uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged.

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  #11   Report Post  
Old March 12th 05, 01:34 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Posts: 6,134
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"gary" wrote in message
...
I am an avid reader of the messages on here but not having a weather
station myself do not contribute regularly.

snip
Over the winter we in Southern England have had minimal rainfall, and I
can't remember having a decent day's rainfall since last October. The High
that has dominated our weather for the last 4 months or so looks set to
continue ...

snip

Gary, I posted some statistics a few days ago which show that,
although very dry, it has certainly not been unprecedentedly so.
You can see how the high pressure has dominated our part
of the world during the winter season at
http://www.climate-uk.com/monpre/05Q1.htm
and also by following the monthly links.

Here are those stats again:

A quick calculation indicates that, for England and Wales,
the rainfall for the winter quarter has a return period of about
10 years, and for Southeast England a return period of
about 16 years.

The Nov-Feb rainfall has a return period of ~25 years.

According to my figures, in the last 80 years we have had:

England and Wales:
2004-05 Dec-Feb 171mm; Nov-Feb 223mm
1991-92 Dec-Feb 143mm; Nov-Feb 236mm
1975-76 Dec-Feb 146mm; Nov-Feb 219mm
1963-64 Dec-Feb 89mm; Nov-Feb 255mm
1962-63 Dec-Feb 145mm; Nov-Feb 215mm
1933-34 Dec-Feb 119mm; Nov-Feb 165mm
Southeast England
2004-05 Dec-Feb 105mm; Nov-Feb 147mm
1991-92 Dec-Feb 73mm; Nov-Feb 134mm
1980-81 Dec-Feb 101mm; Nov-Feb 144mm
1975-76 Dec-Feb 77mm; Nov-Feb 141mm
1963-64 Dec-Feb 73mm; Nov-Feb 195mm
1933-34 Dec-Feb 83mm; Nov-Feb 121mm
1931-32 Dec-Feb 85mm; Nov-Feb 182mm

Philip Eden



  #12   Report Post  
Old March 12th 05, 01:34 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2003
Posts: 6,134
Default Water Shortages


"gary" wrote in message
...
I am an avid reader of the messages on here but not having a weather
station myself do not contribute regularly.

snip
Over the winter we in Southern England have had minimal rainfall, and I
can't remember having a decent day's rainfall since last October. The High
that has dominated our weather for the last 4 months or so looks set to
continue ...

snip

Gary, I posted some statistics a few days ago which show that,
although very dry, it has certainly not been unprecedentedly so.
You can see how the high pressure has dominated our part
of the world during the winter season at
http://www.climate-uk.com/monpre/05Q1.htm
and also by following the monthly links.

Here are those stats again:

A quick calculation indicates that, for England and Wales,
the rainfall for the winter quarter has a return period of about
10 years, and for Southeast England a return period of
about 16 years.

The Nov-Feb rainfall has a return period of ~25 years.

According to my figures, in the last 80 years we have had:

England and Wales:
2004-05 Dec-Feb 171mm; Nov-Feb 223mm
1991-92 Dec-Feb 143mm; Nov-Feb 236mm
1975-76 Dec-Feb 146mm; Nov-Feb 219mm
1963-64 Dec-Feb 89mm; Nov-Feb 255mm
1962-63 Dec-Feb 145mm; Nov-Feb 215mm
1933-34 Dec-Feb 119mm; Nov-Feb 165mm
Southeast England
2004-05 Dec-Feb 105mm; Nov-Feb 147mm
1991-92 Dec-Feb 73mm; Nov-Feb 134mm
1980-81 Dec-Feb 101mm; Nov-Feb 144mm
1975-76 Dec-Feb 77mm; Nov-Feb 141mm
1963-64 Dec-Feb 73mm; Nov-Feb 195mm
1933-34 Dec-Feb 83mm; Nov-Feb 121mm
1931-32 Dec-Feb 85mm; Nov-Feb 182mm

Philip Eden


  #13   Report Post  
Old March 12th 05, 01:34 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2003
Posts: 6,134
Default Water Shortages


"gary" wrote in message
...
I am an avid reader of the messages on here but not having a weather
station myself do not contribute regularly.

snip
Over the winter we in Southern England have had minimal rainfall, and I
can't remember having a decent day's rainfall since last October. The High
that has dominated our weather for the last 4 months or so looks set to
continue ...

snip

Gary, I posted some statistics a few days ago which show that,
although very dry, it has certainly not been unprecedentedly so.
You can see how the high pressure has dominated our part
of the world during the winter season at
http://www.climate-uk.com/monpre/05Q1.htm
and also by following the monthly links.

Here are those stats again:

A quick calculation indicates that, for England and Wales,
the rainfall for the winter quarter has a return period of about
10 years, and for Southeast England a return period of
about 16 years.

The Nov-Feb rainfall has a return period of ~25 years.

According to my figures, in the last 80 years we have had:

England and Wales:
2004-05 Dec-Feb 171mm; Nov-Feb 223mm
1991-92 Dec-Feb 143mm; Nov-Feb 236mm
1975-76 Dec-Feb 146mm; Nov-Feb 219mm
1963-64 Dec-Feb 89mm; Nov-Feb 255mm
1962-63 Dec-Feb 145mm; Nov-Feb 215mm
1933-34 Dec-Feb 119mm; Nov-Feb 165mm
Southeast England
2004-05 Dec-Feb 105mm; Nov-Feb 147mm
1991-92 Dec-Feb 73mm; Nov-Feb 134mm
1980-81 Dec-Feb 101mm; Nov-Feb 144mm
1975-76 Dec-Feb 77mm; Nov-Feb 141mm
1963-64 Dec-Feb 73mm; Nov-Feb 195mm
1933-34 Dec-Feb 83mm; Nov-Feb 121mm
1931-32 Dec-Feb 85mm; Nov-Feb 182mm

Philip Eden


  #14   Report Post  
Old March 12th 05, 03:16 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Apr 2004
Posts: 215
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Hi Philip

My recording of 88.0 mm for the Dec-Feb period puts Worcester on par with
the winters in the early 1930's for dryness. And yet I would have thought
that Worcester's rainfall would generally be slightly higher than the SE of
England, so this makes 88.0 mm even more unusual.
_______________________________
Nick

Worcester
45 AMSL
http://www.worcesterweather.co.uk
"Philip Eden" philipATweatherHYPHENukDOTcom wrote in message
...

"gary" wrote in message
...
I am an avid reader of the messages on here but not having a weather
station myself do not contribute regularly.

snip
Over the winter we in Southern England have had minimal rainfall, and I
can't remember having a decent day's rainfall since last October. The
High that has dominated our weather for the last 4 months or so looks set
to continue ...

snip

Gary, I posted some statistics a few days ago which show that,
although very dry, it has certainly not been unprecedentedly so.
You can see how the high pressure has dominated our part
of the world during the winter season at
http://www.climate-uk.com/monpre/05Q1.htm
and also by following the monthly links.

Here are those stats again:

A quick calculation indicates that, for England and Wales,
the rainfall for the winter quarter has a return period of about
10 years, and for Southeast England a return period of
about 16 years.

The Nov-Feb rainfall has a return period of ~25 years.

According to my figures, in the last 80 years we have had:

England and Wales:
2004-05 Dec-Feb 171mm; Nov-Feb 223mm
1991-92 Dec-Feb 143mm; Nov-Feb 236mm
1975-76 Dec-Feb 146mm; Nov-Feb 219mm
1963-64 Dec-Feb 89mm; Nov-Feb 255mm
1962-63 Dec-Feb 145mm; Nov-Feb 215mm
1933-34 Dec-Feb 119mm; Nov-Feb 165mm
Southeast England
2004-05 Dec-Feb 105mm; Nov-Feb 147mm
1991-92 Dec-Feb 73mm; Nov-Feb 134mm
1980-81 Dec-Feb 101mm; Nov-Feb 144mm
1975-76 Dec-Feb 77mm; Nov-Feb 141mm
1963-64 Dec-Feb 73mm; Nov-Feb 195mm
1933-34 Dec-Feb 83mm; Nov-Feb 121mm
1931-32 Dec-Feb 85mm; Nov-Feb 182mm

Philip Eden




  #15   Report Post  
Old March 12th 05, 03:16 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Apr 2004
Posts: 215
Default Water Shortages

Hi Philip

My recording of 88.0 mm for the Dec-Feb period puts Worcester on par with
the winters in the early 1930's for dryness. And yet I would have thought
that Worcester's rainfall would generally be slightly higher than the SE of
England, so this makes 88.0 mm even more unusual.
_______________________________
Nick

Worcester
45 AMSL
http://www.worcesterweather.co.uk
"Philip Eden" philipATweatherHYPHENukDOTcom wrote in message
...

"gary" wrote in message
...
I am an avid reader of the messages on here but not having a weather
station myself do not contribute regularly.

snip
Over the winter we in Southern England have had minimal rainfall, and I
can't remember having a decent day's rainfall since last October. The
High that has dominated our weather for the last 4 months or so looks set
to continue ...

snip

Gary, I posted some statistics a few days ago which show that,
although very dry, it has certainly not been unprecedentedly so.
You can see how the high pressure has dominated our part
of the world during the winter season at
http://www.climate-uk.com/monpre/05Q1.htm
and also by following the monthly links.

Here are those stats again:

A quick calculation indicates that, for England and Wales,
the rainfall for the winter quarter has a return period of about
10 years, and for Southeast England a return period of
about 16 years.

The Nov-Feb rainfall has a return period of ~25 years.

According to my figures, in the last 80 years we have had:

England and Wales:
2004-05 Dec-Feb 171mm; Nov-Feb 223mm
1991-92 Dec-Feb 143mm; Nov-Feb 236mm
1975-76 Dec-Feb 146mm; Nov-Feb 219mm
1963-64 Dec-Feb 89mm; Nov-Feb 255mm
1962-63 Dec-Feb 145mm; Nov-Feb 215mm
1933-34 Dec-Feb 119mm; Nov-Feb 165mm
Southeast England
2004-05 Dec-Feb 105mm; Nov-Feb 147mm
1991-92 Dec-Feb 73mm; Nov-Feb 134mm
1980-81 Dec-Feb 101mm; Nov-Feb 144mm
1975-76 Dec-Feb 77mm; Nov-Feb 141mm
1963-64 Dec-Feb 73mm; Nov-Feb 195mm
1933-34 Dec-Feb 83mm; Nov-Feb 121mm
1931-32 Dec-Feb 85mm; Nov-Feb 182mm

Philip Eden






  #16   Report Post  
Old March 12th 05, 03:16 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Apr 2004
Posts: 215
Default Water Shortages

Hi Philip

My recording of 88.0 mm for the Dec-Feb period puts Worcester on par with
the winters in the early 1930's for dryness. And yet I would have thought
that Worcester's rainfall would generally be slightly higher than the SE of
England, so this makes 88.0 mm even more unusual.
_______________________________
Nick

Worcester
45 AMSL
http://www.worcesterweather.co.uk
"Philip Eden" philipATweatherHYPHENukDOTcom wrote in message
...

"gary" wrote in message
...
I am an avid reader of the messages on here but not having a weather
station myself do not contribute regularly.

snip
Over the winter we in Southern England have had minimal rainfall, and I
can't remember having a decent day's rainfall since last October. The
High that has dominated our weather for the last 4 months or so looks set
to continue ...

snip

Gary, I posted some statistics a few days ago which show that,
although very dry, it has certainly not been unprecedentedly so.
You can see how the high pressure has dominated our part
of the world during the winter season at
http://www.climate-uk.com/monpre/05Q1.htm
and also by following the monthly links.

Here are those stats again:

A quick calculation indicates that, for England and Wales,
the rainfall for the winter quarter has a return period of about
10 years, and for Southeast England a return period of
about 16 years.

The Nov-Feb rainfall has a return period of ~25 years.

According to my figures, in the last 80 years we have had:

England and Wales:
2004-05 Dec-Feb 171mm; Nov-Feb 223mm
1991-92 Dec-Feb 143mm; Nov-Feb 236mm
1975-76 Dec-Feb 146mm; Nov-Feb 219mm
1963-64 Dec-Feb 89mm; Nov-Feb 255mm
1962-63 Dec-Feb 145mm; Nov-Feb 215mm
1933-34 Dec-Feb 119mm; Nov-Feb 165mm
Southeast England
2004-05 Dec-Feb 105mm; Nov-Feb 147mm
1991-92 Dec-Feb 73mm; Nov-Feb 134mm
1980-81 Dec-Feb 101mm; Nov-Feb 144mm
1975-76 Dec-Feb 77mm; Nov-Feb 141mm
1963-64 Dec-Feb 73mm; Nov-Feb 195mm
1933-34 Dec-Feb 83mm; Nov-Feb 121mm
1931-32 Dec-Feb 85mm; Nov-Feb 182mm

Philip Eden




  #17   Report Post  
Old March 12th 05, 03:16 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Apr 2004
Posts: 215
Default Water Shortages

Hi Philip

My recording of 88.0 mm for the Dec-Feb period puts Worcester on par with
the winters in the early 1930's for dryness. And yet I would have thought
that Worcester's rainfall would generally be slightly higher than the SE of
England, so this makes 88.0 mm even more unusual.
_______________________________
Nick

Worcester
45 AMSL
http://www.worcesterweather.co.uk
"Philip Eden" philipATweatherHYPHENukDOTcom wrote in message
...

"gary" wrote in message
...
I am an avid reader of the messages on here but not having a weather
station myself do not contribute regularly.

snip
Over the winter we in Southern England have had minimal rainfall, and I
can't remember having a decent day's rainfall since last October. The
High that has dominated our weather for the last 4 months or so looks set
to continue ...

snip

Gary, I posted some statistics a few days ago which show that,
although very dry, it has certainly not been unprecedentedly so.
You can see how the high pressure has dominated our part
of the world during the winter season at
http://www.climate-uk.com/monpre/05Q1.htm
and also by following the monthly links.

Here are those stats again:

A quick calculation indicates that, for England and Wales,
the rainfall for the winter quarter has a return period of about
10 years, and for Southeast England a return period of
about 16 years.

The Nov-Feb rainfall has a return period of ~25 years.

According to my figures, in the last 80 years we have had:

England and Wales:
2004-05 Dec-Feb 171mm; Nov-Feb 223mm
1991-92 Dec-Feb 143mm; Nov-Feb 236mm
1975-76 Dec-Feb 146mm; Nov-Feb 219mm
1963-64 Dec-Feb 89mm; Nov-Feb 255mm
1962-63 Dec-Feb 145mm; Nov-Feb 215mm
1933-34 Dec-Feb 119mm; Nov-Feb 165mm
Southeast England
2004-05 Dec-Feb 105mm; Nov-Feb 147mm
1991-92 Dec-Feb 73mm; Nov-Feb 134mm
1980-81 Dec-Feb 101mm; Nov-Feb 144mm
1975-76 Dec-Feb 77mm; Nov-Feb 141mm
1963-64 Dec-Feb 73mm; Nov-Feb 195mm
1933-34 Dec-Feb 83mm; Nov-Feb 121mm
1931-32 Dec-Feb 85mm; Nov-Feb 182mm

Philip Eden




  #18   Report Post  
Old March 12th 05, 04:13 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2003
Posts: 2,359
Default Water Shortages

"Phil Layton" wrote in message


MetO going for wetter than average period ahead..


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/...ook/index.html


[The dry spell looks set to come to an end with wetter than average
weather expected to dominate.

Northern parts will have extensive rain during the first week, with the
southeast remaining drier than average.

It will then become more unsettled everywhere for the rest of the month,
with the southwest being particularly wet.

However, with near average sunshine expected in most places, much of the
rain is likely to be showery in nature.

The south looks to be more cloudy during the second half of the period.

Apart from a cold start in the far north, temperatures should be near or
slightly above the seasonal average, though falling away a little during
the final two weeks.]

February fills the ditches and March licks them dry in a good year. So
if the above comes true you won't be needing me to prophesy doom.


--
Posted via Mailgate.ORG Server - http://www.Mailgate.ORG


  #19   Report Post  
Old March 12th 05, 04:13 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2003
Posts: 2,359
Default Water Shortages

"Phil Layton" wrote in message


MetO going for wetter than average period ahead..


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/...ook/index.html


[The dry spell looks set to come to an end with wetter than average
weather expected to dominate.

Northern parts will have extensive rain during the first week, with the
southeast remaining drier than average.

It will then become more unsettled everywhere for the rest of the month,
with the southwest being particularly wet.

However, with near average sunshine expected in most places, much of the
rain is likely to be showery in nature.

The south looks to be more cloudy during the second half of the period.

Apart from a cold start in the far north, temperatures should be near or
slightly above the seasonal average, though falling away a little during
the final two weeks.]

February fills the ditches and March licks them dry in a good year. So
if the above comes true you won't be needing me to prophesy doom.


--
Posted via Mailgate.ORG Server - http://www.Mailgate.ORG
  #20   Report Post  
Old March 12th 05, 04:13 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2003
Posts: 2,359
Default Water Shortages

"Phil Layton" wrote in message


MetO going for wetter than average period ahead..


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/...ook/index.html


[The dry spell looks set to come to an end with wetter than average
weather expected to dominate.

Northern parts will have extensive rain during the first week, with the
southeast remaining drier than average.

It will then become more unsettled everywhere for the rest of the month,
with the southwest being particularly wet.

However, with near average sunshine expected in most places, much of the
rain is likely to be showery in nature.

The south looks to be more cloudy during the second half of the period.

Apart from a cold start in the far north, temperatures should be near or
slightly above the seasonal average, though falling away a little during
the final two weeks.]

February fills the ditches and March licks them dry in a good year. So
if the above comes true you won't be needing me to prophesy doom.


--
Posted via Mailgate.ORG Server - http://www.Mailgate.ORG


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