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| uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
December 2nd 04, 09:11 PM
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Next week's weather and further outlook beginning 05/12/04
"Brendan DJ Murphy" wrote in message ... at times, very mild conditions in all areas. Yippee! I Love the mild weather. Wednesday...... Turning colder later as winds swing into the northwest bringing showers which will possibly turn wintry over northern hills. I HATE the cold This then sets the scene, until at least the third week, of a generally westerly pattern with spells of mild, wet and windy weather... Bring on those Atlantic Lows at this time of year. Makes a change from those Blocking Highs that we seen to get recently. Brendan, please lie down and take some medication. :-) Victor |
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#2
December 7th 04, 08:02 AM
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Next week's weather and further outlook beginning 05/12/04
Brendan, please lie down and take some medication. :-) Victor Apologies for my strange postings last Thursday. I had had a small drink or two that evening;-) I'll try to contain myself in future Brendan |
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#3
December 8th 04, 08:38 PM
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Next week's weather and further outlook beginning 05/12/04
"Brendan DJ Murphy" wrote in message ... at times, very mild conditions in all areas. Yippee! I Love the mild weather. Urgh! Wednesday...... Turning colder later as winds swing into the northwest bringing showers which will possibly turn wintry over northern hills. I HATE the cold I find I *feel* less cold on a nice crisp sunny -2deg morning than an 8deg cloudy drizzly day. This then sets the scene, until at least the third week, of a generally westerly pattern with spells of mild, wet and windy weather... Bring on those Atlantic Lows at this time of year. Makes a change from those Blocking Highs that we seen to get recently. Each to their own  Personally, although I love a bit of snow, I'd be happywith some cold sunniness. This endless grey is depressing, cold, and bugger all use for getting my telescope out too! James |
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#4
December 2nd 04, 09:12 PM
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Next week's weather and further outlook beginning 05/12/04
Cheers Will.
Looking good for cold weather predicted by Brian Gaze and Metcheck :-) Maybe some snow for us in Bristol by the end of next week. |
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#5
December 3rd 04, 09:27 AM
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Next week's weather and further outlook beginning 05/12/04
"Matty H" wrote in message ...
Cheers Will. Looking good for cold weather predicted by Brian Gaze and Metcheck :-) Maybe some snow for us in Bristol by the end of next week. Yeah yeah, i know this is an imposter troll but looking bad for the second cold spell forecast by Metcheck for Dec 4th to Dec 7th some places are going to see 14, 15 or maybe even 16C Warm snow anyone? |
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#6
December 3rd 04, 09:55 PM
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Next week's weather and further outlook beginning 05/12/04
"Will Hand" wrote in message
... ================================================== =============== Summary valid for Sunday 05/12/04 to Saturday 11/12/04 TOI (time of issue) Thursday 02/12/04 2100 UK local time This summary is based on a quick appraisal of the GFS, JMA, ECMWF, UKMO, FAX, and ENS (NCEP ensemble) labelled charts available from the superb http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten Confidence high that next week will gradually see a change to very unsettled, wet, and at times, very mild conditions in all areas. That's what 'we' wanted, Will, but there was a distinct lack of mobility on the 12Z model runs, at least across the south. I know a few that will be nervous wrecks if we have week after week of fog and stratocu mind games :-| Jon. |
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#7
December 3rd 04, 10:06 PM
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Next week's weather and further outlook beginning 05/12/04
"Will Hand" wrote in message ... ================================================== =============== This forecast summary is my *PERSONAL OPINION* of how the weather may unfold next week. I will take no responsibility whatsoever for any actions arising from its use. It is provided freely in the spirit of freedom and the great love for meteorology that I personally enjoy and wish to share freely with others. ================================================== =============== Summary valid for Sunday 05/12/04 to Saturday 11/12/04 TOI (time of issue) Thursday 02/12/04 2100 UK local time This summary is based on a quick appraisal of the GFS, JMA, ECMWF, UKMO, FAX, and ENS (NCEP ensemble) labelled charts available from the superb http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten Confidence high that next week will gradually see a change to very unsettled, wet, and at times, very mild conditions in all areas. However, confidence only low to moderate for the details of the change, but reasonably confident of the sequence. A ridge of high pressure should ensure a fine day in most places on Sunday. Mild in freshening west to southwest winds which will become strong in the north. Possibly exceptionally mild in parts of eastern England and eastern Scotland with temperatures perhaps reaching 14 or 15 deg C. Rain from a warm front is likely to spread into western Scotland and northern Ireland later in the day. On Monday a very deep low will be running to the north of Scotland giving westerly gales and possibly storm force winds for a time in the northern Isles. Scotland and northern Ireland will have rain followed by squally showers. Some rain further south over England and Wales but southern Britain likely to stay dry, rather cloudy and mild in moderate west to southwest winds. Tuesday looks like being another fine day in most places, but possibly rain spreading into western areas later. Generally mild with winds easing. Wednesday is the day that significant rain is likely to spread into southern Britain from yet another Atlantic low. All other areas seeing rain too. Turning colder later as winds swing into the northwest bringing showers which will possibly turn wintry over northern hills. A fine and cold start to Thursday with more showers in places exposed to the northwest. Possibly a frost in sheltered southern and eastern parts. However, more rain is likely to spread back in from the west in strengthening southwest winds from another deepening Atlantic low. Turning milder again. On Friday there is a low risk of a major storm crossing the UK. More likely though, is another ordinary depression followed again by a return to colder weather on Saturday in north to northwest winds with showers turning wintry on northern hills. This then sets the scene, until at least the third week, of a generally westerly pattern with spells of mild, wet and windy weather followed by short colder northerly interludes with wintry showers over high ground. Always a risk as well of major storms crossing Britain with the jet stream sinking south with time. Cheers, Will Chief forecaster USW. -- " Visit Haytor meteorological office at http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...met_office.htm " -------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----- Is another reputable meteorologist's forecast about to go by the wayside? Sorry Will but your elitest attitude about a recent post may come back to haunt you based on tonight progs! Maybe you will think twice about your future elitest comments? Regards Mr Blowman |
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#8
December 3rd 04, 11:21 PM
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Next week's weather and further outlook beginning 05/12/04
================================================== ================== This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author. Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do. ================================================== ================== Mr Blowman, thanks for that constructive scientific comment. Just looked at the 18Z progs and they look pretty zonal to me after midweek. Mild too I might add. Cheers, Will. -- " Visit Haytor meteorological office at http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...met_office.htm " ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- "Mr Blowman" S@not here.karoo.co.uk wrote in message ... "Will Hand" wrote in message ... ================================================== =============== This forecast summary is my *PERSONAL OPINION* of how the weather may unfold next week. I will take no responsibility whatsoever for any actions arising from its use. It is provided freely in the spirit of freedom and the great love for meteorology that I personally enjoy and wish to share freely with others. ================================================== =============== Summary valid for Sunday 05/12/04 to Saturday 11/12/04 TOI (time of issue) Thursday 02/12/04 2100 UK local time This summary is based on a quick appraisal of the GFS, JMA, ECMWF, UKMO, FAX, and ENS (NCEP ensemble) labelled charts available from the superb http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten Confidence high that next week will gradually see a change to very unsettled, wet, and at times, very mild conditions in all areas. However, confidence only low to moderate for the details of the change, but reasonably confident of the sequence. A ridge of high pressure should ensure a fine day in most places on Sunday. Mild in freshening west to southwest winds which will become strong in the north. Possibly exceptionally mild in parts of eastern England and eastern Scotland with temperatures perhaps reaching 14 or 15 deg C. Rain from a warm front is likely to spread into western Scotland and northern Ireland later in the day. On Monday a very deep low will be running to the north of Scotland giving westerly gales and possibly storm force winds for a time in the northern Isles. Scotland and northern Ireland will have rain followed by squally showers. Some rain further south over England and Wales but southern Britain likely to stay dry, rather cloudy and mild in moderate west to southwest winds. Tuesday looks like being another fine day in most places, but possibly rain spreading into western areas later. Generally mild with winds easing. Wednesday is the day that significant rain is likely to spread into southern Britain from yet another Atlantic low. All other areas seeing rain too. Turning colder later as winds swing into the northwest bringing showers which will possibly turn wintry over northern hills. A fine and cold start to Thursday with more showers in places exposed to the northwest. Possibly a frost in sheltered southern and eastern parts. However, more rain is likely to spread back in from the west in strengthening southwest winds from another deepening Atlantic low. Turning milder again. On Friday there is a low risk of a major storm crossing the UK. More likely though, is another ordinary depression followed again by a return to colder weather on Saturday in north to northwest winds with showers turning wintry on northern hills. This then sets the scene, until at least the third week, of a generally westerly pattern with spells of mild, wet and windy weather followed by short colder northerly interludes with wintry showers over high ground. Always a risk as well of major storms crossing Britain with the jet stream sinking south with time. Cheers, Will Chief forecaster USW. -- " Visit Haytor meteorological office at http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...met_office.htm " -------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----- Is another reputable meteorologist's forecast about to go by the wayside? Sorry Will but your elitest attitude about a recent post may come back to haunt you based on tonight progs! Maybe you will think twice about your future elitest comments? Regards Mr Blowman |
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#9
December 4th 04, 01:25 AM
posted to uk.sci.weather
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Next week's weather and further outlook beginning 05/12/04
However, the latest Met Office fax chart
http://129.13.102.67/wz/pics/brack4.gif does seem to show the continental high building in again from the south and east. More fog problems for the south? Cheers, John "Will Hand" wrote in message ... ================================================== ================== This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author. Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do. ================================================== ================== Mr Blowman, thanks for that constructive scientific comment. Just looked at the 18Z progs and they look pretty zonal to me after midweek. Mild too I might add. Cheers, Will. -- " Visit Haytor meteorological office at http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...met_office.htm " -------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. |
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#10
December 4th 04, 10:49 AM
posted to uk.sci.weather
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Next week's weather and further outlook beginning 05/12/04
Mr Hand, scientific or not, based on todays 06z GFS and UKMO 0z I would
suggest Mr Gazes settled beginning to December seems closer to the mark than your recent effort. Regards Mr Blowman "Will Hand" wrote in message ... ================================================== ================== This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author. Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do. ================================================== ================== Mr Blowman, thanks for that constructive scientific comment. Just looked at the 18Z progs and they look pretty zonal to me after midweek. Mild too I might add. Cheers, Will. -- " Visit Haytor meteorological office at http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...met_office.htm " -------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----- "Mr Blowman" S@not here.karoo.co.uk wrote in message ... "Will Hand" wrote in message ... ================================================== =============== This forecast summary is my *PERSONAL OPINION* of how the weather may unfold next week. I will take no responsibility whatsoever for any actions arising from its use. It is provided freely in the spirit of freedom and the great love for meteorology that I personally enjoy and wish to share freely with others. ================================================== =============== Summary valid for Sunday 05/12/04 to Saturday 11/12/04 TOI (time of issue) Thursday 02/12/04 2100 UK local time This summary is based on a quick appraisal of the GFS, JMA, ECMWF, UKMO, FAX, and ENS (NCEP ensemble) labelled charts available from the superb http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten Confidence high that next week will gradually see a change to very unsettled, wet, and at times, very mild conditions in all areas. However, confidence only low to moderate for the details of the change, but reasonably confident of the sequence. A ridge of high pressure should ensure a fine day in most places on Sunday. Mild in freshening west to southwest winds which will become strong in the north. Possibly exceptionally mild in parts of eastern England and eastern Scotland with temperatures perhaps reaching 14 or 15 deg C. Rain from a warm front is likely to spread into western Scotland and northern Ireland later in the day. On Monday a very deep low will be running to the north of Scotland giving westerly gales and possibly storm force winds for a time in the northern Isles. Scotland and northern Ireland will have rain followed by squally showers. Some rain further south over England and Wales but southern Britain likely to stay dry, rather cloudy and mild in moderate west to southwest winds. Tuesday looks like being another fine day in most places, but possibly rain spreading into western areas later. Generally mild with winds easing. Wednesday is the day that significant rain is likely to spread into southern Britain from yet another Atlantic low. All other areas seeing rain too. Turning colder later as winds swing into the northwest bringing showers which will possibly turn wintry over northern hills. A fine and cold start to Thursday with more showers in places exposed to the northwest. Possibly a frost in sheltered southern and eastern parts. However, more rain is likely to spread back in from the west in strengthening southwest winds from another deepening Atlantic low. Turning milder again. On Friday there is a low risk of a major storm crossing the UK. More likely though, is another ordinary depression followed again by a return to colder weather on Saturday in north to northwest winds with showers turning wintry on northern hills. This then sets the scene, until at least the third week, of a generally westerly pattern with spells of mild, wet and windy weather followed by short colder northerly interludes with wintry showers over high ground. Always a risk as well of major storms crossing Britain with the jet stream sinking south with time. Cheers, Will Chief forecaster USW. -- " Visit Haytor meteorological office at http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...met_office.htm " -------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----- Is another reputable meteorologist's forecast about to go by the wayside? Sorry Will but your elitest attitude about a recent post may come back to haunt you based on tonight progs! Maybe you will think twice about your future elitest comments? Regards Mr Blowman |
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