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Old June 4th 05, 07:14 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (4/06/05)

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for 12z on Wednesday. Issued
0608z, 4/06/05.

The runs continue to show a largely settled outlook for much of the UK, with
the GFS still showing a risk of ground frost next week as skies clear and
winds fall light. Longer term there are signs of a northerly setting in as
the high moves westwards, but as ever more runs are needed.

ECMWF: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Recm1201.gif
High pressure is centred over the UK, bringing light winds for all areas
except Scotland, which lies under SW'lies. The high shifts westwards at
T+144, with a ridge over England and Wales. Winds are light there, with
NW'lies elsewhere. By T+168 a low deepens east of Shetland, with northerlies
across the UK.

MetO: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.html
High pressure is centred over SW England, bringing westerlies for most. The
high retrogresses at T+144 to allow northerlies to affect all areas.

GFS: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm
High pressure covers the UK with light winds. 850hPa temperatures vary from
+2C over NW Scotland to +9C over Cornwall. High pressure persists at T+144
and for most at T+168, although by then a low brings SW'lies for Scotland.
Day 8 sees pressure rise to the wets, with northerlies for all (and with
850hPa temperatures of -6C across northern Scotland). The high moves slowly
eastwards at T+216, maintaining the northerlies, followed by NW'lies and
westerlies at T+240 as the high sinks SE'wards over the UK.
Ensembles: http://217.160.75.104/pics/MT8_London_ens.png
The ensembles show 850hPa temperatures mostly at or below average from today
to the 12th, with the operational run being a warm outlier by the 9th. It's
largely dry apart from a notable peak of precipitation on the 6th.

GEM: http://www.meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
The Canadian run places high pressure over southern England, witha ridge
elsewhere bringing light westerlies and SW'lies. The high declines over
southern England at T+144, with light winds for all.

GME/DWD:
http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...030000_120.gif
The German run shows light winds for all with high pressure over the UK. The
high moves westwards at T+144, allowing a northerly to set in.

JMA: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rjma1201.html
High pressure is centred over the UK at T+120 and T+144, with light winds as
a result on both days.

NOGAPS: http://wetterzentrale.com/pics/Rngp1201.gif
NE'lies cover England and Wales, with high pressure elsewhere bringing light
winds. There's little change at T+144.

KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif
The Korean run shows high pressure for the UK, with westerlies across
Scotland.



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