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Old May 1st 05, 06:45 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Quick model interpretation: 1st May

As usual on Sundays I'm heading off shortly to Berkshire and the wolves -
hence this shorter analysis.

Quick summary for noon (GMT) on Thursday - isssed 0536z 1/05/05

The models show a NW'ly flow for the end of the week, with an anticyclone to
the west bringing weak fronts across the UK. Temperatures will be close to
average, with the heaviest of any rain for northern and western areas.

ECM: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Recm1201.gif
NW'lies cover the UK, due to a large high to the WSW. There's little change
at T+144 or T+168, although by then the high has moved slowly eastwards with
NW'lies persisting over the UK.
MetO: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Rukm1441.gif
A trough covers the UK, with NNW'lies and NW'lies. The winds remain NW'lies
at T+144 as a ridge moves in from the west.
GFS: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Rtavn1201.gif
As with the ECM, the UK lies under NW'lies from a high to the WSW. Winds
remain NW'ly at T+144, followed by westerlies at T+168 as the high declines
and moves eastwards.
GEM: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Rgem1201.gif
GEM also shows NW'lies at T+120 and T+144, again due to the Azores High.
DWD: http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...010000_120.gif
The German run shows a high to the WSW and cloudy NW'lies for all. A ridge
moves eastwards at T+144, maintaining NW'lies but bringing clearer skies. By
T+168 the high moves over Wales, with SW'lies for Northern Ireland and
western Scotland; elsewhere winds are NW'lies over much of England.



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