer access to Western Europe' . Is that true ? this is consistent with with the tendency to +ve values of the NAO index in the latter half of the C20,though in recent years this seems to declined .However,I'm not sure the conventional NAO indices reflect properly current storm track regimes.It's hard to find an uptodate blocking climatology,most concentrate on cyclones.(tho I haven't looked exhaustively) This recent paper may be of interest- Trigo,R.M., I. F. Trigo, C. C. DaCamara, and T. J. Osborn, 2004: Climate impact of the European winter blocking episodes from the NCEP/NCAR Reanalyses. Clim. Dyn ., 23 (1), 17-28. online at- http://www.nersc.no/MACESIZ/Papers/tri04.pdf Also it's discussion of cloudiness and max/min temperatures may be of relevance to the perceived decline in fog mentioned elsewhere, -- regards, david (add 17 to waghorne to reply) |
#4
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In article ,
Ron Button writes: Yes Norman ,I hadn't seen it before ,and yes it was very good . Obviously though it raised some questions , like the arrogance of Helen Young to say the British public don't understand what the JetStream means so therefore she won't let us see it in our forecasts, Of course they never _will_ understand it if they are never exposed to it. US forecasters use it, and I can't believe that the American audience is any more intelligent than ours. and ,the statement made by the commentator that 'There has been reduction of blocking Highs across the U.K. thereby allowing the JetStream a freer access to Western Europe' . Is that true ? Blocking highs and the position of the Jetstream are clearly linked, but isn't it over-simplifying to imply that they are cause and effect? -- John Hall "I look upon it, that he who does not mind his belly, will hardly mind anything else." Dr Samuel Johnson (1709-84) |
#5
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![]() "Ron Button" wrote in message ... Yes Norman ,I hadn't seen it before ,and yes it was very good . Obviously though it raised some questions , like the arrogance of Helen Young to say the British public don't understand what the JetStream means so therefore she won't let us see it in our forecasts, and ,the statement made by the commentator that 'There has been reduction of blocking Highs across the U.K. thereby allowing the JetStream a freer access to Western Europe' . Is that true ? RonB Yes, it was interesting but, as with all programmes of this type, lacking much real science. I wouldn't say Helen Young was arrogant. I think it's a fact that most of the British public understand very little about 'jetstreams'. A bit like the chicken and the egg.... a). Should forecasters; given the time; refer to the science behind their forecasts and thereby encourage the public to increase their knowledge OR b) Should the media provide some good, in depth science programmes so the public can understand the science behind the forecasts? I'm afraid in the present 'climate' of audience ratings and cost effectiveness neither will happen - though a little of the first should be possibe. John -- York, North Yorkshire. (Norman Virus Protected) |
#6
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"Ron Button" wrote in message ...
the statement made by the commentator that 'There has been reduction of blocking Highs across the U.K. thereby allowing the JetStream a freer access to Western Europe' . Is that true ? RonB Does the course of the Jet Stream influence the positioning of areas of LP and HP? Or is the positioning of pressure systems dependant on completely different criteria, and indeed, do HP areas themselves steer the course of the Jet Stream? |
#7
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![]() "N-le-W" wrote in message m... "Ron Button" wrote in message ... the statement made by the commentator that 'There has been reduction of blocking Highs across the U.K. thereby allowing the JetStream a freer access to Western Europe' . Is that true ? RonB Does the course of the Jet Stream influence the positioning of areas of LP and HP? Putting it simply....?? Yes..basically the Polar Front Jet, which effects our part of the world, lies along a boundry of strong horizontal temperature contrasts. The wind blowing parallel to the mean isotherms. This jet is usually associated with frontal zones. Areas of the jet in which the flow is accellerating or deccellerating result in ageostrophic flow 'across' the jet, which in turn results in vertical motion. Typically the left (cold) exit and the right (warm) entrance to the jet are areas of cyclonic development ...and vice versa for anticyclonic development. Do HP areas themselves steer the course of the Jet Stream? Generally yes for large semi-permanent highs ( Azores High, Asiatic High). Large highs are areas of small horizontal thermal variation - at least to any depth. Small horizontal temperature gradient = no jet stream. Smaller transient highs, often in polar air, may be a result of and influenced by the Jet Stream. Cheers John -- York, North Yorkshire. (Norman Virus Protected) |
#8
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"John Whitby" wrote in message ...
"N-le-W" wrote in message m... "Ron Button" wrote in message ... the statement made by the commentator that 'There has been reduction of blocking Highs across the U.K. thereby allowing the JetStream a freer access to Western Europe' . Is that true ? RonB Does the course of the Jet Stream influence the positioning of areas of LP and HP? Putting it simply....?? Yes..basically the Polar Front Jet, which effects our part of the world, lies along a boundry of strong horizontal temperature contrasts. The wind blowing parallel to the mean isotherms. This jet is usually associated with frontal zones. Areas of the jet in which the flow is accellerating or deccellerating result in ageostrophic flow 'across' the jet, which in turn results in vertical motion. Typically the left (cold) exit and the right (warm) entrance to the jet are areas of cyclonic development ...and vice versa for anticyclonic development. Do HP areas themselves steer the course of the Jet Stream? Generally yes for large semi-permanent highs ( Azores High, Asiatic High). Large highs are areas of small horizontal thermal variation - at least to any depth. Small horizontal temperature gradient = no jet stream. Smaller transient highs, often in polar air, may be a result of and influenced by the Jet Stream. Cheers John Thanks for that. I think I know what you're saying |
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